Synthesis of experimental designs of maneuvering captive-model tests with a large number of factors

An approach to synthesizing D-optimized experimental designs for an arbitrary number of factors was developed and tested on a third-order polynomial regression model with 5–8 factors. Three options were envisaged for the internal optimization procedure: an exhaustive search, a quasirandom search with the help of the Sobol sequences, and a genetic algorithm. The calculations performed have shown the pronounced superiority of the variant involving a genetic algorithm. Captive-model tests with a catamaran model with varying Froude number, drift angle, rate of yaw, sinkage, trim, and heel are presented as an example of the practical synthesis of the experimental design. The linear regression model constructed is a third-order 5-factor polynomial with respect to all factors except the Froude number. The influence of the latter is accounted for by representing the polynomials regression coefficients as functions of the Froude number represented as a truncated Fourier series with a linear term added.     

Accelerating convergence of the Frank-Wolfe algorithm

We consider the Frank-Wolfe algorithm in the context of the traffic assignment problem. The slow-convergence characteristics close to the optimum solution of this popular approach are well known. Several proposals have improved on the original method by modifying the search direction. We propose modifying the step size, which leads to very significant improvements in efficiency.     

Supplying a single location from heterogeneous sources

This paper studies how items with different characteristics, and being demanded at different rates from a finite number of supply points, should be transported to a common destination. The items may differ in size and value, and the origins may differ in their spatial distribution, the kind of items they produce and the production rate. Depending on the application context, the common destination can represent a warehouse, a factory, a military base, a break-bulk terminal, a port or another kind of transportation terminal. Different kinds of items may call for separate transportation treatment if, for example, the items have sharply different inventory carrying costs or their origins are not equally scattered. On the other hand, if their characteristics are not very different, they may be transported together more cheaply because of existing economies of scale. In fact, in most applications it should be optimal to use only a few transportation systems because the economies of scale are quite strong. The paper essentially shows that origins can be ranked according to a simple criterion, and that if two origins are served together, the ones ranked in between should be served with them. A simple method for determining the optimal number of transportation systems and the sources served by each is developed. The technique is illustrated with a numerical example. The results of the paper are developed assuming that supply points do not cluster together by type and that the density of suppliers is slowly varying. In any practical application in which these assumptions are not reasonable approximations, the results of this paper should not be applied too literally. Nevertheless, they can still be used as guidelines in the search for an optimum supply strategy.     

Prediction of Wheel/Rail Profile Wear

The alteration in wheel and rail profiles due to wear involves considerable vehicle and track-maintenance costs, and influences the loading capacity of the rails, as well as the operation safety and riding comfort of the vehicles. In the past twenty years a vehicle dynamics, contact mechanics and tribology based research work has emerged which is also recently continuous in an international scale, and this research is more and more intensive. Parallel to the growing possibilities of computer based analyses, several algorithms and numerical procedures have been elaborated, as well as measurement based experiments have been carried out to establish the reliable prediction of wear-caused wheel and rail profile alterations and to maximise the mileage performance by selecting the optimum vehicle system parameters for running gears operating on a selected railway line or a whole network under specified -in general inherently stochastic - traffic conditions. This paper takes an attempt to introduce the extended sphere of problems of wheel and rail wear prediction, as well as the latest results reflecting the present state of the art.     

Physical distribution from a warehouse: Vehicle coverage and inventory levels

This paper studies the costs involved in distributing items from a warehouse or depot to randomly scattered customers on a day-to-day basis. Two trade-offs are explored simultaneously. The first one arises because by accumulating large inventories at the depot it is possible to build more efficient distribution tours. This trade-off has already been explored for both distribution of goods (Burns et al., 1983) and passengers (Daganzo et al., 1977; Hendrickson, 1978). Another tradeoff, which involves the length of individual vehicle tours (Clarens and Hurdle, 1975), balances the inventory inside the vehicles against the transportation cost. Banks et al. (1982) have considered both of these tradeoffs simultaneously in the context of passenger transportation, but used a somewhat unrealistic model for vehicle routing. This paper is similar to the latter reference but uses a different routing strategy. It also illustrates how the nature of the objects carried (cheap goods, expensive goods, people, etc.) affects the optimal configuration of the distribution system and the overall distribution costs. Usually there is an optimum partitioning of the service area into districts and an optimum dispatching frequency in each district. The results can vary tremendously, depending on factors such as: the inventory carrying cost per item per unit time, the transportation costs, the demand per unit area and unit time, the average distance from the depot, the average vehicle speed and the time per stop.As an illustration of the ideas, a hypothetical limousine service from an airport is analyzed. The example is used to demonstrate how dramatically the optimal system configuration depends on the nature of the items carried.     

Changing the timing of activities in resolving Scheduling Conflicts

Following the growing interest in the characterisation and modelling of activity scheduling and re-scheduling behaviour, this paper reports the results of a study on the resolution of activity scheduling conflicts. Using empirical data collected through an Internet survey, the modification of the timing of pre-planned activities to accommodate a new activity in the schedule was analysed. Schedule adjustment was studied using a parametric hazard model. The results indicate that the characteristics of the activities involved are the most important factors influencing the process of schedule change. Several correlations among schedule modifications were found. Harry Timmermans is a Professor at the Eindhoven University of Technology. He is also Director of the Urban Planning Group and the European Institute of Retailing and Services Studies. Tomás Ruiz is a Lecture and researcher at the Technical University of Valencia (Spain). Prior to his employment with the University, Dr. Ruiz was a consultant at Estudios, Proyectos y Planificación S.A.     

Speed management via in-car devices: effects,implications, perspectives

The objectives of this paper are to identify in-vehicle systems for speed management that have been or are being developed, and to suggest recommendations for the implementation of systems that will effectively influence driving speeds and thereby significantly increase safety. The best safety effect is expected from an "intelligent" gas pedal, more specifically the automatic speed limiter. However, in terms of user acceptance, this system is least liked, although, acceptance seems to improve after it has been tried out. Nonetheless, the final goal for implementation should be a mandatory speed limiter system, starting with voluntary usage supported with educational measures. A period of car producers' standardisation of ISA-systems should be followed by legislation prescribing that all new vehicles are to be fitted with the system. Finally, some questions regarding further research are outlined.     

Media image of seafarers in the Spanish printed press

This paper presents an analysis of the image of seafarers in Spanish newspapers. This is done by a qualitative and quantitative analysis of the news published in six representative newspapers in the days following the shipwrecks of 24 oil tankers between 1976 and 2007. A total of 359 news items have been studied analysing the type of language used, its place in the pages of the newspapers, the comments of the journalists who wrote them, etc., arriving at the conclusion that seafarers have a bad image in the Spanish printed press.     

Classification of Beach Erosion Vulnerability on the Yucatan Coast

Beach erosion can have important socioeconomic and environmental consequences, particularly in tropical regions where tourism is a significant source of income. Although caused by natural processes, erosion is often aggravated by disorderly anthropogenic modification of the coast and extreme events. In Yucatan, Mexico, increasing urban development and deficient coastal management strategies as well as hurricanes have affected beach stability. This has highlighted the need for adequate coastal planning and policies that ensure the protection of key coastal ecosystems, such as beaches and sand dunes. To address this, a methodology to classify the coast according to its vulnerability is presented in this work. This methodology assumes that morphological features are indicators of beach evolution and the processes driving it and that these can be associated with different levels of vulnerability. The features considered are beach width, dune vegetation, anthropogenic pressure, and shoreline orientation, which were analyzed through aerial images and a multicriteria evaluation. It was observed that the most vulnerable areas are found near the most developed parts of the coast, where narrow beaches with little dune vegetation dominate. It is expected that this index will be of use to coastal planners and decision makers, particularly in the identification of critical zones.