基于支持向量机的港口吞吐量预测

对传统的两个线性组合预测模型进行了研究,提出了一个新的线性组合预测模型Ⅲ。为提高精度,提出了支持向量机非线性的组合预测模型。以青岛港历年集装箱吞吐量为例,与单一预测方法、线性组合预测进行对比,结果表明支持向量机非线性的组合预测方法比较精确。     

辽宁水运发展研究

“十一五”辽宁水运面临的形势以人均GDP1000美元为标志,辽宁经济社会发展已逐步进入以提高生活质量为主要目标的全面建设小康社会和以老工业基地振兴为主题的新发展时期,这是一个社会财富迅速增加,经济结构、社会结构急剧变动,具有持续、巨大的增长潜力的时期。“十一五”正是这一新时期的起步     

移动式道路改性沥青设备的研制

介绍了移动式道路改性沥青设备的工作原理及结构组成,对设备设计与选型、控制系统的设计等方面作了论述,可供设备研制及选型时参考.     

Hierarchical network-based equilibrium model and algorithm for a mixed-traffic urban transport system

Abstract

Many equilibrium models and algorithms based on homogeneous motorized traffic have been devised to model urban transport systems in developed countries, but they are inadequate when it comes to represent mixed-traffic urban transport systems, including automobiles, transit, bicycles, and pedestrians, in developing countries such as China or India. In these cases, traffic flow on a road segment is an aggregated result of travellers' combined mode/route choices and corresponding interactions. Therefore, a special assignment model and algorithm are needed for modeling these distinct behaviors. In this article, the structure of a mixed-traffic urban transport system is analyzed and then expanded and represented using a hierarchical network model based on graph theory. Based on the analysis of travelers' combined mode/route choices, generalized travel cost functions and link impedance functions for different modes are formulated, where the interferences between different modes on the same road segments are taken into account. Due to the ‘asymmetric’ nature of these functions, a variational inequality model is proposed to represent the equilibrium assignment problem in a mixed-traffic urban transport system. The corresponding solution algorithm is also presented. Finally, a numerical example is provided to illustrate the practicality of the proposed model and algorithm.     

SBS改性沥青软化点试验特性

软化点是评价改性沥青高温性能的重要指标,为了研究SBS改性沥青软化点特性及其影响因素,采用软化点试验方法,对经过高温储存和常温储存以及短期老化和长期老化后SBS改性沥青的软化点进行了测试。结果表明：改性沥青的软化点表现出复杂的变化规律,其变化与改性沥青的配伍性有关;基质沥青对改性剂的溶胀以及改性剂对沥青的吸附是改性沥青初期性能和储存稳定性的关键,而改性剂在存储和老化条件下的变化是软化点发生变化的根源。     

高速公路沥青路面改造工程旧路面利用方案研究

在高速公路沥青路面改造过程中,老路面是否保留继续利用及如何保留成为关键。以某一高速公路沥青路面为例,通过旧沥青路面性能状况的检测、分析和评价,提出了老路面改造利用方案,并取得良好效果。     

基于单片机的手臂阀TIG自动焊接控制系统的设计

针对涡轮增压器手臂阀焊接工艺的特殊控制要求,设计了基于单片机的自动焊接控制系统。本文介绍单片机控制系统的硬件结构和软件实现,重点介绍由单片机模糊控制器实现对变频器驱动交流电机伺服工作台的高速高精度定位控制。焊接控制系统的应用效果良好。     

集束塔式立管总体强度分析(英文)

Bundled hybrid offset riser (BHOR) global strength analysis, which is more complex than single line offset riser global strength analysis, was carried out in this paper. At first, the equivalent theory is used to deal with BHOR, and then its global strength in manifold cases was analyzed, along with the use of a three-dimensional nonlinear time domain finite element program. So the max bending stress, max circumferential stress, and max axial stress in the BHOR bundle main section (BMS) were obtained, and the values of these three stresses in each riser were obtained through the "stress distribution method". Finally, the Max Von Mises stress in each riser was given and a check was made whether or not they met the demand. This paper provides a reference for strength analysis of the bundled hybrid offset riser and some other bundled pipelines.     

上海地铁曲线轨道减磨措施试验研究

曲线轨道钢轨侧磨直接影响钢轨的使用寿命,是钢轨报废的主要原因之一.通过对曲线钢轨磨耗试验研究,了解引起钢轨磨耗的原因,提出一些减磨措施,以在上海轨道交通1号线设置的轨道试验段为例,分析研究轨底坡、超高、轨道刚度、涂油等对钢轨减磨的影响.试验结果认为:内轨轨底坡1∶20,外轨轨底度1∶40可减小过超高,对降低钢轨侧磨有利;降低轨道刚度具有明显的减磨效果;涂油对减缓钢轨侧磨、减小轨面剥离、减缓内轨顶面波磨等有明显的效果.     

桨−轴−船艉耦合系统分布式动力吸振器多频优化

  目的  旨在研究不同桨叶参数变化对大侧斜螺旋桨振动模态的影响规律。  方法  以某大侧斜螺旋桨为研究对象,开展系列变参数方案设计和振动模态有限元计算,并采用模型试验对数值方法进行有效验证。最后,通过计算结果分析得到不同设计参数对桨叶各阶固有频率及衰减系数和桨叶振型的影响规律。  结果  计算结果表明,桨叶的固有频率随剖面厚度、盘面比、毂径比的增加而增大,并随其侧斜角度的增大而减小,研究参数中以剖面厚度和侧斜对桨叶固有频率的影响为最大;流−固耦合效应对一阶固有频率衰减系数影响为最大,剖面厚度分布整体的增加和外半径的增加均对减小一阶固有频率衰减系数有利,反之,盘面比的增加、侧斜平衡点的内移和大纵倾角对减小一阶固有频率衰减系数不利;系列变参数设计方案的一阶振型基本一致,表明剖面厚度和侧斜等设计参数变化主要影响桨叶的高阶振型。  结论  研究结果可为大侧斜螺旋桨设计过程中振动模态优化控制提供指导和参考。