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791.
In this paper, we take an initial look at the spatial and temporal flexibility in the activity patterns of the so-called “baby-boomer”
cohort (born 1947–1966) in comparison with younger and older adults. Using a unique longitudinal survey carried in Quebec
City from 2002 to 2005, we explore activity patterns and trip rates over a seven-day observation period during the first wave,
and take a first look at some aspects of their evolution over two subsequent waves at about one-year intervals. We model the
propensity to undertake activities within selected conventional non-work classifications such as “shopping” and “leisure”,
and also according to respondents’ own perceptions of the spatial and temporal flexibility of each out-of-home activity that
they had executed. While we cannot strictly separate cohort effects from age-related effects, after controlling for gender
and household structure, we infer that age and related lifestyle effects dominate in explaining these propensities. However,
the boomers were the only age stratum to increase their total out-of-home activity participation over the course of the panel,
an intriguing starting point for the future study of this cohort.
Luis F. Miranda-Moreno has been recently appointed as Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics at McGill University. His research focuses on travel behaviour, transportation safety and evaluation of sustainable transport strategies. Martin Lee-Gosselin recently retired as Full Professor at the Graduate School of Planning and CRAD, Université Laval, Québec, and is Visiting Professor at Imperial College London. His research interests are transport and telecommunications behaviour, survey methods, energy efficiency and the impacts of transport on the environment and public health. 相似文献
Martin Lee-GosselinEmail: |
Luis F. Miranda-Moreno has been recently appointed as Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics at McGill University. His research focuses on travel behaviour, transportation safety and evaluation of sustainable transport strategies. Martin Lee-Gosselin recently retired as Full Professor at the Graduate School of Planning and CRAD, Université Laval, Québec, and is Visiting Professor at Imperial College London. His research interests are transport and telecommunications behaviour, survey methods, energy efficiency and the impacts of transport on the environment and public health. 相似文献
792.
Between 1990 and 2000, U.S. transit agencies added service and increased ridership, but the ridership increase failed to keep
pace with the service increase. The result was a decline in service effectiveness (or productivity). This marks the continuation
of a long-running and often-studied trend. The scholarly literature attributes this phenomenon, at least in part, to transit
agency decisions to decentralize their service rather than focus on serving the traditional CBD market. Many scholars argue
that a decentralized service orientation is both ineffective and inefficient because it attracts few riders and requires large
per-rider subsidies. This research tests whether a non-traditional, decentralized service orientation, called multidestination
service, results in reduced service productivity. Contrary to what the literature suggests, we find that MSAs whose transit
agencies pursued a multidestination service orientation did not experience lower productivity. These results indicate that
policies that have encouraged the growth of decentralized transit services have not necessarily been detrimental to the industry.
相似文献
Gregory L. ThompsonEmail: |
793.
Using latent class cluster analysis, this paper investigates the spatial, social, demographic, and economic determinants of
immigrants’ joint distribution among travel time, mode choice, and departure time for work using the 2000 Census long form
data. Through a latent tree structure analysis, age, residential location, immigration stage, gender, personal income, and
race are found to be the primary determinants in the workplace commute decision-making process. By defining several relatively
homogeneous population segments, the likelihood of falling into each segment is found to differ across age groups and geography,
with different indicators affecting each group differentially. This analysis complements past studies that used regression
models to investigate socio-demographic indicators and their impact on travel behavior in two distinct ways: (a) analysis
is done by considering travel time, mode choice, and departure time for work simultaneously, and (b) heterogeneity in behavior
is accounted for using methods that identify different groups of behavior and then their determinants. Conclusively the method
here is richer than many other methods used to study the ethnically diverse population of California and shows the addition
of geographic location and latent segment identification to greatly improve our understanding of specific behaviors. It also
provides evidence that immigrants are as diverse as the non-immigrant population and transportation policies need to be defined
accordingly.
相似文献
Konstadinos G. GouliasEmail: |
794.
Exploring spatial variety in patterns of activity-travel behaviour: initial results from the Toronto Travel-Activity Panel Survey (TTAPS) 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Studies of urban travel behaviour typically focus on weekday activities and commuting. This is surprising given the rising
contribution of discretionary activities to daily travel that has occurred during the last few decades. Moreover, current
understanding of the relationship between travel behaviour and land use remains incomplete, with little research carried out
to explore spatial properties of activity-travel behaviour during the off-peak and weekend time periods. Weekend behaviours,
for example, influenced by the availability of time and the spatiotemporal distribution of “weekend” destinations, likely
produce spatially and temporally distinct activity-travel patterns. Using data from the first wave of the Toronto Travel-Activity
Panel Survey (TTAPS), this paper examines an area of research that has received little attention; namely, the presence of
spatial variety in activity-travel behaviour. The paper begins by looking at the extent to which individuals engage in spatially
repetitive location choices during the course of a single week. Area-based measures of geographical extent and activity dispersion
are then used to expose differences in weekday-to-weekend and day-to-day activity-travel patterns. Examination of unclassified
activities carried out over a 1 week period reveals a level of spatial repetition that does not materialise across activities
classified by type, travel mode, and planning strategy. Despite the inherent spatial flexibility offered by the personal automobile,
spatial repetition is also found to be surprisingly similar across travel modes. The results also indicate weekday-to-weekend,
and day-to-day fluctuations in spatial properties of individual activity-travel behaviour. These findings challenge the utility
of the short-run survey as an instrument for capturing archetypal patterns of spatial behaviour. In addition, the presence
of a weekday-to-weekend differential in spatial behaviour suggests that policies targeting weekday travel reduction could
have little impact on travel associated with weekend activities.
相似文献
Tarmo K. RemmelEmail: |
795.
Use of cellular phone while driving is one of the top contributing factors that induce traffic crashes, resulting in significant loss of life and property. A dilemma zone is a circumstance near signalized intersections where drivers hesitate when making decisions related to their driving behaviors. Therefore, the dilemma zone has been identified as an area with high crash potential. This article utilizes a logit-based Bayesian network (BN) hybrid approach to investigate drivers' decision patterns in a dilemma zone with phone use, based on experimental data from driving simulations from the National Advanced Driving Simulator (NADS). Using a logit regression model, five variables were found to be significant in predicting drivers' decisions in a dilemma zone with distractive phone tasks: older drivers (50–60 years old), yellow signal length, time to stop line, handheld phone tasks, and driver gender. The identified significant variables were then used to train a BN model to predict drivers' decisions at a dilemma zone and examine probabilistic impacts of these variables on drivers' decisions. The analysis results indicate that the trained BN model was effective in driver decision prediction and variable influence extraction. It was found that older drivers, a short yellow signal, a short time to stop line, nonhandheld phone tasks, and female drivers are factors that tend to result in drivers proceeding through intersections in a dilemma zone with phone use distraction. These research findings provide insight in understanding driver behavior patterns in a dilemma zone with distractive phone tasks. 相似文献
796.
A.T.Kearney 《上海汽车》2018,(1)
正关于自动驾驶发展进程的预测,业内普遍认同的观点是:自动驾驶汽车将在2025年前后开始呈现爆发式增长;到2035年,人类社会道路上行驶的车辆将有50%实现自动驾驶,届时自动驾驶整车及相关设备、应用的收入规模总计将超过5 000亿美元。1产品定位——从简单的交通工具转变为移动多用途空间无人驾驶首先转变的将是汽车产品自身的定位。在自动驾驶技术成为主流的时代,系统基本上 相似文献
797.
E. N. Smith E. Velenis D. Tavernini D. Cao 《Vehicle System Dynamics: International Journal of Vehicle Mechanics and Mobility》2018,56(2):221-248
In this paper, the effect of both passive and actively-modified vehicle handling characteristics on minimum time manoeuvring for vehicles with 4-wheel torque vectoring (TV) capability is studied. First, a baseline optimal TV strategy is sought, independent of any causal control law. An optimal control problem (OCP) is initially formulated considering 4 independent wheel torque inputs, together with the steering angle rate, as the control variables. Using this formulation, the performance benefit using TV against an electric drive train with a fixed torque distribution, is demonstrated. The sensitivity of TV-controlled manoeuvre time to the passive understeer gradient of the vehicle is then studied. A second formulation of the OCP is introduced where a closed-loop TV controller is incorporated into the system dynamics of the OCP. This formulation allows the effect of actively modifying a vehicle's handling characteristic via TV on its minimum time cornering performance of the vehicle to be assessed. In particular, the effect of the target understeer gradient as the key tuning parameter of the literature-standard steady-state linear single-track model yaw rate reference is analysed. 相似文献
798.
E. S. Sytov A. S. Bratus 《Vehicle System Dynamics: International Journal of Vehicle Mechanics and Mobility》2018,56(4):621-637
This paper discusses the initiative of implementing a GPU-based numerical algorithm for studying various phenomena associated with dynamics of a high-speed railway transport. The proposed numerical algorithm for calculating a critical speed of the bogie is based on the first Lyapunov number. Numerical algorithm is validated by analytical results, derived for a simple model. A dynamic model of a carriage connected to a new dual-wheelset flexible bogie is studied for linear and dry friction damping. Numerical results obtained by CPU, MPU and GPU approaches are compared and appropriateness of these methods is discussed. 相似文献
799.
B. Blanco A. Alonso L. Kari N. Gil-Negrete J. G. Giménez 《Vehicle System Dynamics: International Journal of Vehicle Mechanics and Mobility》2018,56(4):529-552
The finite length nature of rail-pad supports is characterised by a Timoshenko beam element formulation over an elastic foundation, giving rise to the distributed support element. The new element is integrated into a vertical track model, which is solved in frequency and time domain. The developed formulation is obtained by solving the governing equations of a Timoshenko beam for this particular case. The interaction between sleeper and rail via the elastic connection is considered in an analytical, compact and efficient way. The modelling technique results in realistic amplitudes of the ‘pinned–pinned’ vibration mode and, additionally, it leads to a smooth evolution of the contact force temporal response and to reduced amplitudes of the rail vertical oscillation, as compared to the results from concentrated support models. Simulations are performed for both parametric and sinusoidal roughness excitation. The model of support proposed here is compared with a previous finite length model developed by other authors, coming to the conclusion that the proposed model gives accurate results at a reduced computational cost. 相似文献
800.
This study aims to develop a framework to estimate travel time variability caused by traffic incidents using integrated traffic, road geometry, incident, and weather data. We develop a series of robust regression models based on the data from a stretch in California's highway system during a two-year period. The models estimate highway clearance time and percent changes in speed for both downstream and upstream sections of the incident bottleneck. The results indicate that highway shoulder and lane width factor adversely impact downstream highway clearance time. Next, travel time variability is estimated based on the proposed speed change models. The results of the split-sample validation show the effectiveness of the proposed models in estimating the travel time variability. Application of the model is examined using a micro-simulation, which demonstrates that equipping travelers with the estimated travel time variability in case of an incident can improve the total travel time by almost 60%. The contribution of this research is to bring several datasets together, which can be advantageous to Traffic Incident Management. 相似文献