This paper develops a model, based on Bayesian beliefs networks, for representing mental maps and cognitive learning into micro-simulation models of activity-travel behavior. Mental maps can be used to address the problem that choice sets in models of travel demand are often ad hoc specified. The theory underlying the model is discussed, a specification is derived and numerical simulation is used to illustrate the properties of the model. 相似文献
Pooling, or ride-sharing, is a term coined in the United States (U.S.) to describe various forms of collective travel organised for, and often by, specific groups of commuters with similar travel requirements. Its different forms include bus pooling (financially self-supporting works bus or commuter coach services), minibus pooling (van pooling in U.S. terminology) and car pooling. It has been claimed that these forms of collective travel offer a more personalised service than conventional stage carriage buses, and therefore have a greater chance of attracting solo car drivers and increasing vehicle occupancies. This, in turn, can lead to lower fuel consumption and reduced traffic congestion at peak times. Following the advent of oil shortages in the winter of 1973/74, considerable efforts were made in the U.S. to promote pooling initiatives. This gave rise to the publication of a substantial volume of literature that sometimes indicated significant resource-saving achievements. This paper considers the potential for bus, minibus and car pooling in Great Britain, drawing both on relevant theoretical and economic studies, and on practical operational experience. It concludes that under reasonable assumptions about the transport situation in the next decade or so, pooling could become increasingly useful for solving the travel problems of individual local groups, but that it is unlikely to become a major mode in terms of the numbers of trips carried. The effects of recent legislative changes are discussed, and the justification for further change assessed. Relevant comparisons are made with the U.S.Crown Copyright 1983. Extracts from the text may be reproduced, except for commercial purposes, provided the source is acknowledged. 相似文献
Passenger discomfort, suspension working space and dynamic tyre loading parameters are calculated for different combinations of spring stiffness and damping coefficient representing the suspension system in a quarter car model subject to realistic random disturbance inputs from roads of widely differing quality. Sprung and unsprung masses and the tyre vertical stiffness and damping coefficient employed derive from a current production car. Designs which are best for the specific conditions represented are identified and their performance properties in other (off-design) conditions are considered, and conventional design is explained as the inevitable consequence of the need to compromise if fixed suspension parameters are used. Performance improvements possible if variable parameters can be employed are evaluated as a function of the ranges of variability provided, and a stratagem for controlling parameters is proposed. 相似文献
The basis for design of stiffened plates under longitudinal compression is outlined and predictions using several codes are compared against numerical results from an inelastic beam-column formulation and test results. In order to explore the inherent differences in column behaviour separately from discrepancies arising due to plate panel behaviour, the code predictions are re-evaluated adopting a common plate panel effective width formulation. On this basis, a critical review of code methods is made and some modifications are proposed.
The effect of the magnitude and direction of applied uniform bending on the axial capacity of stiffened plates is investigated by comparing two alternative design approaches, namely an interaction equation and a method based on the Perry equation, against results from numerical analyses and from rigid plastic theory. The interaction equation is invariably more conservative than the Perry approach but its simplicity tends to be convenient for routine design applications. Finally, results of numerical analyses, together with experimental results from previous studies, on continuous stiffened plates under combined axial compression and lateral pressure are presented and available design guidance is discussed. 相似文献
The established ownership mix of urban bus operations in Australia provides a unique opportunity to investigate the productivity differences between public and private bus service supply. Using duality theory in economics which links economic indices of factor productivity to the cost structure of a firm, we develop empirical measures of total and partial productivity of inputs, and adjust the differences for the effects of ownership status and operating environment. The evidence supports the notion that private supply of public passenger transport in general has performed more efficiently in the past than public supply, although the differences in productivity need not continue in the future. 相似文献
A variable characteristic car (VCC) has been developed at Melbourne University for driverlvehicle handling research. The vehicle is unusual in that it has facilities for varying both its fixed control and free control dynamic characteristics over wide ranges. In this paper the servo systems used to effect these changes are described. The calibration methods used to relate the vehicle response characteristics to the variable servo settings are detailed. Sample calibration results are given for the fixed control parameters steering ratio, yaw response time and stability factor. Calibration of the free control parameters is also described and results are given for the steering torque gradient, and the time-to-peak and percentage overshoot of the steering wheel motion in response to a step input of torque. 相似文献