基于强化学习的平行航班动态定价

由于平行航班之间的竞争越来越激烈,为提高航空公司收益,对机票销售系统中的航班和旅客分别建模。将航班的动态定价问题建模成马尔可夫博弈过程,对混合类型旅客建立Logit选择模型。利用多Agent的强化学习算法对实例进行求解,结果表明WoLF-PHC算法收敛所需迭代的次数大于Nash-Q算法,但在计算速度上WoLF-PHC算法优势明显,且具有较强的适应能力。此外,航空机票的定价策略与其他易逝品有所不同,整体呈现上升趋势。而旅客环境参数的变化,也会影响定价策略。基于WoLF-PHC算法得到的定价策略对于收益提升具有积极作用。     

Assessing the representativeness of a smartphone-based household travel survey in Dar es Salaam,Tanzania

The household travel survey (HTS) finds itself in the midst of rapid technological change. Traditional methods are increasingly being sidelined by digital devices and computational power—for tracking movements, automatically detecting modes and activities, facilitating data collection, etc.. Smartphones have recently emerged as the latest technological enhancement. FMS is a smartphone-based prompted-recall HTS platform, consisting of an app for sensor data collection, a backend for data processing and inference, and a user interface for verification of inferences (e.g., modes, activities, times, etc.). FMS, has been deployed in several cities of the global north, including Singapore. This paper assesses the first use of FMS in a city of the global south, Dar es Salaam. FMS in Dar was implemented over a 1-month period, among 581 adults chosen from 300 randomly selected households. Individuals were provided phones with data plans and the FMS app preloaded. Verification of the collected data occurred every 3 days, via a phone interview. The experiment reveals various social and technical challenges. Models of individual likelihood to participate suggest little bias. Several socioeconomic and demographic characteristics apparently do influence, however, the number of days fully verified per individual. Similar apparent biases emerge when predicting the likelihood of a given day being verified. Some risk of non-random, non-response is, thus, evident.     

城市轨道交通车辆产品标准体系探索

分析了国内外城市轨道交通车辆产品标准体系的现状,重点介绍了城市轨道交通车辆产品标准体系的总体要求、结构搭建、产品标准的制修订,以及标准的实施和改进措施。     

深海超高压环境模拟容器裂纹评定

深海超高压环境模拟容器用于模拟水下压力环境,其容器壁上承受反复载荷,容易产生疲劳裂纹.疲劳裂纹扩展是影响其断裂的主要因素.本文旨在分析半椭圆裂纹在老化的深海超高压环境模拟容器中的扩展行为,评估容器的安全性,因此对材料20MnMoNb钢的裂纹扩展特性进行了试验研究,首先考虑三角形和梯形加载情况,通过比较两组实验结果,考察了其材料对保载时间的敏感性.采用基于统一的裂纹扩展率模型的三维有限元方法进行了疲劳裂纹扩展计算,并通过CT试样的一组数值和实验结果进行了验证,最后建立了不同初始尺寸、展弦比和倾角的裂纹有限元模型,并根据裂纹在容器内壁的容许深度准则,计算了容器的剩余寿命.其分析结果可为深海超高压环境模拟容器可靠性评估提供参考.     

粉煤灰地层浅埋大断面连拱隧道预加固方式研究

由于粉煤灰地层本身工程性质较差,隧道开挖时不同工序及支护方式的变化也极易影响掌子面的稳定及支护结构的安全.本文结合盐坪坝隧道埋深浅、跨度大、穿越不良地层粉煤灰地层的特点,对浅埋暗挖大断面隧道工程中常用的地层预加固方式做简要介绍并分析其适用性,结合现场实际,提出了一种适用于粉煤灰地层大断面连拱隧道的预加固技术,主要采用高压旋喷桩对穿越粉煤灰地段实施地表加固,从现场施工情况来看,盐坪坝隧道现已成功贯通,期间没有发生掌子面坍塌、地表沉陷等情况.     

多点随机需求的分布式预置储备

考虑重点方向或区域中, 各重要隘口、通道、敏感地带等突发事件之间的关联性(连锁反应的可能性) 和需求的随机性, 在多个预置储备仓库构成储备网络和多个需求点组成需求网络的条件下, 研究了用储备网络保障需求网络的预置储备规模和储备分布优化问题, 分析了需求网络在各点突发事件和需求随机下总需求的分布特征; 在保证预置储备规模有效性、经济性与储备分布合理性的基础上, 建立了给定安全保障概率下的储备规模模型和过程响应准则下的分布式储备模型(统称储备模型); 根据模型特征将分布式储备模型分解为双层模型, 对随机需求采用样本化处理, 并在此基础上建立了针对性的遗传-模拟退火算法求解双层模型; 基于变异系数的概念, 提出了针对突发事件和需求随机的储备方案稳健性指标, 对储备模型及其算法进行了稳健性分析, 并通过案例应用验证了储备模型及其算法的有效性。研究结果表明: 相较于就近分区准则, 储备规模模型及其算法能在确保安全保障概率的前提下将储备规模降低约1/3;相较于极大极小化准则, 过程响应准则下的分布式储备方案可使首批物资响应时间减少11%, 使90%物资的响应时间减少21%;在面临需求网络中突发事件和需求的随机性波动时, 储备方案的波动幅度不超过需求波动的80%, 体现了较好的稳健性。      

A new method for absolute datum transfer in seafloor control network measurement

To decrease the time consumption and the labor intensity in the absolute datum transfer of traditional seafloor control network measurement, a new method, namely sailing-circle positioning method, is put forward in this paper. First, the traditional intersection positioning model is improved by considering the equivalent sound velocity profile error as an unknown parameter in the adjustment model. Second, the effect of geometric dilution of precision (GDOP) on positioning accuracy is analyzed. By seeking for the minimum of GDOP, it is concluded that the absolute datum transfer can achieve the highest accuracy in the condition of sailing along a circle relative to other sailing paths. Moreover, the optimal radius of the circle for the accurate datum transfer is also given out. Besides, the correlation between the accuracy of datum transfer and the sound velocity error in this method is analyzed. Finally, the new method was tested and verified by the experiments in Songhua lake with the water depth of 60 m and in South China sea with the water depth of 2000 m, respectively. These experiment results show that the new method can improve the accuracy and efficiency of traditional datum transfer method significantly.     

铁路预应力路堤加固技术数值研究

研究目的:铁路预应力路堤在国内外尚属一种新型路基加固法,其受力变形特性暂未得到系统化研究,相关加固设计理论仍处于探索性阶段。因此,有必要通过数值手段了解预应力路堤的工作状态,以掌握其加固性能。鉴于此,借助ABAQUS软件平台构建预应力路堤仿真系统,分析差异化预应力加固参数对路堤变形和承载能力的影响以及预应力加固构件的受力特征。研究结论:(1)路堤本体段坡面较优加固位置为距本体顶面以下0.3倍本体高度处;(2)坡率1∶1的预应力路堤在第1、2排侧压板分别施加50 k Pa、100 k Pa预压荷载时,其变形与承载力均可达传统路堤(坡率1∶1.5)水平,并可通过提升加固标准进一步强化路堤承载性能;(3)当对第1、2、3排侧压板分别施加50 k Pa、100 k Pa、100 k Pa预压荷载时,路堤内部附加围压S11>13.5 k Pa区域大致呈"x"形分布并形成横贯路堤的"预压加固区";(4)侧压板锚固区受力集中且复杂,应注意保障锚固区板体强度;(5)力筋在路堤加载前后的应力变化量与坡面侧向变形特征相关;(6)本研究成果可为铁路预应力路堤的加固设计提供技术指导。     

全自动化码头发展视域下的集装箱可视化智能理货系统研究

当今,在信息化程度非常高的自动化、无人化集装箱码头理货,常规人盯岸桥的方式已经落伍,我国理货行业如何突破传统理货技术瓶颈,打造适应成本最低、效率最高的整合后物流链的生产工艺已成为行业发展的关键课题。通过现场安装摄像头,采用OCR、RFID、PLC、激光、红外线等进行智能识别箱号、拖车号、拍照验残、全程监控,经过理货业务智能处理系统的处理等,最终实现了通过室内监控即可进行集装箱理货信息的实时传输与共享,体现人性化操作的同时实现了理货的智能化。这一理货工艺的革新加快推动了理货行业的转型升级,并能取得良好的经济效益和社会效益。     

Robust control for four-wheel-independent-steering electric vehicle with steer-by-wire system

A four-wheel-independent-steering (4WIS) electric vehicle (EV) with steer-by-wire (SBW) system is proposed in this paper. The fast terminal sliding mode controller (FTSMC) is designed for the SBW system to suppress external disturbances. Taking unstructured and structured uncertainties into consideration, a robust controller is designed for the 4WIS EV utilizing μ synthesis approach and the controller order reduction is implemented based on Hankel-Norm approximation. Since sideslip angle is the feedback signal of robust controller and it is hard to measure, the extended Kalman filter (EKF) is employed to estimate sideslip angle. To evaluate the vehicle performance with the designed control system, step and sinusoidal steering maneuvers are simulated and analyzed. Simulation results show that the designed control system have good tracking ability, strong robust stability and good robust performance to improve vehicle stability and handing performance.