评《东南亚港埠与政体之兴衰》

<正>本书收录的12篇论文,系20世纪80年代初由东南亚英国学院资助召开的两次学术研讨会的研究成果,令人耳目一新。这些文章对东南亚部分重要地区从古代至19世纪末的贸易与政体之间的相互关系进行了选择性的探讨。不过,书中绝大部分的论文讨论的是1400年之后的情况,当时,贸易的迅速增长限制了该地区传统权力的变动。书中仅有一篇有关阿瑜陀耶(Ayutthaya)的文章考察了东南亚大陆的非马来地区。     

Financing urban transport projects in Europe

Transport demand in western Europe has risen steadily in recent years and the forecasts are that the unrestrained demand will continue to rise in the foreseeable future. This growth has put considerable pressure on the resources available to finance infrastructure investments and to fund what are seen as socially important social services. The recent developments in eastern Europe and the anticipated growth of the post-Communist states will put further strains on the fiscal ability of authorities in these countries to fund transport investments and operations. The outcome has been revisions in the way transport projects are funded. This paper, taking a very broad view of what constitutes a transport project, examines the specific nature of urban transport financing in Europe.     

Forecasting transport development: Testing the utility of a simple regression approach

The analysis tests the utility of a simple regression approach in postdictively explaining transport development in West Malaysia from 1887 to 1968. The growth of the network is modelled as a process of contagious diffusion where transport densities of adjacent cells are used as predictor variables on a lagged basis. The partial regression coefficients provide measures of network orientation over time. The results demonstrate the importance of the contagion process in transport forecasting and provide equivalent levels of explanation when compared with a model which utilizes modernization indexes as predictor weights.I am grateful to Peter Gould for his advice and suggestions in the early stages of the research and for the comments of Peter Haggett, Mark Monmonier and J. Barry Riddell, all of whom read drafts of the paper. I also wish to acknowledge the financial support provided by a University of Vermont Faculty Fellowship.     

Validation of the Harshness Problem of Automotive Active Suspensions

The advantages of an automotive fully active suspension system have been promised for many years. Among them, simultaneously achieving good body and wheel mode damping is of the most fundamental. However, implementations of such concepts with hydraulic actuators have generally exhibit worse-than-passive harshness performance when such vehicles are driven through small irregularities on the road. Additional forces are transmitted through the hydraulic active suspension to the vehicle body at high frequencies. Conventional wisdom blames the non-ideal actuator in practice for the problem since most analytical papers assume it an ideal force-producing element. However, the mechanism of generating such excessive force as well as the methodology of solving it has not been systematically demonstrated in the literature. In this paper, a high fidelity mathematical quarter vehicle model is first developed and identified with vehicle test data. This model captures realistic dynamic behaviors of the hydraulic active suspension. The mechanism of creating such harshness problem is then explained with this model. To validate such mechanism, a frequency domain methodology that yields an equal-to-passive high frequency performance while maintaining a good active body behavior was developed based on this model and demonstrated with a test vehicle. The model predicts the test results almost exactly.     

The privatization of United Kingdom seaports

The background is described to U.K. port administration and the implementation of the Conservative Goverment's privatization policy is reivewed. The objectives of privatization and the ways in which it has been achieved with trust and municipal port authorities are discussed. The paper goes on to discuss the difficulties encountered in privatizing statutory undertakings and concludes by examining the benefits port managers claim have arisen from the introduction of teh policy.     

A simultaneous route-level transit patronage model: demand,supply, and inter-route relationship

In this paper we present a route-level patronage model that incorporates transit demand, supply and inter-route effects in a simultaneous system. The model is estimated at the route-segment level by time of day and direction. The results show strong simultaneity among transit demand, supply and competing routes. Transit ridership is affected by the level of service, which in turn is determined by current demand and ridership in the previous year. The model demonstrates that a service improvement has a twofold impact on ridership; it increases ridership on the route with service changes, but it also reduces the ridership on competing routes so that the net ridership change is small. The model is thus useful for both system-level analysis and route-level service planning.     

The role of accessibility in basic transportation choice behavior

Accessibility measures reflect the level of service provided by transportation systems to various locations. Basic transportation choice behavior is defined to include those decisions of how many automobiles to own and how many trips to which destinations to make by automobile and by public transit. Here, these decisions are assumed to be made jointly by urban households and are conditional upon residential location decisions. It is the purpose of this paper to explore the role of accessibility as a causal factor in such basic transportation choice behavior.An economic utility theory model of choice behavior is postulated in which the benefits from making trips to specific destinations are reflected by measures of destination attraction. Through determination of utility-maximizing trip frequencies, indirect utility functions are developed which include accessibility concepts. Behavioral implications of these concepts are proposed and contrasts are drawn to accessibility measures used in conventional segregated models of trip distribution, modal choice, and automobile ownership.Sensitivity analyses of alternative empirical definitions of accessibility in the choice model are conducted using data from the Detroit Regional Transportation and Land Use Study — covering counties in southeastern Michigan. These analyses employ a multinomial logit estimation technique and focus on definitions of trip attraction. Results of these analyses indicate that more complicated attraction measures can be replaced by measures involving the proportion of either urban area population or urban area employment within a traffic analysis zone. Also, evidence is found that decision-makers in the case study area consider trips of up to 60 or even 90 minutes duration when evaluating accessibilities offered by alternative public and private transportation systems.     

Pivot point-based control for active rear-wheel steering in passenger vehicles

This paper presents a new application of active rear-wheel steering control to improve the lateral vehicle behaviour. In the state of the art, yaw or lateral velocity is used as control variable that means one degree of freedom being not directly controlled. A worse subjective impressions due to movements in the rear end of the vehicle during strong counter-steering are a consequence. To avoid this effect in urban surroundings, an innovative structure to control the pivot point distance of the vehicle is proposed. In this case the coupled elementary states yaw and lateral velocity can be influenced based on a higher level criteria. Analysis show that pivot point fixing provides a comprehensible reference behaviour. Solving the issue of singularity during disappearing yaw movement is the basis to design a performant modified feedforward input–output linearisation. An analytic stability analysis of the internal dynamics shows system immanent limitations which do not influence the target of improving the lateral vehicle dynamics in urban manoeuvres. Finally, the advantages of pivot-based control are highlighted by a comparison with state of the art rear axle control.