基于数据挖掘的客运营销与优化系统分析

用数据挖掘技术对我国铁路客运信息进行分析和处理,从而促进铁路客运市场营销策略的灵活调整,并根据分析结果对客运营销旅客列车在开行方案上进行优化,这有利于铁路客运主管部门的管理和决策,为铁路客运争取更大的经济效益和社会效益。     

内支线集装箱船舶非标舷梯的研制及改造应用

内支线集装箱船舶,在靠泊码头时,通常采用跳板或竹梯上下船的方式,虽然提高了船舶装载率,初投资较少,但对船员上下船而言,存在较大风险,不利于港口的安全建设与管理。以洋山港码头为例,通过分析内支线船舶的结构并结合码头实际装载状况,研发的一款适合于内支线集装箱船舶改造的非标舷梯,提高了旧船停港作业时的安全性。此产品的研发和应用可为旧船安全改造提供思路。     

长江南京以下12.5m深水航道二期工程安全应急方案研究

安全应急预案对于提高安全事故中的救援能力、减少安全事故带来的损失具有重要的意义。以南京以下12.5m深水航道二期工程为背景,对拟定的安全应急预案进行分析研究,总结出安全应急预案体系包括综合安全应急预案、专项应急预案和现场处置方案,提炼各层次预案对应的事件类型和具体内容,并编制首接责任制下的应急组织机构和应急流程。     

某型科考船多波束基座安装技术研究

全海深多波束是科考船重要的声学设备之一,安装在船体底部平坦区域,用于全海洋海底地形和地貌探测。多波束系统庞大、结构复杂、基座安装精度要求高。文中结合某科考船实际多波束加装工程,立足于基座高精度安装需求,从基座设计、建造和现场安装等三个方面对多波束基座安装技术展开讨论。总结得出的相关工序、工法等满足该船多波束基座的高精度安装要求,有力保障了该项目的顺利实施,并可为类似船型相关设备的设计、安装提供参考。     

长江南京以下深水航道二期工程施工区域通航与生产安全信息平台设计

针对长江南京以下12.5 m深水航道二期工程面临的作业环境复杂、船舶交通流量密度大的情形,设计并开发出专用于保证通航与生产安全的信息平台。该平台是基于B/S模式的Web网站服务系统,利用功能部件结构进行系统设计,采用海量数据组织与管理技术,最终实现施工期通航与生产一体化安全信息的所有检查记录、安全应急保障、通航环境监测以及视频监控等功能,并能够及时更新各种信息。该系统在实际应用中达到预期效果。     

多体浮式防波堤消波特性数值模拟

多体浮式防波堤消波特性是决定其应用价值的重要因素,基于三维势流理论,通过使用Ansys Workbench软件和AQWA Graphical Supervisor(AGS)图像后处理软件,对多体浮式防波堤在不同入射角和浮筒吃水深度下的消波效果展开研究。结果表明,在入射角度为90°时,多浮筒浮式防波堤能够最大程度地消减波浪。同时,透射系数随吃水深度的增加而不断减小,但结构稳定性会下降。因此,实际工程中应尽量保证浮式防波堤的迎浪面与波浪的来波方向垂直,这样可以获得较好的消波效果,同时应尽量避免选择吃水深度过大的浮式防波堤。     

Incorporating the extended theory of planned behavior in a school travel mode choice model: a case study of Shaoxing,China

Travel to and from school can have social, economic, and environmental implications for students and their parents. Therefore, understanding school travel mode choice behavior is essential to find policy-oriented approaches to optimizing school travel mode share. Recent research suggests that psychological factors of parents play a significant role in school travel mode choice behavior and the Multiple Indicators and Multiple Causes (MIMIC) model has been used to test the effect of psychological constructs on mode choice behavior. However, little research has used a systematic framework of behavioral theory to organize these psychological factors and investigate their internal relationships. This paper proposes an extended theory of planned behavior (ETPB) to delve into the psychological factors caused by the effects of adults’ cognition and behavioral habits and explores the factors’ relationship paradigm. A theoretical framework of travel mode choice behavior for students in China is constructed. We established the MIMIC model that accommodates latent variables from ETPB. We found that not all the psychological latent variables have significant effects on school travel mode choice behavior, but habit can play an essential role. The results provide theoretical support for demand policies for school travel.     

A Pareto-improving hybrid rationing and pricing policy with multiclass network equilibria

This paper extends the work on Pareto-improving hybrid rationing and pricing policy for general road networks by considering heterogeneous users with different values of time. Mathematical programming models are proposed to find a multiclass Pareto-improving pure road space rationing scheme (MPI-PR) and multiclass hybrid rationing and pricing schemes (MHPI and MHPI-S). A numerical example with a multimodal network is provided for comparing both the efficiency and equity of the three proposed policies. We discover that MHPI-S can achieve the largest reduction in total system delay, MHPI can induce the least spatial inequity and MHPI-S is a progressive policy which is appealing to policy makers. Furthermore, numerical results reveal that different classes of users react differently to the same hybrid policies and multiclass Pareto-improving hybrid schemes yield less delay reduction when compared to their single-class counterparts.     

Large-scale evacuation network optimization: a bi-level control method with uncertain arterial demand

To improve the efficiency of large-scale evacuations, a network aggregation method and a bi-level optimization control method are proposed in this paper. The network aggregation method indicates the uncertain evacuation demand on the arterial sub-network and balances accuracy and efficiency by refining local road sub-networks. The bi-level optimization control method is developed to reconfigure the aggregated network from both supply and demand sides with contraflow and conflict elimination. The main purpose of this control method is to make the arterial sub-network to be served without congestion and interruption. Then, a corresponding bi-objective network flow model is presented in a static manner for an oversaturated network, and a Genetic Algorithm-based solution method is used to solve the evacuation problem. The numerical results from optimizing a city-scale evacuation network for a super typhoon justify the validity and usefulness of the network aggregation and optimization control methods.     

隧道内爆炸作用衬砌结构的动力响应和损伤机理研究

隧道内爆炸作用可能导致其衬砌结构的破坏和坍塌,造成车辆通行受阻和生命财产损失。为了研究隧道衬砌结构的抗爆性能,应用AUTODYN软件建立了隧道衬砌-岩石-土壤的三维数值模型,并考虑炸药-空气-结构的流固耦合相互作用,以及隧道内爆炸作用对衬砌结构的动力响应和损伤机理进行了数值模拟分析。结果表明:在不同炸药量作用下,超压峰值及冲量以爆心地面投影点为中心,向四周迅速衰减,表现出一定的规律性;离爆心最近的底板首先出现损伤,并向四周扩展,直墙角部由于受到底板竖向变形而引起的拉应力作用,较早地出现损伤,在直墙壁和拱顶产生纵向和环向的裂缝,这些裂缝把整体式隧道衬砌结构分割成大小不等的混凝土块体。