Time-domain shielding effectiveness analysis based on DGTD method北大核心CSCD

[目的]为精确分析金属屏蔽腔的时域屏蔽效能,提出一种基于局部时间步进技术和并行技术的时域不连续伽辽金(DGTD)算法。[方法]利用DGTD算法,对金属屏蔽腔进行全波电磁仿真,进而计算时域屏蔽效能(TDSE);利用局部时间步进(LTS)技术增大时间步长,然后结合并行技术显著缩短计算时间;分析金属屏蔽腔的孔径尺寸、腔体厚度、阵列孔间距等设计参数对时域屏蔽效能的影响。[结果]数值算例结果显示,所提方法正确、有效。[结论]所提方法为电磁屏蔽问题的仿真提供了一种有效的工具,对金属屏蔽腔的设计具有一定的指导意义。     

Induced travel demand: Evidence from a pseudo panel data based structural equations model

Induced traffic, defined as additional demand generated by improvements in travel conditions, has been a topic of research for many years. While previous studies have focused on specific and localised changes, the research described in this paper deals with the aggregate effects of changed generalised costs of travel on traffic generation: the propensity of participating in out-of-home activities on a given day, the number of trips and journeys conducted, and the resulting total times out-of-home and distances travelled. The generalised cost and accessibility elasticities estimated with a structural equations model for a pseudo panel constructed with the Swiss National Travel surveys since 1974 are surprisingly substantial even after correcting for age, cohort and other socio-demographic effects.     

Prediction analysis on propulsion shafting load based on grey system theory北大核心CSCD

[Objective]The propulsion shafting system is an important part of a ship, and the bearing load directly affects its operating state and service life. In this paper, bearing load under hull deformation is studied using grey system theory. [Method] First, according to the empirical formula of the relative displacement of each bearing caused by the deformation of the hull of a 57 000 DWT oil tanker, the relative displacement of each bearing is calculated and input into a finite element model, and the load value of each bearing is output. On this basis, grey relationship analysis of grey system theory is introduced to study the influence degree of stern bearing displacement on the load of each bearing, and the relative change of the load of each bearing caused by the displacement of the stern bearings is analyzed. A GM (1,1) prediction model is then established for the bearing load considering the bearing displacement conditions, and the hull deformation-fitting and prediction of each bearing load are made. [Results]The results show that grey relationship analysis can effectively reflect the influence of hull deformation on bearing load. The GM (1,1) prediction model has high accuracy and prediction errors less than 6.0%, and the model test indexes can represent the accuracy of the prediction. [Conclusion]Grey system theory is effective and practical in research on propulsion shaft load. It can accurately predict bearing load under bearing displacement, giving it certain reference value for research on bearing load under actual sailing conditions. © The Author(s) 2022.     

Shipping control and the changing use of marine space

In this paper Professor Couper discusses the divisions of marine space as set out in the Revised Single Negotiating Text of UNCLOS III in relation to maritime accidents. This is followed by a contribution by Mr Burger on statistical material related to the incidence of marine accidents in North-West European waters. The third section of the paper by Captain S. Abdelgalil, is devoted to a technical discussion on traffic lanes in confined waters.     

Planning vessel air emission regulations compliance under uncertainty

In this paper we consider the reduction of air emissions from vessels when uncertainty is taken into account. Uncertainty in the reduction effects of the different existing air emission controls is currently high and makes their selection for vessel emission regulations compliance a challenging process. We develop a two-stage stochastic optimization model that addresses this uncertainty. The model’s objective is to plan the installation of air emission controls over a specified time horizon for a vessel to comply in the most cost-efficient way with the air emission regulations. The uncertain reduction effects of the controls are modelled by a set of scenarios. The approach is applied to a case study with real data. The solution exposes the important impact of uncertainty on this problem, especially on the SO _X reduction, while the CO₂ reduction plan seems in this case not affected by uncertainty.     

Distribution-free travel time reliability assessment with probability inequalities

An assumption that pervades the current transportation system reliability assessment literature is that probability distributions of the sources of uncertainty are known explicitly. However, this distribution may be unavailable (inaccurate) in reality as we may have no (insufficient) data to calibrate the distribution. In this paper we relax this assumption and present a new method to assess travel time reliability that is distribution-free in the sense that the methodology only requires that the first N moments (where N is a user-specified positive integer) of the travel time to be known and that the travel times reside in a set of bounded and known intervals. Because of our modeling approach, all sources of uncertainty are automatically accounted for, as long as they are statistically independent. Instead of deriving exact probabilities on travel times exceeding certain thresholds via computationally intensive methods, we develop semi-analytical probability inequalities to quickly (i.e. within a fraction of a second) obtain upper bounds on the desired probability. Numerical experiments suggest that the inclusion of higher order moments can potentially significantly improve the bounds. The case study also demonstrates that the derived bounds are nontrivial for a large range of travel time values.     

停车诱导信息系统条件下的城市交通网络SUE配流模型及算法

停车诱导信息系统(Parking Guidance Information System,PGIS)被认为是改善城市交通拥挤的一项有效技术,不同的PGIS市场占有率对道路交通的影响是不同的。文章将出行者分成两类:使用PGIS和不使用PGIS,考虑了PGIS对出行者道路和停车选择行为的影响以及PGIS的市场占有率,构造了随机用户均衡模型来描述PGIS条件下的道路和停车选择问题,设计了相应的算法。最后,通过一个算例对模型及算法进行了验证。     

A comparative study of the dynamic behaviour of a fast patrol boat travelling in rough seas

This paper describes a comparative study between full scale measurements recorded on a fast patrol boat encountering heavy winter seas, south of the Isle of Wight and theoretical predictions accounting for the slamming behaviour of the flexible hull. A hydroelastic approach is adopted and satisfactory agreement between measured and predicted responses demonstrated.