A dynamic computable general equilibrium simulation of China’s innovation-based economy under the new normal

Researching China’s innovative economic and financial innovation issues under the background of the New Normal, we need to carefully analyze the internal structure and interaction of China’s macroeconomics. The computable general equilibrium (CGE) model has outstanding advantages on predicting the external shock influences on economic system, but previous studies on forecast for China’s future economy mostly considered a high growth rate which is hard to comply with the New Normal scene. By constructing China’s macroeconomic dynamic CGE (DCGE) model and anticipating the economic impact of the New Normal, this paper finds that the New Normal has a certain extent inhibition on China’s macro-economy and innovation. However, after adding the research and development (R&D) subsidy policy, the negative impacts of the New Normal on macro-economy can be eliminated to realize the optimization of economic structure. In addition, after combining the financial innovation promoting policy and the KeQiang index through the simulation of macro-economy, we find that the quality of economic growth is improved. Finally, we provide the policy recommendations for the realization of an innovative economy under China’s New Normal.     

Non-probabilistic reliability research on multi-variable hydraulic turbine blade model

Based on the interval mathematics and possibility theory, the variables existing in hydraulic turbine blade are described. Considering the multi-failure mode in turbine blade, multi-variable model is established to meet the actual situation. Thus, non-probabilistic reliability index is presented by comparing with the output range and the given range.     

Reliability analysis of multi-state repairable system with dynamic transition probabilities

Inadequate maintenance decisions lead to incremental overall costs. In order to minimize costs in maintenance of the multi-state repairable system, we model a preventive maintenance (PM) scheme of the multistate repairable system using non-Markov process. The periodically decreasing reliability model of the non-Markov dynamic system with dynamic transition probabilities is established to satisfy the probability change. The diesel engine system is taken as an example to illustrate the model. The reliability of the diesel engine is analyzed and its PM scheme is worked out. RENO software is used to simulate the diesel engine system. The maintenance cost of components and the optimal PM interval data of the system are obtained by using the minimal average cost as the objective function. The adaptability of PM is judged, and the optimal PM scheme is presented.     

Online fault diagnosis of modern process industry system based on color-spectrum

This paper proposes a new method to diagnose the system fault of the process industry based on the monitor data set of distributed control system (DCS). Firstly, it defines a homeomorphism product space named color phase space which is a Cartesian product of two-dimensional Euclidean space and three-dimensional color phase space. Secondly, it maps the DCS data to the color phase space in order to get a system color-spectrum which displays the inherent relationship of the whole system. Then, it diagnoses the system fault by observing the color change on the color-spectrum depending on the physiological characteristics that human’s eyes are more sensitive for the color change than data change.     

一种民用气肋式膜结构建筑失效机理

为研究大跨度膜结构建筑在多变环境下结构的稳定性,对组成某膜结构建筑的膜材进行了拉伸试验,并采用SOLIDWORKS软件建立了膜结构建筑的1:1几何模型,基于有限元理论建立了膜结构建筑静力学分析模型,得出其等效应力云图.为简化分析步骤,利用ANSYS软件建立膜结构建筑十字连接口处的静力学分析模型,分析了膜结构建筑在不同温度、不同气肋直径和不同内压条件下的变化规律.研究结果表明:直径为335 mm的膜结构建筑,内压力从0.018 MPa增加到0.022 MPa时,膜面最大应力从48.14 MPa增加到58.84 MPa,加大了膜材的负荷;在不考虑安全系数的情况下,膜材的适用温度从70℃降到56℃以下,表明使用该膜材的膜结构建筑不能持续在高温下工作.      

轮胎吊大车行走信号自动显示装置的开发与应用

介绍了将信息技术、通讯技术、电控技术有机结合,应用于箱区管理系统,提高了“箱区无人化管理”的安全性。     

哈尔滨市利用既有人防隧道建设轨道交通的适用性研究

在分析哈尔滨市既有人防隧道工程特点的基础上,提出了既有隧道改建为城市轨道交通线路时线路贯通性和限界适应性研究的关键技术,并重点阐述了研究的技术路线、技术要点、评价指标体系以及线路设计与限界分析自动化等内容。既有人防隧道经过一定的技术改造可以满足哈尔滨市轨道交通线路的设计要求。     

天津市快速轨道交通线网建设与城市发展

在天津市经济发展势头良好的前提下．对投资快速轨道交通线网建设进行社会和经济效益的分析,阐述快速轨道交通建设对天津市城市发展的重要作用。     

散化集装箱拆箱灌包工艺的改进

2004年上半年,一些货主开始利用返程集装箱装进口散化肥,这样既避免了空箱返回,提高了集装箱利用率,降低了运输成本,又有利于开拓散化这一货种的多样化运输方式,提高散化运输的机动性和灵活性。为了适应这一新型货种的装卸需要,在原有工艺的基础上进行了工艺技术创新,取得了比较理想的效果。     

泵送混凝土塑性裂缝成因分析及防治措施

本文阐述泵送混凝土浇筑成型后产生的塑性裂缝 ,分为塑性沉降裂缝和塑性收缩裂缝。它们的成因和防范措施以及对已硬化塑性混凝土裂缝的处理。