Bicycle mode share in China: a city-level analysis of long term trends

In the past 15 years, cities in China have experienced big changes in socioeconomic and traffic conditions, resulting in a long term change in bicycle use. This study aims to quantify the changes in bicycle mode share in Chinese cities and explore the potential causes. Based on data from 51 cities, it is found that bicycle mode share at the city level decreased gradually in the past. Conventional bicycle mode share decreased with a rate of 3 % per year, but electric bicycle mode share increased with a rate of 2 % per year. The correlations between city features such as demographics and built environments and bicycle mode share at different city sizes are compared. The generalized linear models are estimated to relate the changes in the share of different trip modes to various city-level factors. The results show that the bicycle mode share in a city is impacted by factors including city area size, population density, number of cars, percentage of local road mileage among all roads, and trip purpose. Possible reasons for the changes in bicycle uses in Chinese cities are explored and policy implications are discussed.     

Cost and time damping: evidence from aggregate rail direct demand models

There is a significant body of evidence from both disaggregate choice modelling literature and practical travel demand forecasting that the responsiveness to cost and possibly to time diminishes with journey length. This has, in Britain at least, been termed ‘Cost Damping’, and is recognised in guidance issued by the UK Department for Transport. However, the consistency of the effect across modes and data types has not been established. Cost damping, if it exists, affects both the forecasting of demand and our understanding of behaviour. This paper aims to investigate the evidence for cost and time damping in rail demand using aggregate rail ticket sales data. The rail ticket sales data in Britain has, for many years, formed the basis of analysis of a wide range of impacts of rail demand. It records the number of tickets sold between station pairs, and it is generally felt to provide a reasonably accurate reflection of travel demand. However, the consistency of these direct demand models with choice modelling and highway demand model structures has not been investigated. Rail direct demand models estimated by ticket sales data indicate only slight variation in the fare elasticity with distance, as is evidenced in the largest meta-analysis of price elasticities conducted to date (Wardman in J Transp Econ Policy 48(3):367–384, 2014). This study of UK elasticities shows strong variation between urban and inter-urban trips, presumably a segmentation at least in part by purpose, but less remaining variation by trip length. A lack of variation by length supports the hypothesis of cost damping, because constant cost sensitivity would imply that fare elasticity would increase strongly with distance, because of the increasing impact of higher fares at longer distances. In this paper we indicate that rail direct demand models have some consistency of behavioural paradigm with utility based choice models used in highway planning. We go on to use rail demand data to estimate time and fare elasticities in the context of various cost damping functions. Our empirical contribution is to estimate time elasticities on a basis directly comparable with cost elasticities and to show that the phenomenon of cost damping is strongly present in ticket sales data. This finding implies that cost damping should be included in models intended for multimodal analysis, which may otherwise give incorrect predictions.     

合成孔径雷达的发展现状和趋势

合成孔径雷达作为一种高分辨率雷达,已成为军事侦察和环境监测的重要工具,日益受到各国的重视。简要说明合成孔径雷达的应用特点,从星载SAR和机载SAR两个方面分析了合成孔径雷达的发展现状,在此基础上讨论合成孔径雷达的发展趋势。     

PLC系统在中央空调中的应用

可编程控制器由于其在工业控制方面的应用意义日趋明显,并在发电、化工、电子等行业工艺设备的电气控制方面得到了广泛的应用.随着我国经济的不断发展,社会高度信息化,新的高科技技术不断应用到各个方面中,使得智能化已成为一种发展的必然趋势.智能化也往往是从设备自动化系统开始.本文主要针对我们本次的毕业设计<智能化小型中央空调>阐述PLC控制设计与智能化中央空调(冷冻站)系统的关系.     

首部《预应力钢结构技术规程》的几点探讨

我国首部<预应力钢结构技术规程>的发行有助于推动预应力钢结构学科的发展与普及.本文总结了日常使用<规程>的一些体会,提出了几处关键符号的修改建议,计算了预应力拉索总安全系数,推导了拉索预应力摩擦损失计算公式,完善了预应力压杆拉索初张力的限值控制计算,提出了预应力拉索实腹梁的整体稳定计算方法.可供设计研究人员参考.     

舰舰导弹对敌水面舰艇突防能力评估模型初探

舰舰导弹是对水面舰艇攻击的主要武器之一,导弹突防能力是评价导弹性能的重要指标.根据反导武器系统的特点,建立了单发和多发导弹对敌舰攻击的突防能力模型.     

科考船船岸一体化网络设计及发展趋势

随着科学技术的迅猛发展,船岸一体化网络系统在现代科考船上的应用越来越广泛。文中通过我所设计并交付使用的科考船为实例,介绍了船岸一体化网络系统的用途、设计及功能;以及探讨了船岸一体化网络信息化的在日后的发展趋势。     

Effect of Explosion in a Gas Pipeline Compartment of a Utility Tunnel on Neighboring Metro Tunnels北大核心CSCD

In this paper the numerical simulation analysis of the effect of explosion in the gas pipeline compartment of a utility tunnel on neighboring metro tunnels was conducted using the software AUTODYN. The results show that the TNT equivalent in a fireproof partition with length of 200 m is 41.6 kg when the gas concentration in the gas pipeline compartment reaches 10%; the blast wave has much effect on the crown and arch waist of the round metro tunnel and it’s necessary to take some protective measures in both areas; when the surrounding soil is sand, the utili- ty tunnel is above the round metro tunnel and their alignments are in the same direction, the greater the vertical spacing between the utility tunnel and the metro tunnel, the smaller the effect of the blast wave on the metro tunnel; when the vertical spacing is 7.2 m, the maximum dynamic tensile stress is 1.86 MPa (including the static stress value of 1 MPa in the tunnel segment) and it is slightly smaller than the designed tensile strength of metro tunnel (about 1.89 MPa). The maximum vibration velocity and the maximum displacement meet the structural stability require- ments, so it is suggested the vertical spacing between the utility tunnel and metro tunnel shall not be less than 7.2 m. © 2018, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

Measuring quality of service in dial-a-ride operations: the case of a Canadian city

In many countries, dial-a-ride services are provided by public authorities to elderly and handicapped people who cannot use regular transit. Cost minimization is key to running these services, but one can observe a growing interest in quality measurement and improvement. A first step in improving quality is to define a quality measurement scale specific to dial-a-ride services. A second step is to incorporate quality measurements in mathematical models that serve as a basis for optimization algorithms. To this end, an extensive survey of dial-a-ride users was conducted in Longueuil, the largest suburb of Montreal, Canada. This paper describes the steps of the survey and presents its main conclusions: (1) 56 attributes were identified based on interviews, (2) the questionnaire developed has proved to be reliable and valid, (3) an exploratory factor analysis allowed us to determine 13 dimensions of quality in dial-a-ride services, (4) the most important criteria for users were identified, and (5) population segmenting variables by which subgroups of users can be categorized were also determined. Managerial implications of our results are also discussed.     

某高速公路下边坡稳定性分析及支护方案研究

某高速公路K87+200~K87+320段下边坡高约52 m,边坡坡度约42°~54°,地质条件较复杂。基于理正软件采用瑞典条分法和基于Midas-GTS有限元仿真计算对该边坡的稳定性进行了分析,两种方法的计算得到的边坡滑动面位置和形状基本一致,瑞典条分法计算得到的安全系数为1.241,小于仿真计算的1.309,说明瑞典条分法相对保守。针对该边坡特征,提出完善排水系统+挂网锚喷的支护方案,并利用理正软件对支护后的边坡稳定进行计算,得到其安全系数为1.359>1.35,符合规范要求,说明边坡处于稳定状态。