基于神经网络的公交客流预测

公交客流量具有动态性,受多种因素的影响,不能或无法用精确的数学模型进行预测。通过对公交客流量预测的Elman和BP神经网络的建立、学习和训练。并以前三年的公交客流量、国内生产总值、工业总产值、城市人口数作为两种神经网络的输入神经元,第四年的公交客流量作为输出神经元,同时以合肥市公交客流量为例进行分析,结果表明：所建的Elman模型比EBP模型的预测精度高,效果好。     

Daily Generation Strategies with Consideration of Electricity Contract and Spinning Reserve

When programming the daily generation strategies, power plants consider not only the competitive bids in spot market and the original purchase contracts with distribution companies or users, but also the spinning reserve. Aiming at this goal, the paper puts forward a daily generating model, which is a nonlinear programming model containing integral and continous variables, to coordinate the power volumes of competitive bids, contract and the spinning reserve of power plants and thus to maximize their profits. Then, the model is simplified to ease its solving process, and solved by priority ranking method based on efficiency and quadratic programming. The simulation result of a case study shows that the proposed scheme is reasonable and practicable.     

关于《城市道路设计规范》部分条文的分析

《城市道路设计规范》（CJJ37—90）是目前我国城市道路设计的行业标准,其中的部分条文值得商榷．应予调整和补充。     

Structure Model of Urban Traffic System Evolution

A structure model of urban traffic system evolution is built based on the analysis of the factors influencing the system evolution and the hierarchy between the factors. Then the influencing degrees of the factors are quantificationally analyzed by DEMATE (decision making trial and evaluation laboratory). The analysis results indicate that the traffic mode structure which achieves the highest central degree is the dominant influencing factor of the urban traffic system evolution, and that economy development and the traffic poficy axe the second important factors that also affect the traffic mode structures. Furthermore, physical geography is a basic restriction to the urban traffic system evolution.     

Power-Aware Anycast Routing in Wireless Sensor Network Exploiting Small World Effect

By considering energy-efficient anycast routing in wireless sensor network (WSN), and combining small world characteristics of WSN with the properties of the ant algorithm, a power-aware anycast routing algorithm (SWPAR) with multi-sink nodes is proposed and evaluated. By SWPAR, the optimal sink node is found and the problem of routing path is effectively solved. Simulation results show that compared with the sink-based anycast routing protocol (SARP) and the hierarchy-based anycast routing protocol (HARP), the proposed algorithm improves network lifetime and reduces power consumption.     

城市快速公交与常规公交系统协调评价探讨

通过分析城市快速公交与常规公交系统协调的特征,可知相关研究应从规划协调、运营协调两个方面着手,建立两种公交系统的协调评价指标体系,并确定各指标的权重,这对于快速公交与常规公交的线网规划和运营管理有一定的指导意义。     

小净距空间交叉隧道段施工技术研究

针对目前小净距空间交叉隧道开挖扰动大而容易导致既有隧道受到影响的问题,相关实例分析发现,在隧道施工中应对底板较薄弱的地段采用人工辅以机械开挖,同时在爆破作业中应遵循短进尺、弱爆破的原则,参考爆破震动监控量测反馈信息,及时调整爆破方案,以达到控制其对既有建构筑物的影响的目的。     

论稀浆封层、改性稀浆封层、微表处之异同

随着我国大量高速公路进入维修养护期,稀浆封层、改性稀浆封层、微表处等路面预防性养护技术受到了前所未有的关注。从定义、技术要求、应用范围等多方面出发,分析这三项预防性养护技术的异同,有助于公路工程者以科学的态、度,从实际情况出发,因地制宜,进行严格的甄选。     

城市客运交通合理结构的确定方法研究

合理的城市客运交通结构是解决城市交通问题的关键.从城市交通结构的选择原则和不同类型城市客运交通方式优先发展次序两方面,探讨实现城市客运交通结构合理化要解决的首要问题以及具体措施,对于满足城市各类交通需求,促进城市交通的综合治理、城市交通规划以及城市交通设施的基本建设均具有重要的指导意义.