Disaster prevention and strategic investment for multiple ports in a region: cooperation or not

With the growth of maritime transportation, seaports have become critical to the world economy as linking nodes between shipping and inland transport. However, the port system is fragile under certain unconventional emergency events. This study addresses the issue of investment on disaster prevention within the port competition context. The present model discusses and compares four situations of different relationships and strategies of pre-disaster prevention between two adjacent ports. Results indicate that both ports increase the disaster prevention investment under the cooperation scenario compared with that in the case of non-cooperation wherein they are complementary ports. Meanwhile, a numerical simulation is conducted to examine the collective and individual rationality of both ports. Although cooperation strategy decreases the total risk cost of two ports, one of the two ports may profit, whereas the other may suffer losses.     

随机风浪下的游艇稳性可靠度计算

建立游艇横摇运动微分方程,利用马尔科夫过程理论和路径积分法进行求解,得到游艇横摇角概率密度函数。借鉴结构可靠性计算方法建立游艇稳性概率计算模型,采用当量正态化法(JC法)求解得到游艇稳性可靠度。实例计算表明:游艇在不同海域下的稳性可靠度存在一定差异,随着外界风浪增大,游艇稳性可靠度呈逐步下降趋势,且都存在一个快速下降的波高区间。该方法能够更科学地评判游艇在不同航行条件下的稳性状况,是游艇稳性横准研究的发展方向之一。     

Effect of Seismic Parameters on the Safety Factor for an Underground Cavern北大核心CSCD

In order to quantitatively evaluate the safety of the surrounding rock of an underground cavern under seis-mic load, a comprehensive evaluation method for the stability of surrounding rock is proposed based on the general safety factor and point safety factor. A calculation method for the general safety factor of a cavern based on the prin-ciple of shear strength reduction of a rock mass is given, the run-through of the plastic zone between the main power-house and main transformer room is presented as a critical criterion for the overall instability of the cavern, and the general safety factor is obtained by searching for the reduction coefficient. A point safety factor calculation method based on the Mohr-Coulomb yield criterion is given. The influence of different seismic input parameters on the general safety factor of the cavern and the point safety factor of key positions are studied based on an underground power-house cavern of a hydropower station in Southwest China. The results show that the quantitative evaluation method for the stability of the surrounding rock based on the safety factor is feasible and can reflect the general safety de-gree and local safety degree of different positions of the cavern for different working conditions. It is found that the general safety factor of the cavern and the point safety factor of key positions decrease with an increase of the ampli-tude and duration of a seismic wave while they increase with an increase of the incident angle; additionally, the low frequency of a seismic wave has a great influence on the cavern while the high frequency has little effect. © 2018, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

封堵三通卡球原因分析及封堵设备改进设计

文中简述了某天然气管道A站-B站段内检测通球过程中封堵三通处出现的卡堵问题,结合通球、封堵等工程实践,对卡球原因进行了分析,发现了塞堵的设计缺陷,通过理论计算提出了塞堵的优化设计,解决了塞堵无旋转限位的问题,并对优化设计后期实践应用可能存在的问题提出了解决办法,对天然气管道带压封堵、通球,提高输气效率等具有参考意义。     

洋山深水港西港区岸线功能规划调整

为满足洋山深水港生产营运需要,有关部门希望保留颗珠山—蒋公柱潮流汊道,这与总体规划布置不一致。为此需进行深水港西港区岸线功能规划调整研究。考虑到汊道的颗珠山一侧潮流具有岬角绕流型特点,而蒋公柱一侧有岬角环抱型特点;在此认识基础上针对多种岸线方案进行试验。试验结果表明,采用岸线优化方案后,可以保持甚至改善汊道内和已建港区潮流条件。从水流角度看,采取合理的岸线布置和适当的工程措施后,保留和开发利用颗珠山—蒋公柱潮流汊道是可行的。     

深水航道整治中新型结构淹没丁坝与水流相互作用

大型混凝土齿形丁坝首次应用于深水航道整治工程中,其与水流相互作用的影响并不清晰。通过理论分析与数值模拟的方法对新型丁坝的壅水特性进行研究,并通过与其它坝型结构对比分析了新型丁坝对过坝水流的影响,进而通过阻挡流量的表征方法对新型丁坝的水流力计算方法进行探讨。研究发现新型丁坝壅水公式能够较为合理地预测其壅水值,且由于基床的存在,新型丁坝对过坝水流的影响较小,同时,通过阻挡流量表征的水流力计算公式形式更为简便。新型丁坝的引入对长江沿岸水沙及生态平衡起到保护作用,其研究成果可为新型丁坝的设计及应用提供科学的理论指导,也对其他新型结构设计具有借鉴价值。     

复合动力超长续航无人艇系统的设计与实现

为实现无人艇在海上追踪、搜救、巡逻、反潜等任务中的超长续航,避免因油料限制而被迫任务中断,设计了一套以风能、太阳能为动力的无人艇系统,利用风帆为无人艇推进,太阳能为船上电控设备提供电能。该系统由无人艇和岸基监控平台组成,无人艇可通过python开发的数据采集模块和算法模块实时采集环境数据、计算、生成并下达控制指令,在风区内可超长续航自主航行,实现全风向利用;岸基监控平台可实时监控无人艇状态,并进行自主/遥控模式切换。对系统进行了测试,通讯连接试验的可靠性高;无人艇航行试验验证了全风向自主航行的可行性,运行轨迹与仿真结果基本重合;太阳能供电分析理论上验证了风区超长续航的可实现性。     

"向阳红01"号和"向阳红03"号海洋综合科考船优化设计

4 500吨级海洋综合科考船"向阳红01"号和"向阳红03"号是基于"科学"号母型船优化设计后建造的新一代海洋综合科考船。本文从规则规范升级、船载设备更新、用户需求定制以及母型船改进设计等方面进行了介绍,并总结了关于科考船的客船脱险通道设计、撤离分析、耐波性分析等方面的考虑与体会,对科考船的设计和建造有一定的指导意义。     

海洋科考船科考海水系统设计研究

文中主要对海洋科考船科考海水系统的类别、要求、特点进行分析,论述了海洋科考船科考海水系统的设计思路及设计方案,为后期相似系统设计提供参考。     

动态载荷识别的自适应延迟逆模型方法

为减小载荷识别问题对原系统先验知识的依赖,采用系统的自适应延迟逆模型识别时域载荷。采用自适应算法辨识延迟逆模型,代替了一般识别方法中的系统特性矩阵求逆过程,避免了病态问题。随后将工作状态下的响应作为逆模型的输入,则其输出就是时域载荷的延迟估计。通过对两端简支梁结构进行载荷识别的仿真研究,以及对双层隔振试验台架的试验研究,识别了稳态激励和瞬态激励,验证了该方法的有效性。该方法不需要了解系统的数学模型及参数,因此能够应用于工程实践中。