舰船工程风险演变机理和建模分析

为增强舰船工程风险管理的针对性与有效性,研究了舰船工程风险的演变机理,讨论了舰船工程中的各种风险成分及其相互关系.通过定性分析表明,随着舰船工程阶段的推移,不仅总的风险度是逐渐降低的,而且各种风险成分占总风险的比例也是不断变化的.在此基础上又通过建立数学模型的方法给出了舰船工程风险的演变模型与函数关系,并通过举例给出了风险演变和转化的趋势,进一步验证了定性分析的正确性.本文的研究成果为舰船工程风险的管理提供了理论依据.     

舰船噪声源近场聚焦波束形成定位方法

阐述了船噪声源近场聚焦波束形成定位方法,给出舰船辐射噪声的近场范围,并使用MVDR方法针对单频信号进行了仿真计算。计算结果表明,对于线谱声源情况,在声源频率较高的情况下,该方法定位效果较好;在声源频率较低的情况下,该方法定位效果很差。     

半潜船概率破舱稳性浅析

应用国际通用的概率破舱稳性理论对半潜船的分舱情况和破舱稳性进行初步分析.通过大量计算研究舱室垂向水平分隔限制、初始装载状态和边舱几何形状对分舱指数A的关系及影响,得到相关要素间的关系曲线图表和船舶设计指导原则.结合一艘半潜船破舱稳件概率方法的计算实例.针对概率衡准(SOLAS)做出计算结果的理论解释.最后给出半潜船的设计要素,对船舶设计初期指导压载水舱划分和评价概率破舱稳性具有参考价值.     

基于加权最小二乘法的武器装备批量生产成本费用研究

加权最小二乘法考虑了现实情况下普遍存在的异方差性,在经济预测中有着更为广泛的应用。在系统研究我国武器装备批量生产规律和状况的基础上,结合计量经济的相关理论,提出基于加权最小二乘法的费用预测模型,并辅以实例进行分析,结果表明,该方法移植性好,由于消除了异方差性的影响,模型的拟合和预测性能较一般最小二乘法更佳。     

基于CCM构件的HLA仿真开发研究

HLA仿真作为新一代分布仿真体系结构,对仿真界产生了深刻影响。但是由于HLA与其它中间件技术没有建立广泛的联系,使得HLA的可重用性仅仅局限在HLA范围内,同时HLA的开发也具有很大的复杂性。在深入研究HLA仿真框架的基础上,提出了一种基于CORBA构件模型（CCM）构件的HLA仿真开发方法,该方法利用CCM构件技术来实现各联邦成员的具体功能。该方法提高了软件重用率和仿真开发效率,并优化了HLA仿真系统的软件层次结构。验证中该方法成功运用于舰船作战系统联邦的指控系统联邦成员仿真。结果表明该方法确实可行。     

初始缺陷对耐压圆柱壳结构极限承载力的影响

为了考察初始缺陷、材料等因素对耐压圆柱壳结构极限承载力的影响,本文利用ANSYS有限元软件构造模型对耐压圆柱壳结构进行模拟．研究了缺陷幅值在一定范围内变化时,初始缺陷对耐压圆柱壳极限承载力的影响,并将有限元计算结果与理论计算结果进行比较,讨论了材料的改变对极限承载力的影响．初始缺陷幅值不会改变耐压圆柱壳结构的失稳模态,且对结构极限承载力的影响有限,但材料的改进对提高结构极限承载力的效果显著．     

涵洞基坑降水方案比选与参数分析

结合哈大铁路客运专线DK651+972涵洞施工的实例,论述了根据实际水文地质条件确定降水方案,对以往经验参数进行修改,以达到降水目的及确保工程顺利进行。     

AB组填料在高铁路基填筑施工中的质量控制与检测

本文主要介绍哈尔滨至大连客运专线路基AB组填料施工工艺。     

Air pollution history elucidated from anthropogenic spherules and their magnetic signatures in marine sediments offshore of Southwestern Taiwan

Kaohsiung City and its neighborhood in the southwestern coastal plain of Taiwan have suffered serious air pollution since the region became the largest center for heavy-industry on the island. In order to unravel the air pollution history of the region, four ²¹⁰Pb- and ¹³⁷Cs-dated sediment box cores recovered in 2006 from offshore of this area were chosen for magnetic and petrographic analyses. The data were used to distinguish changes in concentration, composition and grain size of magnetic particles in the sediments due to inputs of anthropogenic magnetic spherules. Sedimentation rates have been reasonably constant for the last one hundred years, except at the core tops which were affected by a turbidite layer induced by a typhoon in 2005. Down-core profiles of mass-specific magnetic susceptibility (χ) and saturation isothermal remanent magnetization (SIRM) are similar among the cores, and reflect similar trends to magnetic spherule counts. This reveals that χ and SIRM of modern marine sediments can be used as air pollution indicators for nearby industrialized upwind areas. The studied record indicates that industrialization of the area was gradual during 1950–1980 and boomed afterward, resulting in a high production of airborne magnetic spherules, which is consistent with evidence for poor air quality at that time. Optical and scanning electron microscopic (SEM) surveys of magnetic extracts indicate that the magnetic spherules have grain sizes ranging from a few micrometers up to 50 μm and consist mainly of iron oxides with variable Si, Al, and Ca contents. X-ray diffraction analysis on magnetic extracts from different depths in the cores further indicates that magnetite and pyrrhotite, which are derived from terrigenous detritus, form the magnetic constituents of the sediments before the area was industrialized. In contrast, during the industrial boom, anthropogenic magnetite and hematite spherules became the dominant magnetic particles in the sediments. Down-core profiles of hard isothermal remanent magnetization (HIRM) below the turbidite layer also reveal similar trends to the corresponding magnetic spherule counts, which indicate that the concentration of hematite in the sediments is also closely related to the extent of air pollution. In addition, relatively low values of χ_ARM/χ, which are indicative of coarse magnetic grains, started to occur when large magnetite spherules became significant during the industrialized period. The air pollution history elucidated from our sediment core data not only reflects the development of Kaohsiung from a small village to a highly industrialized metropolitan area in the 20th century, but it is also consistent with the most recent air pollution trends revealed by real time air quality measurements of PM₁₀. Our results demonstrate the usefulness of magnetic parameters for delineating the air pollution history of coastal marine sediments down-wind of nearby industrialized regions.