基于道路服务水平的停车需求预测

结合哈尔滨市中心区交通对策研究项目,为了更好的解决城市中心区内部交通运行状态问题,建立了反推"四阶段法"的停车需求预测方法,立足城市规划角度,从用地性质、容积率和建筑密度等因素对中心城区进行特征片区的划分,在确保动态交通顺畅的前提下,针对不同性质用地确定不同道路的合理的服务水平,按照容量控制法进行了停车需求量的预测.最后,对停车需求预测结果进行评价,指出基于服务水平下的停车需求预测方法能够反映了实际的道路交通资源满足情况.     

单管双层特长盾构隧道内部结构预制施工技术——以南京纬三路过江盾构隧道工程为例

为解决单管双层特长盾构隧道施工距离长、施工空间有限和工期紧张等问题,结合南京市纬三路过江通道工程,研究双层盾构隧道内部结构构件的预制施工技术,采用结构构件预制与现浇相结合的梁-板-柱结构体系,合理组织施工步序,探索单管双层特长盾构隧道预制内部构件的施工方案。工程实践表明,现浇内部结构立柱及柱基础,预制上层车道板、烟道隔墙板、排烟通道板和逃生通道板,能够满足双层特长盾构隧道施工进度的要求,可大幅提高施工效率,缩短建设工期,节省工程投资。     

基于轨道交通联锁控制实验系统的软件设计

轨道交通联锁控制实验系统能实现对铁路现场的高度仿真,对于本系统而言,演示软件非常重要,可以通过它直观地看到铁路的工作状况,以及如何通过软件扳动道贫、轨道给电与断电和联锁控制的实现.本文介绍如何用VB语言通过简单的算法实现联锁演示软件的设计,其最大优点在于思路清晰,算法简单,不需要建立数据库,只是通过VB语言中一些简单的程序结构就可以实现软件功能.     

湿陷性黄土地区路基强夯施工技术

结合实际工程对湿陷性黄土地区的路基施工原则和强夯处理方案进行了阐述,并对强夯施工工艺进行了介绍。通过施工效果对比后得出通过强夯处理,可以使路基浅层、深层得到不同程度加固的结论,强夯处理可以成为湿陷性黄土地区路基加固的重要措施之一。     

船体外板多点数字化成形技术研究

船体外板曲面大都是由复杂的不可展空间曲面构成的,其弯曲成形目前仍靠手工完成,成为了船体建造数字化的瓶颈之一。为了实现船体外板的数字化加工,根据船体外板成形的技术要求,提出了将目前迅速发展的多点数字化成形技术应用于船体外板成形的技术方案,通过实验证明：多点成形技术可较好地完成船体外板的数字化成形,经过精度检验可以用于船体外板的成形加工。     

证据理论在装备故障诊断中的应用

针对导弹装备故障诊断中的不确定问题,给出一种适合的证据理论的方法,在通过已获得故障信息建立故障关联模型的基础上,引入证据理论进行不确定性推理,实例验证了该方法的有效性.     

基于AR模型的填方路基沉降检评方法

通过运用数理理论之AR模型,开展填方路基沉降的检评工作,完成了工后质量评定任务,并预测其未来的沉降程度及趋势.研究表明:应用数理理论方法得出的结论,不仅具有实用价值和增强了可靠性,而且兼有鲜明的主动、事前的特征.     

隧拱变形分析的自回归与分段回归方法应用

土建工程变形分析与预测,有赖于数理统计理论方法的支持。应用自回归理论和分段回归两种理论方法,实施隧拱沉降监控,结果表明:自回归理论宜于进行工程安全质量预测预报时使用,而分段回归方法能够准确、即时诠释监测对象的变形规律的变化,同样具备实用意义。     

Next generation mega container ports: implications of traffic composition on sea space demand

ABSTRACT

Demand for sea space brought about by increasing container-shipping traffic has important implications on how this space is managed and used. This is particularly important given the long-term nature, high-asset specificity, high- opportunity cost of investment, and significant economic impact of container port activity on a locality. The challenge is especially pressing for ports, which are facing constraints in seaside capacity where container traffic also has to co-exist with the needs of other types of ship traffic. This challenge is likely be multiplied for next generation container ports, which are expected to handle even larger traffic volumes. These ports are also likely to face competing sea space demands from other economic and social activities especially when they are concurrently major confluences of trade, logistics, and urban populations. This is the first research to investigate in detail the impact and importance of investigating sea space requirements from the perspective of cargo traffic composition and ship capacity. Results show that transshipment containers can generate much higher demand for sea space due to the higher volume of shipping capacity that accompanies such traffic. Sustainability issues and managerial and policy implications pertaining to the development of next generation container ports are provided.     

Managing port-related supply chain disruptions (PSCDs): a management model and empirical evidence

ABSTRACT

In the contemporary port business environment, port resilience is of paramount importance for supply chain continuity. A result of the increased integration of ports into supply chains is ports’ potential to supply chain disruptions. This paper introduces a PSCD management model that incorporates the application of risk management, business continuity management, and quality management theories with the purpose of increasing port resilience such that supply chain continuity is enhanced. To validate this model, primary data were collected from samples of port operators and port authorities and analyzed using structural equation modeling with AMOS 22.0. The results indicate that managing PSCD using the management model contributes positively to the identification of internal and external opportunities and through that to port’s resilience of internal operations. This, in turn, positively influences port’s financial health and market reputation. The management model has several managerial and academic implications as it offers meaningful insights on policy development as well as theory building.