城市轻轨车辆最佳运行控制方案的研究

本文给出一种利用微型机实现城市轨道车辆最佳运行的控制方案,即在变化的外界条件下确定断电和制动时刻,以指导司机驾驶车辆,实现能耗最小和准时运行.该控制方案的特点是不断地利用实测值并结合估算确定断电和制动时刻,简单易行.     

Application of time series techniques for forecasting truck traffic attracted by the Bombay metropolitan region

Knowledge of future traffic flow is an essential input in the planning, implementation and development of a transportation system. It also helps in its operation, management and control. Time series analysis techniques have been extensively adopted for this purpose in the fields of economics, social sciences and in other fields of technology. An attempt has been made in this study to apply the techniques of time series analysis to goods traffic, particularly truck traffic. Four predominant corridors, N.H.3, N.H.4, N.H.8 and Lal Bahadur Shastri Road (L.B. S. Rd.), accounting for majority of truck movement in the Bombay Metropolitan Region (BMR), have been considered for modeling. Raw data was processed initially, to obtain an insight into the structure of time series. Ten candidate models of the Auto-Regressive Moving Average (ARMA) and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) family are investigated to represent each of the four corridors. Models finally proposed, to represent each of the four corridors have been selected based on Minimum Mean Square Error (MMSE) and Maximum Likelihood Rule (MLR) criteria. Models ARIMA (2, 1, 0), ARMA (1.0), ARMA (1, 1) and ARIMA (1, 1, 0) are proposed for N.H.3, N.H.4, N.H.8 and L.B.S. Rd. respectively, based on significant weekly periodicity.     

Safety culture in shipping

The emergence of a safety culture in shipping has been promoted, especially by the Secretary General of the International Maritime Organization. However, what is really meant by a safety culture? The adoption of the International Safety Management Code and of the amended International Convention on Standards of Training, Certification and Watchkeeping for Seafarers, STCW 95, together with the introduction of Formal Safety Assessment in the IMO rule making process are considered as the major tools contributing to the emergence of such. This article examines the evolution of the concept of maritime safety concept during the last decades and discusses how the adoption of new international instruments has contributed to improve the maritime safety system. It provides possible definitions of maritime safety and safety culture and discusses how far the maritime safety system is from a culture of safety.     

北京市铁路噪声特性实例分析研究

通过实际测量及数据分析，认为测量现场昼夜等效声级达到 ７７７ ｄ Ｂ（ Ａ），超过了国家标准；快速列车噪声频谱分布复杂，难以治理；列车鸣笛对铁路噪声超标贡献最大，验证了铁路噪声与列车车速的关系，最后提出控制铁路噪声的建议。     

Modelling the impact of rail fare increases

Rail fares in South-East England have been increasing in real terms for several years, and are expected to continue to do so. In this paper, the impact of such increases is examined in terms of the choices of mode of travel, home and job location, and residential migration. Forecasts are made using a model in which the population is partitioned into four sets according to whether they have changed home and/ or job over the forecast period. The model allocates population to homes and workers to jobs, and commuters to the three modes of travel considered. The impact of an increase of 25% in real fares over a five-year period is examined and a number of conclusions are drawn. The model shows that rail patronage will decline even if transport costs remain constant in real terms, because of decentralisation of jobs and rising car ownership. The overall long-term rail fare elasticity is found to be –0.7, but this is the mean of a wide range of values for different parts of the study area. People ceasing to commute by rail would divide almost equally between car and bus, the latter being used particularly to Central London. Those people who commute to London who are seeking new homes would tend to choose to live nearer London than they would have otherwise. The paper concludes with a discussion of the findings in terms of the assumptions implied in the model.     

柴油机气缸盖机械变形和应力的精确三维分析

本文在分析了国内外大量气缸盖结构分析算例特点的基础上,对16V240ZJ柴油机气缸盖的机械应力用三维有限元法在微机上进行了比较全面细致的计算,在计算模型中,对气缸盖各部分结构都不作替代简化;在边界条件的处理方面,计入了气缸套的弹性,并与刚性支承边界条件计算结果进行了比较,计算求得的位移和应力分布规律与实测完全一致,最大位移误差6.5％,最大压应力误差7.4％。     

Multidisciplinary marine environmental database for the Aral Sea

Special unique database management and processing system (Oceanbase) have been developed to work with the large sets of multivariable interdisciplinary oceanographic and environmental data. AralBase system developed to work with the Aral Sea interdisciplinary data is a variety of the OceanBase. AralBase is a special database application with the expanded functionality designed to explore large multidisciplinary oceanographic and environmental data sets. It provides many possibilities for data loading, selection, access, processing, analysis, preview and export. The AralBase has a customizing user-friendly multi-windows interface. A user can create his/her own desktops and open and arrange as many windows as he/she needs.The most valuable feature of AralBase is the integration of many service tools that allow the user to carry out almost all data processing without any additional software. At the moment, the database is loaded with the oceanographic and meteorological data provided by the participants of the Inco-Copernicus Aral-Kum Project.The OceanBase system and the AralBase, in particular, are the very flexible systems, and they can be used in any environmental and oceanographic project or institution dealing with the water environment (ocean, lakes, rivers) data. The preloaded data bases with the Data Explorer system module can be distributed among the interested scientists and experts to simplify drastically their work with data.     

Multimodal traveling and its impact on urban transit network design

Multimodal trip making, that is trips using a combination of several modes between origin and destination, is expected to be beneficial to society and might offer advantages to the traveler as well. This article looks at some of the implications of multi‐modality in trip making for the design of urban transit systems since these play an important role in multi‐modal transportation systems. In this respect, the article looks at the strategic design characteristics of urban transit networks, that is line density, stop density and service frequencies for the case of multimodal access to urban transit networks and for hierarchical network structures in urban transit systems. The analyses show that multimodal access does not require alternative network structures. For hierarchical network structures it is concluded that these are primarily determined by the hierarchy in demand densities and thus by hierarchy in urban structures.     

Telecommuting and travel: state of the practice,state of the art

This paper provides an overview of the status of telecommuting in the United States, especially as it relates to changes in travel behavior. Regarding the state of the practice, the paper discusses some refinements to the definition of telecommuting that have developed through increased operational experience. It reports several policy statements involving telecommuting, and explores the appeal of telecommuting as a public policy instrument. It highlights some trends in the implementation of home-based and work center-based telecommuting, and suggests that visible public-sector involvement has been crucial to the increased activity in this area.In sketching the state of the art, the paper outlines some frequently-stated hypotheses on telecommuting and travel behavior, and summarizes current empirical findings relating to those hypotheses. Finally, it suggests a variety of topics suitable for further research. These include studying factors influencing the ultimate adoption levels of telecommuting; impacts on energy/air quality, mode choice, and location/urban form; interactions with other transportation demand management strategies; relationships to the traditional urban travel demand forecasting process; cost/benefit tradeoffs; and telecommuting centers.     

新旧交替列车运行图客车车底周转图智能编制方法研究

编制新旧交替列车运行图客车车底周转图的实质是确定新运行图中所需客车车底的来源与旧运行图中所运用车底的去向,以实现新旧列车运行图的顺利交替。探讨交替期客车车底周转图的约束满足优化问题模型及其智能求解算法。模型以减少停运列车数量为目标,以车底技术作业时间、车底上下线地点为车底配属站等作为约束条件。利用启发式知识设计智能求解算法,得出新旧交替列车运行图客车车底周转图的满意解。