基于可持续发展的城市客运交通方式分担率预测模型研究

可持续发展是人类21世纪的主题,因此在交通方式分担率预测时不仅要考虑需求,更要考虑社会经济、资源及环境。文章即基于这一思想提出了可持续发展的客运交通方式分担率宏观优化模型,在宏观控制的基础上,充分考虑影响城市客运交通结构的各因素,建立了基于距离曲线的城市客运交通方式分担率预测模型,并通过实例进行了分析验证。     

车载动态实时可视化交通信息服务系统

一种新型城市交通信息服务系统,它采用GPS接收机、数码像机、有线/无线智能传感器、辅以人工等方式完成路况信息采集,经控制中心处理后按1～3次/min频率生成全面、综合反映路况信息的实时、动态交通图,通过无线传输为公众提供实时、动态路况信息,并用全新概念的车载显示器Skipper显示路况信息,实现道路车辆均衡化、提高道路利用率。论述了其开发背景、系统构成及工作原理、核心产品开发与运用等。     

基于时频混合格式的桥梁抖振响应计算方法

利用一种时频混合格式计算桥梁在紊流风激励下的抖振时程响应。针对动力风荷载既有时域内定义的抖振激励力,又有用频域内的颤振导数来定义的与结构自身运动有关的气弹自激力,存在时频混合项的特点,引入时频混合格式的AFT方法来计算桥梁抖振时程响应;在保持频域计算高效性的同时,又通过拟力概念在时域计算结构非线性不平衡力和气弹力造成的振型耦合,通过迭代使其收敛。通过算例验证了该格式是一种可行的计算桥梁抖振响应的方法。     

铜黄一级公路滑坡发育规律与成灾机理分析

文章从铜黄公路地质背景条件入手,通过对滑坡分布规律和发育特征的总结,分析了滑坡的成灾机理与变形破坏特征,对今后公路建设中的滑坡治理工作有一定的借鉴作用。     

APA沥青混合料高温浸水车辙试验研究

采用沥青路面分析仪对5种沥青混合料进行APA高温浸水车辙试验,通过对沥青混合料高温浸水车辙深度与轮碾次数图形形状的分析,提出了一种以K1、K2和转点为参数的数据处理方法.     

Study on dynamic characteristics of vehicle gearbox under multi-boundary conditions

With the development of vehicle gearbox to high-power-density and high-speed, how to predict and optimize the dynamic characteristics of vehicle gearbox becomes increasingly prominent. Aiming at the vehicle gearbox, this paper comprehensively and deeply studies the dynamic characteristics under the multi-boundary conditions. The generation mechanism of the multi-source excitations triggering the gearbox vibration is analyzed firstly. The vibration transfer path of the gearbox is explored. Secondly, the engine excitation, the gear meshing excitation and the bearing support load are numerically calculated. According to the finite element method, a fluid-solid coupling finite element model of the gearbox body is established to predict the gearbox dynamic responses based on the Galerkin method and the Hamiltonian variational principle. Finally, the effects of the excitation condition, oil height and reinforcement forms on the vibration responses of the gearbox body are thoroughly studied by simulation. The analysis indicates that it not only helps to modify and improve the method of forecasting the gearbox dynamic response, and also provides the theoretical and technical guidance for the gearbox design and optimization.     

Target priority determination methods by interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets with unknown attribute weights

The paper aims at the problem of multi-targets threat degree being hard to be evaluated accurately in complex air defense battlefield environments. Combined with multi-sensors information fusion and interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IVIFS) theories, the target priority determination is studied. The score and accuracy functions of IVIFS are improved with thinking about the hesitating information in order to increase the rationality. Then, the influence factors of target priority and the nonlinear relationship between the influence factors and target priority are analyzed. Next, the algorithms for calculating the factor weights and sensor weights are given. Based on the theory of IVIFS and technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS), two methods of target priority determination based on the IVIFS and TOPSIS are proposed. At last, an application example verifies the effectiveness and flexibility of the proposed algorithms.     

Exploring the impact of walk–bike infrastructure,safety perception,and built-environment on active transportation mode choice: a random parameter model using New York City commuter data

This study estimates a random parameter (mixed) logit model for active transportation (walk and bicycle) choices for work trips in the New York City (using 2010–2011 Regional Household Travel Survey Data). We explored the effects of traffic safety, walk–bike network facilities, and land use attributes on walk and bicycle mode choice decision in the New York City for home-to-work commute. Applying the flexible econometric structure of random parameter models, we capture the heterogeneity in the decision making process and simulate scenarios considering improvement in walk–bike infrastructure such as sidewalk width and length of bike lane. Our results indicate that increasing sidewalk width, total length of bike lane, and proportion of protected bike lane will increase the likelihood of more people taking active transportation mode This suggests that the local authorities and planning agencies to invest more on building and maintaining the infrastructure for pedestrians. Further, improvement in traffic safety by reducing traffic crashes involving pedestrians and bicyclists, will increase the likelihood of taking active transportation modes. Our results also show positive correlation between number of non-motorized trips by the other family members and the likelihood to choose active transportation mode. The model would be an essential tool to estimate the impact of improving traffic safety and walk–bike infrastructure which will assist in investment decision making.     

Tool for Predicting the Ultimate Bending Moment of Ship and Ship-Shaped Hull Girders

The present paper presents a historical review associated with the research works on hull girder strength of ship and ship-shaped structures. Then, a new program is developed to determine the ultimate vertical bending moment of hull girder by applying direct method, stress distribution method, and progressive collapse analysis method. Six ships and ship-shaped structures used in the benchmark study of International Ship and Offshore Structures Congress (ISSC) in 2012 are adopted as examples. The calculation results by applying the developed program are analyzed and compared with the existing results. Finally, the roles of the developed program and its further development are discussed.     

A Simplified Model for the Effect of Weld-Induced Residual Stresses on the Axial Ultimate Strength of Stiffened Plates

The present work investigates the compressive axial ultimate strength of fillet-welded steel-plated ship structures subjected to uniaxial compression, in which the residual stresses in the welded plates are calculated by a thermo-elasto-plastic finite element analysis that is used to fit an idealized model of residual stress distribution. The numerical results of ultimate strength based on the simplified model of residual stress show good agreement with those of various methods including the International Association of Classification Societies (IACS) Common Structural Rules (CSR), leading to the conclusion that the simplified model can be effectively used to represent the distribution of residual stresses in steel-plated structures in a wide range of engineering applications. It is concluded that the widths of the tension zones in the welded plates have a quasi-linear behavior with respect to the plate slenderness. The effect of residual stress on the axial strength of the stiffened plate is analyzed and discussed.