Numerical Simulation of Advanced Geological Forecasting Based on Multi- Source Seismic Interferometry北大核心CSCD

For existing advanced geological forecasting, the forecast distance is short and the test frequency is high, increasing test and construction risks. Since various methods have different requirements for the test environ-ment, preparation work can be tedious and result in a long construction time thereby affecting normal construction.A new advanced geological forecast technique based on multi-source seismic interferometry for tunnels is proposed.This technique uses the blast at one end of tunnel as a centrum and receives the signal at the other end of the tun-nel, therefore allowing advanced geological forecasting of the unexcavated tunnel part by relative processing and im-aging. A numerical simulation of this kind of geological forecasting using the finite difference method to simulate two kinds of unfavorable geological bodies (karst and a fault) predicted them accurately and verified the effective-ness and accuracy of this geological forecasting method. © 2018, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

Impact of ICT access on personal activity space and greenhouse gas production: evidence from Quebec City, Canada

This paper presents an approach to investigating the impact of information and communication technologies (ICTs) on travel behaviour and its environmental effects. The paper focuses on the spatial dispersion of out-of-home activities and travel (activity space) and greenhouse gas emissions (GHGs) at the level of the individual. An original method, combining spatial analysis in a geographic information system with advanced regression techniques, is proposed to explore these potentially complex relationships in the case of access to mobile phones and the internet, while taking into account the influence of socio-economics and built environment factors. The proposed methodology is tested using a 7-day activity-based survey in Quebec City in 2003?C2004, a juncture of particular interest because these ICTs had recently crossed the threshold of 40?% (mobile phone) and 60?% (home-based internet) penetration at the time. The study period also largely pre-dates the era of mobile internet access. Among other results, socio-demographic factors were found to significantly affect both ICT access and travel out-comes. The built environment, represented by neighbourhood typologies, also played an important role. However, it was found that after controlling for the self-selection effect, built environment and socio-demographics, those who had a mobile phone available produced 30?% more GHGs during the observed week than those who did not. This higher level of GHG pro-duction was accompanied by a 12?% higher measure of activity dispersion. On the other hand, having internet access at home was associated with lower GHGs (?19?%) and lesser activity dispersion (?25?%). Possibly, mobile phones enable individuals to cover more space and produce more emissions, while the internet provides opportunities to stay at home or avoid motorized travel thus reducing emissions. The estimated effects of having a mobile phone were not only negative but also larger in magnitude from the environmental point of view than those of fixed internet access. However, the results of this study also suggest that access to mobile phones and internet may have substantial and compensatory effects at the individual level that are undetected when using model structures that do not take into account that unobserved factors may influence both ICT choices and travel outcomes.     

信号交叉口行车风险场建立及车辆通行行为优化

随着汽车逐步向智能化、网联化发展,智能网联车辆逐步进入实际应用阶段。进行智能网联车辆的通行行为优化,对提升驾驶安全性和行车效率,避免事故发生和交通拥堵至关重要。车辆在通过交叉口时将受到很多环境及运动因素的影响,而现有的通行优化模型难以准确表达各类因素共同作用下的行驶环境。为此,基于风险场理论建立由环境场和运动场组成的信号交叉口行车风险场,表征信号交叉口中每点的实时行车风险程度,从而引导车辆驶向风险值低点,并提供下一步长的位移及速度指引,实现车辆的动态轨迹优化及速度控制。典型场景下的仿真结果表明：在优化模型的控制下单车的信号交叉口通行效率明显提升,其中直行方向车辆单车平均通行效率提升最高,平均提升6.35%,通过对交叉口面积内所有车辆进行通行行为优化,交叉口通行效率提升了9.3%,这表明所建模型可以准确表达交叉口行车环境并优化车辆通行行为。研究结论可应用于自动驾驶车辆的交叉口通行控制,并为网联环境下的行车环境表达和安全驾驶控制提供模型基础。     

考虑泥沙淤积的三峡水库9月分旬控制水位研究

采用9月分旬蓄水的方式,可以较好地应对三峡水库汛后提前蓄水时特大洪水的可能威胁。但随着水库运用时间的增加,泥沙淤积将造成大量库容损失,9月分旬控制水位确定时必须要考虑泥沙淤积的影响。本文通过水库泥沙淤积计算,考虑了泥沙淤积造成的库容损失,对三峡水库9月分旬控制水位进行了深入研究。结果表明,与不考虑泥沙淤积情况下的控制水位相比,考虑泥沙淤积的9月分旬控制水位进一步降低了可能的防洪风险,同时,虽然水库发电效益也略有减小,但影响不大。     

不同渗透系数地层中泥浆渗透成膜试验研究

为了改善泥浆在高渗透性地层中难以成膜的问题,给泥水盾构工程中泥浆的配制提供参考,针对膨润土泥浆在砂土地层中渗透成膜的过程,以某高铁隧道砂卵石地层中泥水盾构施工为背景,开展了泥浆在不同渗透系数地层中的成膜试验。试验采用自行设计的内径为300 mm的泥浆渗透装置,利用分级加压的方式使泥浆压力转化为地层的有效支护压力,分析了地层渗透系数、泥皮厚度、泥浆滤失量三者的关系以及成膜的判断方法。研究结果表明:泥皮厚度随着地层渗透系数的变大表现为先增大后减小,而泥浆滤失量随之不断增大,在泥皮厚度增大阶段厚度与滤失量成正相关,在泥皮厚度减小阶段厚度与滤失量成负相关,泥皮厚度最大值点是泥浆渗透有效成膜的转折点;过泥皮厚度最大值点的k线可为泥浆适应性判断提供参考,k线左侧是泥浆渗透成膜的稳定区域,而在k线右侧区域,泥浆颗粒的消耗量与滞留量呈负相关,泥浆的适应性较差;采用D₁₅/d₈₅的值能大致地划分泥浆的渗透成膜类型,D₁₅/d₈₅在10附近是成膜是否有效的过渡区,该区域对应k线右侧临近区域,泥浆渗透可以形成泥皮,但稳定性较差,故泥皮不能作为有效泥膜形成的标志;增大泥浆中颗粒的粒径能提高泥浆的成膜能力,使泥浆k线向右移动,能有效解决泥浆在高渗透性地层中成膜难的问题。     

铁路预应力路堤加固技术数值研究

研究目的:铁路预应力路堤在国内外尚属一种新型路基加固法,其受力变形特性暂未得到系统化研究,相关加固设计理论仍处于探索性阶段。因此,有必要通过数值手段了解预应力路堤的工作状态,以掌握其加固性能。鉴于此,借助ABAQUS软件平台构建预应力路堤仿真系统,分析差异化预应力加固参数对路堤变形和承载能力的影响以及预应力加固构件的受力特征。研究结论:(1)路堤本体段坡面较优加固位置为距本体顶面以下0.3倍本体高度处;(2)坡率1∶1的预应力路堤在第1、2排侧压板分别施加50 k Pa、100 k Pa预压荷载时,其变形与承载力均可达传统路堤(坡率1∶1.5)水平,并可通过提升加固标准进一步强化路堤承载性能;(3)当对第1、2、3排侧压板分别施加50 k Pa、100 k Pa、100 k Pa预压荷载时,路堤内部附加围压S11>13.5 k Pa区域大致呈x形分布并形成横贯路堤的预压加固区;(4)侧压板锚固区受力集中且复杂,应注意保障锚固区板体强度;(5)力筋在路堤加载前后的应力变化量与坡面侧向变形特征相关;(6)本研究成果可为铁路预应力路堤的加固设计提供技术指导。     

小区雨污混接改造设计探讨

城市水环境治理, 重点在源头, 由于早期设计不合理、施工不规范等历史原因,现状小区内部雨污水排放无序,造成小区内部环境不佳、 市政雨污水管网及污水处理设施不能充分发挥效益。在国家及各地区大力改善水环境的背景下, 以上海某区雨污混接改造工程为案例,结合设计及施工过程中遇到的情况, 回顾总结小区内部雨污混接存在的问题, 提出相应的解决措施。     

唐山公交用心服务谱新篇

1963年4月1日,一辆辆红白相间的公交车出现在唐山街头。自此,公共交通正式走入了唐山市民的生活。那时只有4条公交线路、34部车,275名员工。而今天,唐山市已拥有公交线路140条,运营车辆2022部,年客运总量达1.6亿人次。从1963年到2019年,56年时光弹指一挥间,唐山公交几代公交人风雨同舟、攻坚克难,用开拓进取的勇气和智慧谱写了一曲曲气势恢宏、振奋人心的公交赞歌。     

复杂水域船舶进出港全过程仿真建模方法

本文对比分析了国内外应用各种建模方法在船舶通航研究中的优缺点,提出了一种基于多智能体信息交互的港口运营系统仿真建模方法,旨在拟实反映复杂水域船舶进出港的全过程。结合多智能体系统仿真理论、离散事件仿真理论与多元数据统计分析方法,实现了对复杂水域船舶进出港全年全过程的精细化仿真,并系统总结了可通过建模解决的关键研究问题。     

基于强化学习的平行航班动态定价

由于平行航班之间的竞争越来越激烈,为提高航空公司收益,对机票销售系统中的航班和旅客分别建模。将航班的动态定价问题建模成马尔可夫博弈过程,对混合类型旅客建立Logit选择模型。利用多Agent的强化学习算法对实例进行求解,结果表明WoLF-PHC算法收敛所需迭代的次数大于Nash-Q算法,但在计算速度上WoLF-PHC算法优势明显,且具有较强的适应能力。此外,航空机票的定价策略与其他易逝品有所不同,整体呈现上升趋势。而旅客环境参数的变化,也会影响定价策略。基于WoLF-PHC算法得到的定价策略对于收益提升具有积极作用。