基于自适应临界状态的交通流运营安全评价

考虑实际交通流中车辆驾驶员的主观能动性,改进交通冲突技术机械式假设的不足,提出交通流自适应临界状态概念.构建车速差、减速度差和行程时间差等3个模型,量化交通流运营状态的自适应能力.以安全车头时距和实际车头时距的差值,评价实时交通流运营安全性.通过实验分析,结果表明基于自适应临界状态的运营风险与历史事故数之间存在良好的相关性.     

基于非饱和非稳定渗流场的滑坡稳定性分析

以鹰厦铁路K290滑坡为原型,基于降雨入渗情况下滑坡体呈饱和-非饱和渗流状态下,通过计算得到坡体孔隙水压力和体积含水量随降雨及地下水位变化的基本规律,进一步导入SIGMA/W程序并依据坡体孔隙水压力和体积含水量及地下水位变化特征分析了滑坡应力场,探讨了降雨强度、降雨持时和水位变化对滑坡体稳定性的影响.     

基于“众筹”的地主港融资模式探讨

资金问题一直是我国港口基础设施建设最根本的问题。地主港模式可进行多元化融资,但对民间资本引入仍存在困难,而＂众筹＂作为一种高效的民间融资方式正在迅速发展。通过对地主港与众筹国内外研究与发展的整理与分析,结合众筹模式、地主港管理模式优势和自身特点,提出实现基于众筹的地主港式港口投融资模式,并探讨该模式可行性与现存风险,最后提出相关建议,为港口融资提出新的渠道模式思考。     

豚鼠窦房结、房室结和房室束的微机辅助三维重建

在微机辅助下，利用豚鼠整心连续切片，进行立体结构重建，首次在整心上直观地显示心传导系与周围结构间的立体位置关系，为该动物的心血管试验以及医学影像断面的重建提供了直观的理论依据和操作方法。     

牵引齿轮磨前滚刀参数化图形设计

在高速列车牵引齿轮磨前滚刀齿形优化设计的基础上,对磨前滚刀系列进行了参数化图形设计,对齿形及图形参数化绘图的算法进行研究,并应用参数化图形设计方法绘制了东风ＤＦ１０和ＳＳ８－Ⅱ型机车牵引齿轮的磨前滚刀图。     

Urban traffic flow prediction: a spatio‐temporal variable selection‐based approach

Short‐term traffic flow prediction in urban area remains a difficult yet important problem in intelligent transportation systems. Current spatio‐temporal‐based urban traffic flow prediction techniques trend aims to discover the relationship between adjacent upstream and downstream road segments using specific models, while in this paper, we advocate to exploit the spatial and temporal information from all available road segments in a partial road network. However, the available traffic states can be high dimensional for high‐density road networks. Therefore, we propose a spatio‐temporal variable selection‐based support vector regression (VS‐SVR) model fed with the high‐dimensional traffic data collected from all available road segments. Our prediction model can be presented as a two‐stage framework. In the first stage, we employ the multivariate adaptive regression splines model to select a set of predictors most related to the target one from the high‐dimensional spatio‐temporal variables, and different weights are assigned to the selected predictors. In the second stage, the kernel learning method, support vector regression, is trained on the weighted variables. The experimental results on the real‐world traffic volume collected from a sub‐area of Shanghai, China, demonstrate that the proposed spatio‐temporal VS‐SVR model outperforms the state‐of‐the‐art. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于支持向量机的船舶交通流量预测模型

针对船舶交通流的随机性大,影响因素多,船舶交通流量预测的准确度不高等现象,基于支持向量机理论,结合长江苏通大桥断面的观测数据,建立支持向量机的预测模型进行短期的船舶流量预测.预测结果与实际流量比较一致,优于SPSS线性回归的预测效果.验证了支持向量机预测模型在船舶流量短期预测中的可行性.     

路基工作区深度及路面扩散效应分析

针对目前路基工作区计算存在的局限性,提出路基工作区深度计算方法,确定各等级公路典型路面结构下的路基工作区深度,并分析路面结构层对荷载的扩散效应,为基于路基路面协调受力的整体设计提供了新的思路.     

Integrated fluid-thermal-structural numerical analysis for the quenching of metallic components

The quenching of a metal component with a channel section in a water tank is numerically simulated. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is used to model the multiphase flow and the heat transfer in film boiling, nucleate boiling and convective cooling processes to calculate the difference in heat transfer rate around the component and then combining with the thermal simulation and structure analysis of the component to study the effect of heat transfer rate on the distortion of the U-channel component. A model is also established to calculate the residual stress produced by quenching. The coupling fluid-thermal-structural simulation provides an insight into the deformation of the component and can be used to perform parameter analysis to reduce the distortion of the component.