响应表面法在事故再现结果不确定性分析中的应用

针对复杂事故再现模型的响应难以用显式函数表示的问题,借助试验设计方法和响应表面法,将试验设计方法中拟合的全部仿真结果,用一个近似的等效响应函数来表示,然后利用这个响应函数和各物理参数的上下极限值,直接计算出仿真结果的取值范围.这就构成了事故再现模型为隐性表达式时的不确定性分析近似方法.最后将此方法应用到一个具有简单模型的事故案例中,并与不确定度评定基本方法和蒙特卡罗方法进行对比,结果十分接近.     

无锡市清宁大桥矮塔斜拉桥设计

无锡市清宁大桥主桥为主跨113m的矮塔斜拉桥,跨越京杭大运河,该桥为单索面、主梁为预应力混凝土单箱三室箱形梁,桥梁全宽30m。拉索为平行钢丝斜拉索、冷铸锚,主塔为钢筋混凝土结构,主塔锚固区采用钢锚箱的锚固方式。     

上海自然博物馆基坑地下连续墙变形研究

新建上海自然博物馆基坑工程为深大异形坑中坑工程,周围环境复杂,施工风险大.利用三维有限元模拟方法,计算内外坑开挖过程中外坑地下连续墙的变形,选取模型中内外坑地下连续墙5种不同间距处的计算结果与现场监测数据对比,得出内外坑连续墙间距小于20m时外坑连续墙最大水平位移随内外坑间距增大而增大,但当内外坑地连墙间距大于20m时,内外坑地连墙间距变化对外坑连续墙最大水平位移影响不大;该工程坑中坑内坑开挖对外坑地连墙水平变形影响较小.     

基于模糊物元的台湾海峡客货滚装船船型经济论证

在两岸关系不断稳定发展的情况下,台湾海峡客货滚装运输具有良好的发展机遇和潜力。针对多准则、多目标的台湾海峡客货滚装船型经济论证问题,以模糊物元理论为基础,构建了基于模糊物元的船型论证方法和模型,并结合实际进行实证研究。实证算例分析结果表明:应用模糊物元理论进行台湾海峡滚装船型论证决策是可行的,此论证方法将定性与定量分析有机结合,方法非常实用,计算比较简便,论证结论客观、合理。     

异步电动机参数辨识仿真研究

将卡尔曼滤波算法与PID控制算法相结合,将该方法应用到异步电动机的参数辨识过程中,卡尔曼滤波算法可以消除控制系统中的干扰和噪声,改善了控制系统的动态特性,保证被控对象的性能,通过仿真可以看出,该方法可以有效的对被控对象进行参数辨识,具有较强的鲁棒性。     

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) prediction of bank effects including verification and validation

Restricted waters impose significant effects on ship navigation. In particular, with the presence of a side bank in the vicinity of the hull, the flow is greatly complicated. Additional hydrodynamic forces and moments act on the hull, thus changing the ship's maneuverability. In this paper, computational fluid dynamics methods are utilized for investigating the bank effects on a tanker hull. The tanker moves straight ahead at a low speed in two canals, characterized by surface piercing and sloping banks. For varying water depth and ship-to-bank distance, the sinkage and trim, as well as the viscous hydrodynamic forces on the hull, are predicted by a steady state Reynolds averaged Navier–Stokes solver with the double model approximation to simulate the flat free surface. A potential flow method is also applied to evaluate the effect of waves and viscosity on the solutions. The focus is placed on verification and validation based on a grid convergence study and comparisons with experimental data. There is also an exploration of the modeling errors in the numerical method.     

Black-box modeling of ship manoeuvring motion based on feed-forward neural network with Chebyshev orthogonal basis function

Based on polynomial interpolation and approximation theory, a novel feed-forward neural network, the feed-forward neural network with Chebyshev orthogonal basis function, is proposed for black-box modeling of ship manoeuvring motion. The neural model adopts a three-layer structure, in which the hidden layer neurons are activated by a group of Chebyshev orthogonal polynomial activation functions and the other two layers’ neurons use identity mapping as activation functions. Weight update formulas are derived by employing the standard back-propagation (BP) training method. With the simulated 15º/15º zigzag test data as input and calculated values of the hydrodynamic forces and moment as output, the feed-forward neural network with Chebyshev orthogonal basis function and the BP neural network are applied to identify the nonlinear functions in the nonlinear hydrodynamic model of ship manoeuvring motion. With the simulated 20º/20º zigzag test data and 35º turning test data as input, the hydrodynamic forces and moment are predicted by using the identified nonlinear functions. Comparison between the calculated and predicted hydrodynamic forces and moment shows that the feed-forward neural network with Chebyshev orthogonal basis function is superior to the BP neural network in identifying the nonlinear functions of the nonlinear hydrodynamic model of ship manoeuvring motion and is an effective method to conduct the black-box modeling of ship manoeuvring motion.     

天津市双城战略下的交通特征与发展对策

为更好地促进天津市双城空间战略的实现以及城市交通的可持续发展,基于天津市4次居民出行调查,总结改革开放30年来城市交通在出行强度、出行分布、出行结构方面的交通特征与规律。从用地布局和交通模式两方面有针对性地提出了发展对策。用地布局方面,提出提升滨海新区核心区城市职能、注重职住平衡、提倡土地混合利用的发展策略;交通模式方面,针对双城间交通、双城对外交通、双城内部交通提出了具体策略。     

基于对消方法的变频装置试验平台

本文提出了一种变频装置对消的试验平台,属于逆变模块测试技术领域,特别是涉及一种逆变模块试验平台,以两台H桥逆变模块为例,分析设计了对消方法,建立电压电流的基波数学模型,并完成主要电气参数电感值的计算.介绍了基于该方法搭建的变频装置试验平台的组成.采用两组逆变模块对消的方式,在中间电感配置固定的情况下,可以通过调节调制比...     

带有干扰观测器的欠驱动船舶路径跟踪非线性模型预测控制

针对欠驱动船舶提出了一种非线性路径跟踪控制器,使其能够在风、浪、流等环境干扰下驶入预定的航行路径.欠驱动船舶以恒定前进速度航行,并且其合速度与参考轨迹相切.该控制器的设计使用了解析模型预测控制和干扰观测器技术,其中非线性观测器用来估计环境干扰.在最优路径跟踪控制器的作用下,路径跟踪误差渐近收敛到零.数值仿真结果验证了该控制器的有效性.