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101.
The modeling of travel decision making has been a popular topic in transportation planning. Previous studies focused on random-utility discrete choice models and machine learning methods. This paper proposes a new modeling approach that utilizes a mixed Bayesian network (BN) for travel decision inference. The authors use a predetermined BN structure and calculate priori and posterior probability distributions of the decision alternatives based on the observed explanatory variables. As a “utility-free” decision inference method, the BN model releases the linear structure in the utility function but assumes the traffic level of service variables follow multivariate Gaussian distribution conditional on the choice variable. A real-world case study is conducted by using the regional travel survey data for a two-dimensional decision modeling of both departure time choice and travel mode choice. The results indicate that a two-dimensional mixed BN provides better accuracy than decision tree models and nested logit models. In addition, one can derive continuous elasticity with respect to each continuous explanatory variable for sensitivity analysis. This new approach addresses a research gap in probabilistic travel decision making modeling as well as two-dimensional travel decision modeling. 相似文献
102.
This paper extends the work on Pareto-improving hybrid rationing and pricing policy for general road networks by considering heterogeneous users with different values of time. Mathematical programming models are proposed to find a multiclass Pareto-improving pure road space rationing scheme (MPI-PR) and multiclass hybrid rationing and pricing schemes (MHPI and MHPI-S). A numerical example with a multimodal network is provided for comparing both the efficiency and equity of the three proposed policies. We discover that MHPI-S can achieve the largest reduction in total system delay, MHPI can induce the least spatial inequity and MHPI-S is a progressive policy which is appealing to policy makers. Furthermore, numerical results reveal that different classes of users react differently to the same hybrid policies and multiclass Pareto-improving hybrid schemes yield less delay reduction when compared to their single-class counterparts. 相似文献
103.
在初步分析了铁磁性试件的涡流磁场特征的基础上,对基于工频交流电的磁性处理主电源的可行性进行了初步的理论分析,接着分别以工频交流电源和脉冲电源为主电源对厚钢板和厚艇模分别进行了磁性处理。实验结果表明,两种制式的主电源无论是对厚钢板还是对厚艇模的磁性处理效果均相当,而采用工频交流电源作为磁性处理主电源时,在一次磁性处理作业中有所需电流幅值小、通电时间短、消耗能量少等特点,初步验证了基于工频交流电的磁性处理主电源的可行性。 相似文献
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基于CATIA二次开发的水下平台静水力计算 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
水下平台静力计算包含初稳性计算、潜浮稳性计算、大倾角稳性计算、重量重心统计等,传统潜艇、潜器等水下平台的静力计算具有计算过程繁琐、耗时长、效率低、数据不易更新等问题,导致设计人员大量重复性劳动。本文通过对CATIA软件进行二次开发,在水下平台三维建模基础上,编制静水力和重量重心计算程序,可直接计算、获取静水力要素并实现重量重心的自动统计,达到计算的自动化、程序化和数据的及时更新,提升设计手段,对潜艇、潜器等水下平台设计中控制浮态、稳态具有重要作用,工程应用价值较高。 相似文献
106.
本文分析了现行公路排水规范在设计降雨重现期方面规定的不足之处,结合辽宁省东部山区的实际降雨资料,经过计算和分析,得出了符合辽宁省东部山区公路自身特点的设计降雨重现期. 相似文献
107.
As an army main battle equipment, it is required that the tank should have high firing accuracy and high first round hit probability during marching. The initial disturbance of the projectile is the premier factor that takes effect on the marching fire accuracy of the tank. And the marching fire accuracy of the tank depends on the launch dynamics behaviors of the tank. In this paper, the launch dynamics theory of a tank marching fire is studied, and its launch dynamics model is established. Based on the transfer matrix method for multibody system(MSTMM) and the automatic deduction theorem of overall transfer equations, the overall transfer equation and the overall transfer matrix of a tank multibody system are deduced; the launch dynamics equations of the tank marching fire are deduced, and the dynamic response of the tank system, the motion of projectile in barrel, the initial disturbance of the projectile and the vertical target dispersion are exactly simulated; meanwhile, the results of simulation are verified by tests. This work provides both theoretical foundation and simulation approaches for improving the marching fire accuracy of the tank. 相似文献
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