水润滑特性和弹性接触应力对尾轴承使用寿命的影响

船舶尾轴承润滑状态和尾部弹性接触应力是影响水润滑尾轴承使用寿命的重要因素。本文应用紊流润滑理论研究了水润滑尾轴承的润滑状况以及应用弹性理论研究分析了国产材料MCS-2-1和铁梨木的弹性接触应力。理论分析和试验结果表明:水润滑尾轴承属于部分接触的半液体润滑状态,局部最大接触压力是设计比压的几十倍乃至百倍。为了延长尾轴承使用寿命,必须选用强度高、弹性模数低且具有一定自润滑性能的材料;在结构上可增大实际接触面积;改善水的润滑性质。采取这些措施都将收到一定的效果。     

尼桑PK210蓄电池的可靠性建模与分析

文中基于维修历史数据,对两个不同产地的蓄电池可靠性进行建模和分析。结果表明,两个产地的蓄电池分别可用对数正态分布和修改的竞争风险模型建模,不同厂商同型号蓄电池的质量存在显著差别。文中还讨论了利用模型评价现有维修政策的问题。     

Modeling the effect of environmental conditions on reliability of wind turbines

The climate condition of a wind farm has a significant influence on the reliability of wind turbines. The climate condition varies with season in a year and hence the reliability changes in a complex way. The purpose of this paper is to model the effect of climate condition on field reliability of wind turbines. The reliability is measured by monthly-averaged mean time between failures(MTBF), and the climate conditions are described by variables of monthly-averaged temperature, relative humidity, rainfall and wind speed. Referring to the physicsof-failure models in accelerated life testing(ALT), we develop a quantitative relation between the MTBF and the climate variables. For a set of field data, the model parameters are estimated by regression, and the insignificant variables are gradually deleted based on the P-value of the regression coefficients. The resulting model is useful for maintenance workload forecasting and preventive maintenance planning, and has a potential to be used in online failure prediction.