长江流域航运与水环境协调发展模型

为促进长江流域航运与水环境的协调发展,利用系统分析方法和系统动力学模型,建立了长江流域航运与水环境协调发展模型,对各种宏观调控政策和措施效应进行了仿真模拟分析。模拟结果表明,计算指标模拟值与实际值基本吻合,最大相对误差为12.9%,表明模型能较好地模拟长江流域航运与水环境协调发展系统;航运污染主要来源于船舶事故污染和船员生活污染,占总污染90%以上;人口、水环境、航运及工农业协调增长模式有助于水环境质量的持续改善;船舶事故应急管理水平的提高是航运污染治理的关键。     

PC连续刚构桥施工控制系统参数识别

系统参数误差是引起PC连续刚构桥悬臂施工控制误差的主要因素之一,因此消除系统参数误差是施工控制的关键所在.酉水河大桥施工监控系统参数识别过程表明,参数识别有利于施工参数的重点监测与调控.     

An Optimization Model for Guiding Pedestrian–Vehicle Mixed Flows During an Emergency Evacuation

In most metropolitan areas, an emergency evacuation may require a potentially large number of pedestrians to walk some distance to access their passenger cars or resort to transit systems. In this process, the massive number of pedestrians may place a tremendous burden on vehicles in the roadway network, especially at critical intersections. Thus, the effective road enforcement of the vehicle and pedestrian flows and the proper coordination between these two flows at critical intersections during a multimodal evacuation process is a critical issue in evacuation planning. This article presents an integrated linear model for the design of optimized flow plans for massive mixed pedestrian–vehicle flows within an evacuation zone. The optimized flow can also be used to generate signal timing plans at critical intersections. In addition, the linear nature of the model can circumvent the computational burden to apply in large-scale networks. An illustrating example of the evacuation around the M&T Bank Stadium in downtown Baltimore, MD, is presented and used to demonstrate the model's capability to address the complex interactions between vehicle and pedestrian flows within an evacuation zone. Results of simulation experiments verify the applicability of our model to a real-world scenario and further indicate that accounting for such conflicting movements will yield more reliable estimation of an evacuation's required clearance time.     

抗紫外老化剂对沥青性能的影响

为解决南方湿热地区沥青路面受紫外光老化影响问题，利用紫外老化环境箱和动态剪切流变仪研究老化时间和受阻胺类抗紫外老化卉l】（GW一944）对沥青高温动态力学性能、低温和疲劳性能的影响。试验结果表明：强紫外光降低了沥青疲劳性能和低温性能，改善了抗车辙性能，且随老化时间延长而加剧；受阻胺类抗紫外老化剂（GW-944）能较好地对SBS改性沥青进行抗老化性能改善，且对其性能改善存在合适的掺量范围，适宜掺量为0．5％，而对基质沥青性能改善并不适用。研究成果为沥青路面有效防治紫外光老化提供了技术依据。     

基于移动闭塞的ATS列车进路控制模型

在对ATS系统进路控制问题进行分析的基础上,采取故障导向安全的思想,在不影响车站作业的前提下,以提高列车进路的准确性和时效性为目标,结合移动闭塞制式下ATS系统进路控制的特点,提出了一种高可靠性的进路控制模型,并对模型的运行机制进行了论述。该模型已在实际系统中得到了应用,并取得了良好的效果。     

高速公路绿化工后服务探讨——以＂贵州大思高速公路＂为例

基于高速公路景观绿化设计及工后服务实践，对高速公路绿化设计及施工过程中出现的问题进行探讨，并对工后服务过程中应该注意的问题提出建议，以期为公路景观绿化设计及工后服务提供参考。     

Evolving competition between Hong Kong and Shenzhen ports

Shenzhen Port (SZP), once a negligible local port, has risen dramatically to a world-leading container port and an “equal” player with Hong Kong Port (HKP). Will this market share reallocation continue, or will equilibrium be eventually realized for HKP to prosper continuously? We examine the relationship between these two ports to answer this question. We propose a new transformation method to describe the growth of container cargo transport demand, define the quantitative measures of the competition relationship and port competitiveness, and present a rigorous analytical framework with econometric tests and models to understand the true relationship between HKP and SZP. Direct empirical tests suggest that SZP complements HKP; however, the two ports exhibit strong competition when the effect of demand growth is excluded. Considering transshipment separately, we find that the impact of SZP on HKP is negative in transshipment but complementary in direct shipment. We may conclude that HKP does not affect SZP, whereas SZP has competitive power over HKP. These results are consistent with the findings of some previous theoretical studies.     

安龙铺隧道开挖过程动态数值模拟分析

以沪瑞国道主干线(贵州境)镇宁—胜境关高速公路安龙铺隧道为工程背景,利用有限元分析程序,对中壁CRD开挖法进行了数值模拟,分析研究开挖过程中隧道围岩应力场和位移场的变化。     

郑州市市区设计洪水计算方法探讨

城市化进程对城市水文特性产生了重大影响,造成了城市洪水计算的特殊性与复杂性。在编制郑州市防洪规划工作中,通过对城市室外排水(雨水)公式和排水模数公式的内涵和适应条件的对比,从理论上初步解释了城市室外排水(雨水)公式不适合城市防洪计算的原因,最终选择了适合本地区特点的平原排水模数公式,得出令人满意的计算结果,同时也为其它地区编制防洪规划提供借鉴。