Activity involvement and time spent on computers for leisure: an econometric analysis on the American Time Use Survey dataset

Internet is capturing more and more of our time each day, and the increasing levels of engagement are mainly due to the use of social media. Time spent on social media is observed in the American Time Use Survey and recorded as leisure time on Personal Computer (PC). In this paper, we extend the traditional analysis of leisure activity participation by including leisure activities that require the use of a PC. We study the substitution effects with both in-home and out-of-home leisure activities and the time budget allocated to each of them. The modeling framework that includes both discrete alternatives and continuous decision variables allow for full correlation across the utility of the alternatives that are all of leisure type and the regressions that model the time allocated to each activity. Results show that there is little substitution effect between leisure with PC and the relative time spent on it, with in-home and out-of-home leisure episodes. Households with more children and full-time workers are more likely to engage in in-home and PC related leisure activities (especially during weekends). Increments in the travel time of social trips result in significant reductions in leisure time during weekdays.     

Effect of Explosion in a Gas Pipeline Compartment of a Utility Tunnel on Neighboring Metro Tunnels北大核心CSCD

In this paper the numerical simulation analysis of the effect of explosion in the gas pipeline compartment of a utility tunnel on neighboring metro tunnels was conducted using the software AUTODYN. The results show that the TNT equivalent in a fireproof partition with length of 200 m is 41.6 kg when the gas concentration in the gas pipeline compartment reaches 10%; the blast wave has much effect on the crown and arch waist of the round metro tunnel and it’s necessary to take some protective measures in both areas; when the surrounding soil is sand, the utili- ty tunnel is above the round metro tunnel and their alignments are in the same direction, the greater the vertical spacing between the utility tunnel and the metro tunnel, the smaller the effect of the blast wave on the metro tunnel; when the vertical spacing is 7.2 m, the maximum dynamic tensile stress is 1.86 MPa (including the static stress value of 1 MPa in the tunnel segment) and it is slightly smaller than the designed tensile strength of metro tunnel (about 1.89 MPa). The maximum vibration velocity and the maximum displacement meet the structural stability require- ments, so it is suggested the vertical spacing between the utility tunnel and metro tunnel shall not be less than 7.2 m. © 2018, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

燃机动力学建模中复杂结构处理方法研究

提出了三种以动力学相似为基础的转子动力学建模关键技术,并以某型燃气轮机建模为例,对该关键技术进行了验证。利用三种方法,对该燃气轮机的动力学特性进行研究,并与整机试验结果进行了对比。结果表明,动力学分析的准确程度主要由模型决定,本文所提出的三种建模关键技术能够反映结构的真实特性,可用于具有类似结构的双转子系统。     

科考船船岸一体化网络设计及发展趋势

随着科学技术的迅猛发展,船岸一体化网络系统在现代科考船上的应用越来越广泛。文中通过我所设计并交付使用的科考船为实例,介绍了船岸一体化网络系统的用途、设计及功能;以及探讨了船岸一体化网络信息化的在日后的发展趋势。     

基于船模水池试验的船舶顺浪纯稳性损失计算扩展模式

船舶顺浪航行的纯稳性损失研究,已成为国际航海界和国际海事组织(IMO)关注的课题之一.在Ю.И.涅查耶夫根据28艘渔船和运输船船模水池试验的船舶顺浪纯稳性损失计算方法的基础上,提出了扩展模式,扩大了其适用范围,并给出了大长宽比(船长/船宽)舰艇纯稳性损失的算例,同时实现了该扩展模式的程序化,生成了实用化的软件.最后通过与CFD试验方法和一般理论计算法所得结果的对比,验证了该扩展模式计算结果的可信度.     

南海某FPSO STP单点系泊系统的再评估

本文针对一艘中国南海北部服役的STP(Submerged Turret Production)内转塔单点FPSO在极端环境条件下单点静密封失效问题进行了分析。STP浮筒静密封主要依靠浮筒上端液压大钳的预紧力、浮筒与舱壁的静摩擦力等来抵抗系泊系统的载荷,从而保证浮筒与船体舱壁的紧密贴合。本文进行了新旧百年一遇环境条件作用下系泊系统载荷评估分析,比较结果可以发现：在新的百年一遇条件作用下,单点系泊系统的最大系泊缆张力增加31%,相应地系泊系统作用在锚链盘的平面载荷增加33%,垂向载荷增加12%。进一步地进行了新环境条件下两百年一遇极端环境作用下的系泊系统响应分析,比较结果可以发现：两百年一遇环境条件作用下,平台平面位移、系泊缆最大张力以及系泊载荷均出现了不同程度的增加,此时系泊缆已不能满足系泊系统完整状态的安全系数要求。分析结果表明：该FPSO的STP静密封系统在新的环境条件下存在较大失效风险,有必要对液压锁紧装置进行优化和加强设计,浮筒与舱壁有必要重新进行结构强度评估。     

仿生水草垫在航道整治护滩工程中的应用

针对三峡水库蓄水后,来沙量大幅减少的实际情况,在长江中游荆江窑监河段新河口边滩护滩工程缓流区,开展了仿柔性植被水草垫促淤结构现场试验,取得了较好的工程效果。对水草垫促淤结构的设计思路、构件设计、促淤机理和施工工艺进行阐述,并对工程效果进行分析。该结构丰富了航道整治工程促淤结构形式。     

城市交叉口交通流特征与短时预测模型

时间尺度大于15 min的城市交通流预测模型已无法满足交通信号实时控制和交通信息实时发布的需求,通过对广州市中心区交叉路口交通流长期观察和数据采集,分析了各种时间尺度的交通流特性,提出以路口信号周期作为时间尺度,绿灯流率作为变量的ARIMA(p,d,q)短时交通预测模型。以1个和3个信号周期的时间尺度为例,对城市交叉路口不同时间段交通流进行建模和预测。结果表明ARIMA(p,d,q)预测模型结构稳定,算法简单,时间尺度为3个信号周期的预测模型可以很好地保持交通流特征,均方根误差为0.015 9,预测精度较高。     

在役大跨径桥梁基于远程监测的可靠性评价

结合实际桥梁,在介绍大跨径斜拉桥监测方案的基础上,重点阐述了基于可靠性理论的大跨径斜拉桥远程监测评价体系,包括荷载效应参数的获取、桥梁结构抗力参数的获取以及动态可靠度的计算方法等.可望在实践中起到一定的借鉴作用.     

体外预应力技术在牛首山河大桥加固中的应用

体外预应力技术是加固既有钢筋混凝土桥梁结构最有效的方法之一,本文结合南京机场高速牛首山河大桥体外预应力加固工程实例,介绍了这一技术的设计原则、施工工艺及其效果评价、检验方法等。