Developing an integrated scobit-based activity participation and time allocation model to explore influence of childcare on women’s time use behaviour

Focusing on the influence of childcare on women’s time use behaviour, this paper develops an integrated model of activity participation and time allocation, where the former is represented based on a scobit model and the latter based on a multi-linear utility function under the utility-maximizing principle. The integration of the scobit model with the time allocation model is done by applying Lee’s transformation. Especially, the scobit model is adopted to relax the assumption, made in the Logit or Probit model, that individuals having indifferent preferences over participation and non-participation are most sensitive to changes in explanatory variables. Using a large-scale time use data (66,839 persons) collected in Japan, the effectiveness of the proposed integrated model is empirically confirmed. It is revealed that the probabilities of participating in compulsory-contracted activities and discretionary activities with the highest sensitivity to changes in explanatory variables are 65 and 81%, respectively. Variances of social childcare variables explain about half of the total variance of the time use for discretionary activities; however, for compulsory-contracted activities, social childcare variables explain only less than 1% of the total variance of activity participation and less than 10% of total variable of time allocation.     

An operational activity-based method to estimate CO2 emissions from container shipping considering empty container repositioning

This paper develops an operational activity-based method to estimate CO₂ emissions from container shipping in contrasts to the traditional aggregated activity-based method. Two case studies investigate the impacts of empty container repositioning policies and port handling capacity on CO₂ emission index. The results show that the aggregated method could well overestimate CO₂ emissions and the operational activity-based method is more appropriate. The paper also demonstrates that high port-handling capacity and efficient empty container repositioning could reduce CO₂ emissions in seaborne container transportation.     

胶州湾跨海大桥60m箱梁预制施工技术

介绍青岛海湾大桥60 m箱梁预制的施工工艺、技术措施和施工重难点,通过其实施情况来展现该施工技术的可靠性和实用性。     

海底盾构隧道孤石爆破预处理关键技术

文章针对基于孤石形状、分布位置的随机性及其高强度,盾构机无法直接掘进通过这一工程难题,在前期物探及钻孔验证的基础上,对钻孔参数和爆破方案设计进行了分析;通过采用对临近隧洞爆破震动跟踪监测和爆破后炮孔取芯验证的方法,总结出了一套针对海底盾构区间孤石爆破预处理的施工方法.     

柳南高速公路改扩建工程设计方案探讨

文章结合柳州至南宁高速公路改扩建工程项目情况,分析了该改扩建项目的技术难点和重点,阐述了改扩建工程设计的总体思路,并提出了相应的改扩建工程设计方案。     

电子差速系统轮胎附着特性模拟仿真研究

电子差速系统相对于传统的机械式差速器可以实现转矩的精准分配,根据轮胎的纵向运动特性以及侧向运动特性,结合轮胎滑移率让内外侧车轮在过弯时拥有足够的附着力,减小整车的横摆角速度,提高过弯稳定性。采用后轮双电机的驱动方案,驱动电机采用直接转矩控制的方法,由整车控制器将指定的计算转矩信号发送给电机控制器完成动力分配,所需转矩根据驾驶员的加速踏板及方向盘转角,运用阿克曼转向模型计算得到。     

未知时变扰动和输入饱和下的智能船舶鲁棒非线性控制

复杂海况下环境多变并且船舶具有多耦合、强非线性的特点,针对智能船舶定位控制问题,考虑在未知时变扰动和输入饱和约束之下船舶的定位控制问题,结合非线性扰动观测器提出一种带辅助动态系统的鲁棒非线性控制算法。通过Lyapunov理论证明了所提出的非线性扰动观测器与控制器结合后闭环系统的稳定性和信号的一致最终有界性。利用非线性扰动观测器对环境中存在的海浪扰动进行有效的估计处理。最后,通过仿真验证了所提出的控制算法不仅能保证船舶期望的位置和艏向,而且提高了控制速度,具有较好的控制性能。     

简述环保型多功能绞吸船结合土工管袋河道清淤

采用环保型多功能绞吸船结合土工管袋施工方法,通过施工实践过程中优化设计设备指标、施工作业流程,结果表明,所引进的环保绞吸船作业效率可达40 m^3/h,充灌经排水后淤泥含水率可达80%以下。该清淤工艺的成功应用,可为类似工程标准化施工提供借鉴依据。同时建议对绞吸船的船舶时利率进行统计计算,积累实践经验,为采用该工艺时的施工计划编排、成本测算等方面提供依据。     

适于TBM施工的HSP法实时预报技术设计与实现

为实现TBM施工隧道的实时地质预报,以TBM刀盘滚刀破岩震动作为震源的HSP法地质预报技术为基础,通过分析TBM施工工艺与机身结构特点,对HSP系统硬件和软件进行优化设计,使其小型化、自动化和智能化,并搭载于TBM上进行智能控制。在TBM掘进过程中,首先,通过隧道轮廓位置的检波器连续或高频次地采集地震反射波信号; 然后,经系统软件对数据的自动处理,实时获取掌子面前方地层反射特征参数图谱; 其次,通过智能识别技术完成对不良地质反射界面的有效拾取与判识; 最后,实现不良地质的探测。通过对适于TBM施工的HSP法实时预报技术进行优化设计,实时探查前方地层不良地质(体)位置、规模与性质,为TBM的高效施工起到一定的推助作用。     

气液混输管道清管模型应用研究

清管球在管道中运行时,受到流体的阻力形成液塞.模拟液塞在管道中流动的模型主要有McDonald-Baker模型和Minami模型两大类,用于模拟管道内稳态和瞬态流动的流体.针对管道中气液两相流体,采用上述两类模型进行模拟计算,并与实验结果相比较,得出结论:对于精度要求较高的情况下,模拟两相流管道中的流体采用某一种清管模型不能满足精度要求,应根据管道中气液混合的速度和清管球的运行速度来确定,不同阶段,采用相对应的清管模型来计算管道清洗的时间和速度.