Two-Factor Fuzzy Time Series for Equipment Data Prediction

The data forecasting of plant equipment plays an important role in assurance of the safe and reliable operation of the plant equipment. Thus, it is necessary to improve the accuracy of data forecasting of the equipment. A new two-factor fuzzy time series algorithm is proposed to forecast the data of the plant equipment. This method not only overcomes the limitations of one factor fuzzy time series algorithm, but also overcomes the drawbacks of traditional two-factor fuzzy time series algorithm. The collected data is used in the power plant to conduct experiments, where the metrics is Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results show that this method is superior to the existing two-factor fuzzy time series algorithms, and yields good results in the equipment prediction.     

THE CLINICAL APPLICATION OF VENTRICULAR ASSIST DEVICE

Withthedevelopmentofventricularassistde-vice(VAD),VADhasbeenwidelyappliedandproducedsatisfactoryresultrecently[1~3].Thepur-poseofusingVADistohelpthediseasedhearttorestandrestoreitsfunctionortoimprovethefunc-tionsofotherorgansbyreplacingthediseasedhearttomakethepatientremainrelativelyhealthtowaitforadonatedheartfortransplantation.SinceDecember1998,biventricularassitsdevicehasbeenfirstutilizedinourinstitute.Afemalepatientaged42hadhertwovaIvestransplanted3yearsago,butrecentlyshefeltthatshecou…     

潜艇磁场建模方法的分析与比较

对潜艇进行磁探仪探测,需了解潜艇的磁特性模型.潜艇磁性物质分布复杂,直接用解析方法求解其磁场相当困难.经过近几十年的发展,目前已经得到了多种有效的潜艇磁场建模方法.本文分析了目前潜艇磁场建模的几种方法,对各种方法的基本原理进行阐述,并对其适用范围进行分析.最后对潜艇磁场数学模型的选择进行了说明.     

水面目标合成孔径雷达图像识别系统研究

从现代战争全天时、全天候、大范围和远距离探测的需要出发,提出了水面目标SAR图像识别系统的设想,阐述了部分问题的解决方法.     

能量守恒原理在Ⅴ级围岩隧道衬砌设计中的应用研究

在围岩-衬砌这个封闭系统中,隧道的开挖和支护过程伴随着能量的传递和转化,不考虑热能散失并将围岩视为弹性体,则围岩势能的释放即为衬砌结构弹性应变能的增加。刘红燕等[1-2]利用该能量守恒原理对Ⅲ级围岩单线铁路隧道进行了衬砌厚度的计算,在此研究成果的基础上进一步研究了能量守恒原理对于Ⅴ级围岩衬砌设计的适用情况。针对Ⅴ级围岩建立FLAC3D模型动态模拟隧道的开挖过程,利用matlab语言编写弹性应变能密度函数从而得到实体模型各单元的弹性应变能,最后得到特定范围内围岩势能随掘进深度的变化曲线。由此围岩势能变化曲线可得出隧道开挖后围岩的势能释放值。此外,通过进行钢纤维混凝土(SFRC)构件的韧性试验,确定SFRC三分梁破坏与SFRC衬砌破坏时的能量消耗关系。据此建立能量方程并可得出SFRC衬砌的理论厚度,经检算,设计厚度满足安全性要求。结果表明,能量守恒原理的隧道衬砌设计方法不再受Ⅱ、Ⅲ级围岩小断面情形的限制,它同样适用于V级围岩大断面隧道的衬砌设计。     

基于DSP和CAN总线的数据采集与处理系统

在电力系统中高效、快速、准确采集电压、电流是一个非常关键的问题,针对这个问题,给出了一种使用内嵌CAN控制器的数字信号处理器TMS320LF2407A与A/D转换芯片ADS7864构成的数据采集系统方案.该方案硬件系统结构简单,性能可靠.详细叙述了系统的结构和软硬件设计,并且给出采用CAN总线技术与上位机通信的方案.     

Therapeutic efficiency of short anterior urethral stricture treated with endourethral surgery combined with iridium 192 radiotherapy

Objective To assess the therapeutic efficiency of short anterior urethral stricture treated with endourethral surgery combined with iridium 192 radiation therapy in order to decrease the recurrence rate after endourethral surgery. Methods A total of 286 patients with anterior urethral stricture (stricture length ranging from 0.5 to 2.5cm, averaging at 1.6cm) were divided randomly into two groups after internal urethrotomy and cicatrix electrotomy. The radiation group of 173 patients was treated as soon as possible with iridium 192 radiation therapy on the stricture sections while the control group of 113 patients was not. The recurrence rate was compared between the two groups during one year's follow-up. Results Among all the 286 successful operations, stricture recurred in 19 patients of the radiation group (recurrence rate of 10.98%) and in 62 ones of the control group (recurrence rate of 54.86%), with a significant difference (P=0.003). Conclusion It is an effective way to prevent recurrence by treating patients as early as possible with iridium 192 radiation on the stricture sections after endourethral operation on anterior urethral stricture.     

用神经网络评定机场水泥混凝土道面质量

为了简便、有效地进行水泥混凝土道面使用质量的评定,应用神经网络建立了道面平整度、摩擦系数与道面使用质量间的网络模型。通过对12个军用机场道面平整度、摩擦系数和道面损坏状态的调查,将所得数据作为样本对网络进行训练。结果表明,当目标误差为1×10-5时,计算值与实测值间的相对误差均小于03 %。该法可用来进行道面使用质量的评定。     

西安市客运交通结构调查与分析

城市客运交通结构调查与研究是合理规划交通出行方式、提高城市交通效率和制定交通政策的重要环节。首先采用发放调查问卷的形式进行出行调查,通过数据处理与分析得出西安市出行方式结构比例,与2000年居民出行调查结果进行对比,分析了交通结构比例的变化和影响变化的因素。根据客运交通结构的实际,结合西安的城市建设、交通现状及道路条件,提出以TOD模式为主导,以轨道交通为骨干,积极发展自行车交通的建议,合理分布客运交通结构。尤其是通过设立公共自行车以及自行车与公共交通设施的衔接,充分发挥自行车交通的功能,带动整个城市交通的良性发展。     

基于EN 1317法规的汽车-护栏系统安全性能评估

汽车与路侧安全设施碰撞的单车事故数量逐年攀升,造成了大量的人员伤亡和财产损失。本文阐述了欧盟EN1317.2法规的技术要求和试验方法,涉及护栏防护等级与试验类型的规定,护栏自身特性、车辆及乘员安全性等性能评估指标。在此基础上,以N1型普通防护试验为例,选取某型乘用车与半刚性两波梁护栏实车碰撞,对护栏自身特性、试验车辆及车内乘员安全性进行了评估。研究成果对某型乘用车与半刚性两波梁护栏相关研究及研发具有指导意义。