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Severity of pedestrian injuries due to traffic crashes at signalized intersections in Hong Kong: a Bayesian spatial logit model 下载免费PDF全文
The present study intended to (1) investigate the injury risk of pedestrian casualties involved in traffic crashes at signalized intersections in Hong Kong; (2) determine the effect of pedestrian volumes on the severity levels of pedestrian injuries; and (3) explore the role of spatial correlation in econometric crash‐severity models. The data from 1889 pedestrian‐related crashes at 318 signalized intersections between 2008 and 2012 were elaborately collected from the Traffic Accident Database System maintained by the Hong Kong Transport Department. To account for the cross‐intersection heterogeneity, a Bayesian hierarchical logit model with uncorrelated and spatially correlated random effects was developed. An intrinsic conditional autoregressive prior was specified for the spatial correlation term. Results revealed that (1) signalized intersections with greater pedestrian volumes generally exhibited a lower injury risk; (2) ignoring the spatial correlation potentially results in reduced model goodness‐of‐fit, an underestimation of variability and standard error of parameter estimates, as well as inconsistent, biased, and erroneous inference; (3) special attention should be paid to the following factors, which led to a significantly higher probability of pedestrians being killed or sustaining severe injury: pedestrian age greater than 65 years, casualties with head injuries, crashes that occurred on footpaths that were not obstructed/overcrowded, heedless or inattentive crossing, crashes on the two‐way carriageway, and those that occurred near tram or light‐rail transit stops. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
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M. Xu Y. C. Sun Y. Cui K. Y. Deng L. Shi 《International Journal of Automotive Technology》2016,17(1):109-118
In diesel engine, spray penetration is usually changed by in-cylinder gas flow. Accurate prediction on diesel spray with gas flow is important to the optimal design of diesel fuel injection system. This paper presents a theory investigation focusing on the penetration of diesel spray with gas flow. In order to understand the effect of gas flow on the penetration of diesel spray, a one-dimensional spray model is developed from an idealized diesel spray, which is able to predict the spray behavior under different gas flow conditions. The ambient gas flow is simplified as ideal flow that has only constant flow velocity along x-axial and y-axial directions of spray. The x-axial and y-axial directions are respectively defined as along and vertical spray directions. The main assumption is that the y-axial direction gas flow has no effect on the penetration of spray along x-axial direction. The principles of conservation of mass and momentum are used in the derivation. Momentum of in-cylinder air flow is also taken into consideration. Validation of the model at stable condition is achieved by comparing model predictions with experimental measurements of diesel spray without gas flow from Naber's experiments. Furthermore, CFD simulations on penetration of diesel spray with gas flow were performed with the commercial code AVL-fire. The onedimensional model is validated by the penetration results with gas flow from CFD calculation. Results show that a reasonable estimation of the spray evolution can be obtained for both with and without ambient gas flow conditions. 相似文献
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Y. X. Shi Y. Zheng Y. X. Cai W. J. Li H. Xu 《International Journal of Automotive Technology》2016,17(3):369-376
Based on non-thermal plasma (NTP) technology fed by oxygen and air as the gas source respectively, the experimental system of exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) cooler regeneration was built to do a study at different regeneration temperatures. By measuring the concentration of main active substance and COx in regeneration process, the influence of temperature on regeneration aided by oxygen-fed NTP and air-fed NTP was investigated. The experimental results indicate that EGR cooler can be regenerated both by air-fed NTP and oxygen-fed NTP at a wide temperature range of 18 °C ~ 300 °C. By comparison of the regeneration with oxygen-fed NTP and air-fed NTP, it can be easily known that the regeneration effect is most remarkable at 150 °C with oxygen-fed NTP and at 120 °C with air-fed NTP. In addition, when the temperature is below 150 °C especially at 120 °C, the regeneration efficiency of air-fed NTP is lower than oxygen-fed NTP, nevertheless, when the temperature is above 150 °C, air-fed NTP has a superiority in regeneration and the higher the temperature is, the more obvious the superiority will be. 相似文献
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为了得到更为符合实际情况的跨江大桥动力稳定性的地震反应分析,在桥梁抗震研究中必须综合考虑动水及桩-土-结构的相互作用。基于此,结合某斜拉桥,采用基于Morison方程的动水力简便计算方法来模拟水对桥梁下部结构的动水压力,通过大型有限元程序Midas/Civil分别建立了没有考虑动水及桩土效应和考虑动水及桩土效应两种情形下的计算模型,通过输入El-Centro波分析了动水及桩土效应对斜拉桥结构动力特性和地震反应的影响。分析表明动水及桩土效应对斜拉桥动力特性和地震反应的影响较大,因此在对跨江斜拉桥结构进行抗震分析时,应考虑动水及桩土效应对其动力反应的影响。 相似文献
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挪威海底隧道最小岩石覆盖厚度的经验及应用 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
挪威是世界上采用钻爆法修建海底隧道最多的国家,在最小岩石覆盖厚度取值方面积累了大量经验.舟山灌门水道海底隧道地质条件、设计断面与挪威已建海底隧道有类似之处,可以借鉴挪威经验确定其最小岩石覆盖厚度.文中总结出挪威海底隧道最小岩石覆盖厚度的海水深度经验曲线和基岩埋深经验曲线.根据舟山灌门水道海底隧道地质纵断面图,选择控制垂直线路走向的3个分析断面,应用挪威经验得到相应分析断面的最小岩石覆盖厚度. 相似文献
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