基于多项Logit模型的轨道交通站点步行接驳范围

在分析步行环境、出行时间、出行费用等出行特征影响因素的基础上,运用多项Logit模型建立了居民出行方式选择模型,根据效用相当原则确定城市轨道交通步行接驳范围。根据某城市的某个轨道交通站点的调查数据,利用本文提出的方法计算该站点的步行接驳范围,与传统的接驳范围经验取值及意向调查结果进行比较,发现计算结果与调查统计结果较为一致。计算结果表明,该计算方法是有效合理的,能够为城市轨道交通站点的规划、选址和评价提供依据。     

基于Gb接口信令分析的深圳站进路预告故障处理

进路预告信息通过GPRS网络传递,是CTC与CIR之间传输的重要业务之一,是保障铁路运输安全的重要手段.围绕广深线深圳站进路预告接收异常问题,进行故障定位,判断为因CIR发生小区重选导致短暂脱网丢包,从而影响到深圳站进路预告接收,为此提出调整天线倾角及重选参数的优化方案,为相关铁路单位运维工作提供参考.     

铁路数据网MPLS BGP VPN双归属业务路由优化控制研究

以铁路数据网BGP边界网关路由协议和铁路数据网路由规范为基础,研究铁路数据网MPLS BGP VPN双归属业务组网存在的隐患;通过分析论证和网络实践,提出了基于Route-policy与Ip-prefix的路由控制策略优化方案,解决了由于MPLS BGP VPN双归属业务路由控制不合理而将错误的路由信息扩散到全网的问题.     

盾构越江隧道囊状沼气爆炸风险的事故树分析

为保证盾构越江隧道工程顺利实施,利用事故树分析法对其开挖过程中的沼气爆炸风险进行了分析。首先建立了盾构隧道沼气爆炸事故树,并对其进行了定性分析。分析结果表明:沼气爆炸事故树共有81个最小割集,说明有81种途径能够导致沼气发生爆炸,故系统危险度高;有6个最小径集,说明有6种途径能够避免沼气发生爆炸。控制沼气溢出和提前释放沼气是控制沼气爆炸的关键因素。从沼气的释放、隧道通风、火源控制和沼气监测四方面提出了控制措施。     

船载货物单元在非规则波中系固有效性校核的一种评价方法

货物单元在运输中,合理系固是确保船舶安全的重要因素,而系固方案制定后,如何针对实际海况对其系固效果进行正确评价则是货物系固的关键.在非规则波的基础上,充分考虑到各自由度运动之间的耦合影响,提出一种更为贴近海上实际的系固有效性校核的评价方法,同时将风力、波溅力、摩擦力等因素考虑到此方法当中,由此得出的结论会更客观.也为完善系固方案提供了依据,并可作为《货物积载和系固安全操作规则(CSS Code)》的补充.     

我国海洋经济发展政策

海洋经济在我国国民经济中的地位和作用不断提升,正逐步成为国民经济发展新的亮点。然而,我国的海洋经济在迅速崛起的同时,也给我们带来了新的挑战。针对海洋经济发展现状和暴露出来的主要问题,从整体上制定一套切实有利于扶植海洋经济健康发展的政策是当务之急。     

Investigations of vehicle securing without lashings for Ro-Ro ships

To reduce the area on deck occupied by each car and the labour and time required for lashing and unlashing cars, it has been proposed by the author that in some conditions, cars on decks could be transported without lashing. To evaluate cargo securing based on this “lashing-free” concept, computational code was developed to calculate the vehicle–deck interactions for various ship motions. The code was structured by incorporating a vehicle model into a piece of ship motion calculation code. A series of time-domain simulations were conducted to evaluate vehicle securing. It was found that for a target ship consisting of a 6000-unit Ro-Ro vessel, vehicle securing is mainly influenced by the ship's rolling motions and is highly dependent on the wave height and loading conditions. It was suggested from the analysis that vehicles could be secured without being lashed in a large area of the ship in specific weather conditions and on some routes with less adverse sea states. However, it is still suggested that conventional lashing holes should be constructed on the deck because in severe sea states the cars will still need to be lashed. The limitations of the current investigations are also presented. The relevant research work was carried out at the Division of Ship Design and Engineering, Department of Shipping and Marine Technology, Chalmers University of Technology.     

Exact and simplified estimations for elastic buckling pressures of structural pipe-in-pipe cross sections under external hydrostatic pressure

Structural pipe-in-pipe cross sections have significant potential for application in offshore oil and gas production systems because they combine thermal insulation performance with structural strength and self weight in an integrated way. Such cross sections comprise inner and outer thin-walled pipes with the annulus between them fully filled by a selectable filler material to impart an appropriate combination of properties. Structural pipe-in-pipe cross sections can exhibit several different collapse mechanisms, and the basis of the preferential occurrence of one over the others is of interest. This article presents an exact analysis for predicting the elastic buckling behaviours of a structural pipe-in-pipe cross section when subjected to external hydrostatic pressure. Simplified approximations are also investigated for elastic buckling pressure and mode when the outer pipe and its contact with the filler material is considered as a pipe on an elastic foundation. Results are presented to show the variation of elastic buckling pressure with the relative elastic modulus of the filler and pipe materials, the filler thickness, and the thicknesses of the inner and outer pipes. Case studies based on realistic application scenarios are used to show that the simplified approximations are sufficiently accurate for practical structural design purposes.     

Experimental study on the nonlinear pressure acting on a high-speed vessel in regular waves

It is well known that the hydrodynamic responses of a high-speed vessel traveling in regular head waves of even moderate wave height can show significant nonlinear behavior, and so linear statistical techniques become insufficient for predicting the statistics of responses in irregular waves. On the other hand, it has been shown that an approximate third-order Volterra model is applicable to handling the statistics of some nonlinear seakeeping problems, such as motions and vertical hull girder loads. In the present study, the focus is on the nonlinear behavior of the pressure responses of the hull surface, especially on the pressures acting on alternately wet and dry areas near the waterline and on the bow zone with high deadrise angles that may be subject to slight impact and water pile-up effects. To clarify the validity of applying Volterra modeling to this problem, a series of experiments in regular and irregular head waves were carried out, and approximate third-order and fifth-order Volterra models with the proposed algorithm for finding frequency response functions (FRFs) were applied as a means of validation. In the present article, the first part of the validation was performed using experimental data in regular waves. It was confirmed that the third-order Volterra model has adequate accuracy to simulate deterministically the variation of pressure responses in regular waves of different wave steepness up to a wave amplitude to wavelength ratio of 0.01 even for the highly nonlinear pressures acting on the above-mentioned areas of the hull surface.