基于卷积和递归神经网络融合的交通状态指数预测

为提高交通状态指数预测精度,方便市民出行规划和提高相关机构管理预见性,创新研究了基于卷积和递归神经网络融合的交通状态指数预测模型.模型将卷积网络和递归网络进行了融合,由卷积神经网络层和递归神经网络层组成.该模型中的卷积网络能自动提取重要影响因子,同时递归网络能捕捉到前后时序特征,结果显示,得到的融合模型在交通状态指数预...     

电力推进船舶控制系统的设计与校正研究

在多约束条件下的控制系统中,相位超前校正不失为一种有效的系统修正措施[1]。文章根据相位超前校正原理,在某典型电力推进游船异步电动机带螺旋桨推进控制系统中设计串联有源超前校正装置来满足系统性能要求,并针对具体实例进行仿真验证。     

浅谈金融危机下海事监管对策

文中通过透视2008年金融危机所引起的航运业的潮起潮落,指出了航运业与造船业在不景气的情况下所存在的问题,并分析了在这特殊时段海事部门应当如何做好监管与服务工作,提出了笔者一点浅显的意见。     

Analysis of velocity fluctuations and their intermittency properties in the surf zone using empirical mode decomposition

We consider here surf zone turbulence measurements, recorded in the Eastern English Channel using a sonic anemometer. In order to characterize the intermittent properties of their fluctuations at many time scales, we analyze the experimental time series using the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) method. The series is decomposed into a sum of modes, each one narrow-banded, and we show that some modes are associated with the energy containing wave breaking scales, and other modes are associated with small-scale intermittent fluctuations. We use the EMD approach in association with a newly developed method based on Hilbert spectral analysis, representing the probability density function in an amplitude–frequency space. We then characterize the fluctuations in a stochastic framework using a cumulant generating function for all scales, and compare the results obtained from direct and classical structure function analysis, to EMD–Hilbert spectral analysis results, showing that the former method saturates at large scales, whereas the latter method is more precise in its scale approach. These results show the strength of the new EMD–Hilbert spectral analysis method for data presenting a strong forcing such as found in shallow water, wave dominated situations.     

Numerical Simulation of Advanced Geological Forecasting Based on Multi- Source Seismic Interferometry北大核心CSCD

For existing advanced geological forecasting, the forecast distance is short and the test frequency is high, increasing test and construction risks. Since various methods have different requirements for the test environ-ment, preparation work can be tedious and result in a long construction time thereby affecting normal construction.A new advanced geological forecast technique based on multi-source seismic interferometry for tunnels is proposed.This technique uses the blast at one end of tunnel as a centrum and receives the signal at the other end of the tun-nel, therefore allowing advanced geological forecasting of the unexcavated tunnel part by relative processing and im-aging. A numerical simulation of this kind of geological forecasting using the finite difference method to simulate two kinds of unfavorable geological bodies (karst and a fault) predicted them accurately and verified the effective-ness and accuracy of this geological forecasting method. © 2018, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

Exploring airline passengers’ willingness to pay for carbon offsets

This study examines airline passengers’ willingness to pay for carbon-offsets. Using the contingent valuation method of double-bounded dichotomous choice format and a survey of over 1000 Taiwanese passengers flying to countries in Asia, Europe, North America, and Oceania to gauge their willingness-to-pay for airline carbon-offsets. The results suggest that despite the trip characteristics and personal background, air travel passengers’ knowledge and perceptions of the carbon-offset scheme also greatly influence the stated willingness to pay.     

隧道内爆炸作用衬砌结构的动力响应和损伤机理研究

隧道内爆炸作用可能导致其衬砌结构的破坏和坍塌,造成车辆通行受阻和生命财产损失。为了研究隧道衬砌结构的抗爆性能,应用AUTODYN软件建立了隧道衬砌-岩石-土壤的三维数值模型,并考虑炸药-空气-结构的流固耦合相互作用,以及隧道内爆炸作用对衬砌结构的动力响应和损伤机理进行了数值模拟分析。结果表明:在不同炸药量作用下,超压峰值及冲量以爆心地面投影点为中心,向四周迅速衰减,表现出一定的规律性;离爆心最近的底板首先出现损伤,并向四周扩展,直墙角部由于受到底板竖向变形而引起的拉应力作用,较早地出现损伤,在直墙壁和拱顶产生纵向和环向的裂缝,这些裂缝把整体式隧道衬砌结构分割成大小不等的混凝土块体。     

大跨度钢箱梁斜拉桥中跨合龙关键技术

以4座主跨超过400 m的钢箱梁斜拉桥中跨合龙控制为背景,对大跨度钢箱梁斜拉桥中跨合龙的2种方法进行对比分析,对合龙各主要工序的关键技术进行研究。提出了合龙段配切长度的计算公式和合龙口宽度连续观测的测点布置方式。建议:在调整好合龙口姿态后可不加压重,也可不采用临时劲性骨架锁定;采用无线采集设备采集合龙口结构的温度场,用激光测距仪测量合龙口宽度以提高观测效率和安全性;在悬臂施工阶段关注梁长累计误差并通过调整后续梁段的制造长度消除之。     

基于关键链技术在装备维修项目进度管理中的应用研究

根据装备维修工程进度管理的现状,分析传统的关键路径技术(CPM)方法的主要问题,总结计划进度管理方法的优缺点,提出将考虑资源约束的进度管理方法-关键链技术应用于装备维修工程进度管控,运用约束理论和缓冲优化方法对具体工程项目进行进度计划调整与修理工期优化,并通过和CPM方法结果的比较分析,得出关键链技术可以更科学合理制定装备维修项目进度计划并达到优化修期的目的,为装备维修进度管理提供理论与实践参考。     

基于人体损伤的低速气囊标定研究

文章应用整车碰撞有限元模型与THUMS人体模型,对该车低速碰进行了气囊匹配分析,分析了该车在25kmph、28kmph、30kmph、32kmph的低速碰撞情况的人体伤害情况,得出了该车在30kmph时,且气囊在35ms起爆时,人体伤害最小的结论。