基于四点弦测法的轨面不平顺检测及复原方法

为了实现轨面不平顺的在线连续检测,并进一步提高弦测法的检测精度,提出了一种四点弦测法。通过理论推导其传递函数,并基于快速傅里叶（FFT）变换利用MATLAB建立了其自动复原算法。为更加合理地确定四点弦测法各参数,用20个随机产生的正弦波叠加模拟轨面不平顺并选用复原误差的最大值、平均值和标准差3个指标来进行复原精度比选。在最优参数的基础上,对上海地铁一段长30 m的实测数据进行复原,其结果与对应形式下三点弦测法的复原结果对比,结果表明四点弦测法的复原精度能控制在微米级,且相对于三点弦测法误差平均值和标准差均改善了50%以上,最大值改善了70%以上。     

船体外板多点数字化成形技术研究

船体外板曲面大都是由复杂的不可展空间曲面构成的,其弯曲成形目前仍靠手工完成,成为了船体建造数字化的瓶颈之一。为了实现船体外板的数字化加工,根据船体外板成形的技术要求,提出了将目前迅速发展的多点数字化成形技术应用于船体外板成形的技术方案,通过实验证明：多点成形技术可较好地完成船体外板的数字化成形,经过精度检验可以用于船体外板的成形加工。     

证据理论在装备故障诊断中的应用

针对导弹装备故障诊断中的不确定问题,给出一种适合的证据理论的方法,在通过已获得故障信息建立故障关联模型的基础上,引入证据理论进行不确定性推理,实例验证了该方法的有效性.     

基于AR模型的填方路基沉降检评方法

通过运用数理理论之AR模型,开展填方路基沉降的检评工作,完成了工后质量评定任务,并预测其未来的沉降程度及趋势.研究表明:应用数理理论方法得出的结论,不仅具有实用价值和增强了可靠性,而且兼有鲜明的主动、事前的特征.     

隧拱变形分析的自回归与分段回归方法应用

土建工程变形分析与预测,有赖于数理统计理论方法的支持。应用自回归理论和分段回归两种理论方法,实施隧拱沉降监控,结果表明:自回归理论宜于进行工程安全质量预测预报时使用,而分段回归方法能够准确、即时诠释监测对象的变形规律的变化,同样具备实用意义。     

Next generation mega container ports: implications of traffic composition on sea space demand

ABSTRACT

Demand for sea space brought about by increasing container-shipping traffic has important implications on how this space is managed and used. This is particularly important given the long-term nature, high-asset specificity, high- opportunity cost of investment, and significant economic impact of container port activity on a locality. The challenge is especially pressing for ports, which are facing constraints in seaside capacity where container traffic also has to co-exist with the needs of other types of ship traffic. This challenge is likely be multiplied for next generation container ports, which are expected to handle even larger traffic volumes. These ports are also likely to face competing sea space demands from other economic and social activities especially when they are concurrently major confluences of trade, logistics, and urban populations. This is the first research to investigate in detail the impact and importance of investigating sea space requirements from the perspective of cargo traffic composition and ship capacity. Results show that transshipment containers can generate much higher demand for sea space due to the higher volume of shipping capacity that accompanies such traffic. Sustainability issues and managerial and policy implications pertaining to the development of next generation container ports are provided.     

Managing port-related supply chain disruptions (PSCDs): a management model and empirical evidence

ABSTRACT

In the contemporary port business environment, port resilience is of paramount importance for supply chain continuity. A result of the increased integration of ports into supply chains is ports’ potential to supply chain disruptions. This paper introduces a PSCD management model that incorporates the application of risk management, business continuity management, and quality management theories with the purpose of increasing port resilience such that supply chain continuity is enhanced. To validate this model, primary data were collected from samples of port operators and port authorities and analyzed using structural equation modeling with AMOS 22.0. The results indicate that managing PSCD using the management model contributes positively to the identification of internal and external opportunities and through that to port’s resilience of internal operations. This, in turn, positively influences port’s financial health and market reputation. The management model has several managerial and academic implications as it offers meaningful insights on policy development as well as theory building.     

江西省人口分布空间自相关分析

在空间统计相关理论基础上,利用ArcGIS和GEODA空间统计分析软件对江西省县域人口分布的总体和局部空间差异进行了实证分析。结果表明：江西省2009-2011年人口分布主要特征是江西北部地区密集,南部呈现分散分布,并且存在显著的正向空间聚集效应,其中,以南昌为中心存在高密度空间集聚效应,而在抚州东部存在低人口密度的空间集聚效应。     

数据同步复制技术在控制河段通行指挥系统中的应用

针对控制河段船舶通行指挥系统中多信号台数据与服务器需要实时同步的问题,提出利用SQL Server事务复制技术实现多信号台的数据库与服务器数据库上数据的实时同步,并基于SQL Server数据库提供的Sql Dependecy类通过C#编程对整个同步过程进行监视,实现主控端服务器能够知道何时接收到新的船舶AIS信息。     

京杭运河船舶大型化和标准化指标探讨

船舶的大型化和标准化可有效提高航道和通航设施的利用率和通过能力。引入单吨面积综合反映内河船舶的吨位和平面尺度,采用船舶尺度标准化系数衡量船舶尺度的标准化程度,可将它们作为反映船舶大型化和标准化的衡量指标之一。