The effect of socio-economic factors on the value of time in commuting to work

It is important to specify accurately the dollar value assigned to time savings, since up to eighty percent of the benefits estimated to accrue from improvements in transportation systems are associated with savings in travel time. In this paper the economic theory of consumer choice is utilized to structure a model that is used to estimate how Value of Time (VOT) measures vary with community-related variables.Parameters for this theoretical model are empirically estimated using data from transportation surveys conducted in Ithaca and Syracuse, New York and Amherst, Massachusetts. The results confirm the validity of the theoretical model and suggest that leisure time, travel cost, and household income level, as well as community population, are important determinants of the marginal value of time. These models are particularly suited for transferring data results obtained in one community to another, thereby saving survey costs, since the resulting VOT estimates are based solely on underlying socio-economic variables and community characteristics that are known for most localities. The methodology is also useful for estimating different VDT's for particular population subgroups, like the elderly, which may be the focus of a particular transportation project.     

Attitudinal models of modal choice: The multinomial case for selected nonwork trips

Attitudinal multinomial logit models of modal choice are presented for four nonwork activities: major grocery shopping, shopping for odds and ends, shopping for personal goods and visiting friends and acquaintances. Explanatory variables are individuals' beliefs about attributes of four modal alternatives: bus, car, taxi and walking. Factor analysis is employed to identify latent dimensions of perception of the modal alternatives and to eliminate problems of multicollinearities in model estimation. Models are estimated using data obtained for a sample of residents of Buffalo, New York. Planning implications of the methodology are assessed.This author is presently Systems Planner with Applied Resource Integration, Ltd., Boston, Massachusetts.     

Evaluation of transit operations: data applications of Tri-Met's automated Bus Dispatching System

In this paper, archived Automatic Vehicle Location and Automatic Passenger Counter data are used to evaluate actual bus running time variation in relation to scheduled service for Tri-Met, the transit provider for the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area. Given observed variation in running times, scheduled recovery times are found to be generally (though not universally) excessive. This results in an under-investment of resources in revenue service relative to non-revenue service. Analysis of trip level data reveals that bus operators are an important source of running time variation after controlling for such factors as route design, time of day and direction of service, and passenger activity.     

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虽然多数先进技术应用的目的是改善路网的运行效率和安全性,但目前为止其在提高道路安全性方面的作用并不突出. 例如,可以提供大容量、多方面信息的可变信息板,其设立之初的唯一目的是引导驾驶员的道路行驶. 事实上,这种信息传达装置在不发布路段行驶信息的情况下,还可以发布交通安全信息以改善交通安全状况. 本文选取两种禁止超速信息为研究对象,分析了该信息的发布对于驾驶员态度和路段行驶车速的影响. 对近100名驾驶员进行抽样调查. 测试路段为加拿大埃德蒙顿市和卡尔加里市间2号高速公路. 研究结果表明,本文所选取的两种禁止超速标识对驾驶员态度和行驶车速产生的影响相对较小.     

微观仿真在城市停车设施规划中的应用

为研究停车场规划和可达性对城市路网的影响,在世界范围内的三个不同城市应用微观仿真模型模拟停车设施规划。描述了三个城市采用的不同研究方法及得到的研究结果。三项研究都试图找到由驾驶人寻找停车位而造成的城市交通拥堵的解决方法。同时,在测试设计方案时,都使用了S-Paramics微观仿真模型。     

新的美国公路桥抗震设计指导规范

本文简要地讨论了美国国家公路与运输协会新的桥梁抗震指导规范的主要变化.该修订规范是由国家公路合作研究规划项目于2006年5月完成的.拟被美国国家公路与运输协会采用,国家公路合作研究规划项目20-07/专题193于2007年被正式采用.     

Income effects,cost damping and the value of time: theoretical properties embedded within practical travel choice models

Mackie et al. (Values of travel time savings in the UK. Report to Department for Transport. Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds & John Bates Services, Leeds and Abingdon, 2003) proposed an identity relating the value of time (VoT) for commute and leisure travel to income and travel cost, reporting the prevalence of ‘cost damping’ (i.e. the phenomenon where VoT increases as travel cost increases). This identity (or a variant thereof) has been adopted within official methods for estimating VoT in the UK, Switzerland and The Netherlands. The present paper shows that Mackie et al.’s identity: (i) implies linear preferences, not strictly convex preferences as reported by Mackie et al.; (ii) complies with homogeneity and symmetry by construction; (iii) complies with adding-up if and only if VoT is unit elastic with respect to income; (iv) complies with negativity if VoT is unit elastic or greater with respect to income; (v) violates both adding-up and negativity in the case of the 2003 UK national VoT study. We propose alternative identities which comply with adding-up and homogeneity by construction, and offer comparable fit to Mackie et al.’s identity on the UK VoT dataset. We also find that the imposition of adding-up and negativity on Mackie et al.’s identity, through appropriate constraint on model estimation, leads to an increase of around 20% in valuations from the 2003 UK dataset.     

地铁工程施工事故与风险管理

参考国际隧道协会所建议的分级系统,将2001-2006年间在亚太地区地铁工程施工期间所发生的43个事故,依其后果的严重性分级,以作为发展地下工程风险管理的基础.纳入考量的项目包括人员伤亡、经济损失及对民众生活的影响、工期的延误,以及对交通的影响.并以新加坡政府在尼诰大道灾变后所采取的一连串措施为例,列出地下工程风险管理的要素,勾画出地铁风险管理制度的基本架构.