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941.
海事系统提出了"三个一"和"四型海事"的建设目标。文章分析了海事业务信息系统现状与需求之间的差距,提出利用整合海事系统业务信息资源,全面提高信息化对海事协同监管、公共服务、决策支持的支撑水平。 相似文献
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计算流体力学软件应用于潜水器外形优化设计时,精度虽高,但效率低下。因此研究了试验设计和响应面模型技术,提出了一个潜水器外形优化设计的策略。其基本思想是:首先应用Gambit软件的日志文件建立起水动力分析模型,然后根据设计要求选取设计变量,用试验设计的方法在设计变量空间里选取样本点并进行阻力性能计算,得到各样本点的响应,并建立阻力、包络体积的二阶多项式模型响应面模型。潜水器设计时需要考虑能源与设备布置要求,因此将阻力与体积作为艇型优化的两个目标,研究了多目标遗传算法,并给出了Pareto最优解集。结果表明,文中采用近似模型的艇型优化过程,不但效率得到提高,精度也能得到保证,而且由CFD结果建立的阻力估算公式可以为后续设计带来很高的参考价值。 相似文献
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Propeller blade width measurement has been extensively studied in the past using direct and indirect methods, and it plays a great role in determining the quality of the finished products. It has surveyed that previous techniques are usually time-consuming and erroneous due to a large number of points to be processed in blade width measurement. This paper proposes a new method of measuring blade width using two images acquired from different viewpoints of the same blade. And a new feature points matching approach for propeller blade image is proposed in stereo vision measurement. Based on these, pixel coordinates of contour points of the blade in two images are extracted and converted to real world coordinates by image algorithm and binocular stereo machine vision theory. Then, from the real world coordinates, the blade width at any position can be determined by simple geometrical method. 相似文献
947.
针对我国港口安全风险的现状,从系统工程角度,采用层次分析法的基本原理,建立了港口安全风险分析模型,并运用模糊数学构建了隶属函数,求得港口安全风险的模糊评判矩阵,通过模糊评判获得了港口安全风险综合分数.结果表明,该评判方法能够科学合理地综合评价港口安全风险状况,为有关港口部门改善港口安全状况提供决策依据. 相似文献
948.
Mengshi Lu Simin Huang Zuo-Jun Max Shen 《Transportation Research Part B: Methodological》2011,45(8):1251-1265
Product substitution can mitigate supply chain disruptions. However, it may not be very effective without multiple sourcing. In this paper, we consider a supply chain with two downward substitutable products. The products can be ordered from an unreliable supplier or a reliable but more expensive supplier. It is found that in an optimal sourcing policy the higher-grade product should be preferred over the lower-grade product. A sufficient condition is given for an optimal policy where only the higher-grade product is dual-sourced. The effect of substitution is contrasted with the non-substitution case. Numerical study shows the impact of demand variability and correlation on the effect of product substitution and the corresponding optimal sourcing policy. 相似文献
949.
A bayesian dynamic linear model approach for real-time short-term freeway travel time prediction 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Xiang Fei Chung-Cheng Lu Ke Liu 《Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies》2011,19(6):1306-1318
This paper presents a Bayesian inference-based dynamic linear model (DLM) to predict online short-term travel time on a freeway stretch. The proposed method considers the predicted freeway travel time as the sum of the median of historical travel times, time-varying random variations in travel time, and a model evolution error, where the median is employed to recognize the primary travel time pattern while the variation captures unexpected supply (i.e. capacity) reduction and demand fluctuations. Bayesian forecasting is a learning process that revises sequentially the state of a priori knowledge of travel time based on newly available information. The prediction result is a posterior travel time distribution that can be employed to generate a single-value (typically but not necessarily the mean) travel time as well as a confidence interval representing the uncertainty of travel time prediction. To better track travel time fluctuations during non-recurrent congestion due to unforeseen events (e.g., incidents, accidents, or bad weather), the DLM is integrated into an adaptive control framework that can automatically learn and adjust the system evolution noise level. The experiment results based on the real loop detector data of an I-66 segment in Northern Virginia suggest that the proposed method is able to provide accurate and reliable travel time prediction under both recurrent and non-recurrent traffic conditions. 相似文献
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