Error and uncertainty in travel surveys

Transportation study home interview surveys normally underestimate the amount of trip-making by residents of a study area, and the data has to be adjusted subsequently to compensate for this effect. One important reason for the shortfall appears to be the incomplete recall and reporting of travel information by respondents. The paper examines the influence of the survey instrument on recall by comparing reported travel behaviour in two surveys conducted in the same town, one using a conventional travel diary and the other an activity diary. The latter format appears to encourage a more complete response, giving rise to significantly higher reported trip rates and travel times. The paper discusses some research and policy implications of this finding and concludes with tentative suggestions for improved travel survey instruments.     

Examining Residents’ Proximity,Recreational Use,and Perceptions Regarding Proposed Aquaculture Development

Competing interests related to marine resources have the potential to create conflict in the coastal zone. In many parts of the world marine farms exist in close proximity to areas that support recreation and tourism. The purpose of this study was to examine residents’ perceptions of proposed marine farm development related to their proximity to, and recreational use of, a coastal area in New Zealand. Residents from two areas were surveyed about their recreational use of the region and about perceptions related to marine farm development. Results indicated that those living closest to proposed marine farms used the area more often and in different ways, were most sensitive to marine farm development, and were less positive in their evaluations of marine farms, despite agreeing that marine farms can have positive economic consequences for nearby communities. Implications for using stakeholder input for the planning and management of marine farms are discussed.     

Aeroelastic Effects in Multibody Dynamics

To enable a realistic assessment of the aeroelastic phenomena of aircraft, a simultaneous application of computational fluid dynamics (CFD), computational structural mechanics and flight mechanics has to be performed. Each discipline has developed powerful specialized tools which have to be adapted for multidisciplinary applications. The combination of CFD and elastic multibody systems is well suited for the simulation of a range of aircraft applications, especially for aircraft ground dynamics. Approaches to a coupling of elastic multibody systems and computational fluid dynamics have been performed using close coupling, that is a modal approach, and loose coupling, that is by co-simulation. In the article the applied programs and the coupling methods are presented. Advantages and limits of using multibody simulation as compared to the direct use of FEA methods for the representation of structural dynamics are discussed. Results of coupled steady and unsteady simulations are presented. Finally, an approach to the aeroelastic trim problem is shown.     

Emissions of particulate matters from railways – Emission factors and condition monitoring

We report tunnel measurements, where abrasion particles from different types of trains are measured in two situations and emission factors are calculated from these. The measurements show significantly elevated particle concentrations in train passages that last for about a minute and are accompanied by increased airflow. The emission of particles for each train passage was obtained by summing the product of the particle concentration and the airflow and then multiplying with the tunnel area. The average emission factors were calculated for three categories freight trains, commuter trains and regional trains and found to be 2.9 g/train-km (0.7 – 9), 0.48 (0.1 – 1.6) and 0.24 (0.05–0.9), respectively. The number in brackets refers to the range of values observed. The size-resolved data showed maxima around 1 μm for all three train types.     

The inclusion of aviation into the EU emission trading scheme – Impacts on competition between European and non-European network airlines

In 2008, the European Commission, the European Parliament and the European Council agreed on including international aviation in the already existing European Union carbon market. From 2012, allowances will be required for all international flights landing at and departing from any airport in the EU. Domestic aviation will be subject to the same rules as international air traffic. Model-based empirical estimations presented in this paper indicate a diverse set of effects influencing competition between European and non-European aircraft operators. Initially, this paper provides an overview on recent political developments on EU as well as on International Civil Aviation Organisation level on the subject of emissions trading and aviation. Subsequently, our modelling approach and the main results concerning impacts on operating costs, ticket prices and cargo rates for European and non-European aircraft operators are presented and discussed. Finally, conclusions about the impacts on competition between European and non-European airlines are drawn.     

Use of SeaWiFS data for light availability and parameter estimation of a phytoplankton production model of the Bay of Biscay

Processing SeaWiFS (Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor) data provides useful information for the observation and modelling of the phytoplankton production of the Bay of Biscay. Empirical algorithms allow the retrieval of chlorophyll a and non-living Suspended Particulate Matter (SPM) concentrations. These data are used to constrain a coupled 3D physical–biogeochemical model of the Bay of Biscay continental shelf. Two issues are investigated, depending on the variable used, to constrain the winter to spring phytoplankton production for the year 2001. First, SPM data is used as forcing data to correct the corresponding state variable of our model. This allows the realistic simulation of the light limited bloom at the end of February 2001, as observed with SeaWiFS chlorophyll a images and from the NUTRIGAS field cruise. Second, chlorophyll a data is used for parameter estimation of the biogeochemical model. The ability of assimilating these data is tested to improve the simulation of strong blooms observed in late May 2001 in the Loire and Gironde plumes. A global optimization method (Evolutive Strategies) is adapted to the complete 3-D coupled model, in order to find the best set of parameters. The hydrological conditions during the bloom can be validated with data from the PEL01 field cruise. After selection of the most sensitive parameters, the method is tested with twin experiments. Then, the use of real SeaWiFS data reduces the model/data misfit by a factor of two, improving the simulation of bloom intensities and extensions. The sets of parameters retrieved in each plume are discussed.     

纵横乾坤是班轮(下)

(接上期54页) 公司规模 究竟一个企业做多大才合适呢?经验和统计数据告诉我们,公司的业务规模确实与其市场份额存在一定的相关性.这里有一个班轮公司,我想大家都不会感到陌生,在20世纪80年代,它堪称国际集装箱班轮业的巨无霸,它就是著名的美国海陆集装箱运输有限公司.当时,它的业务量曾经达到了全球市场份额的9.8%.德国哈帕格·劳埃德箱运公司紧随其后,排名第二位,市场份额约为6.2%,该公司的发展速度一直比较快.在其它20大班轮公司中,8家公司的市场份额在2.5～3.5%之间.1999年,随着丹麦马士基成功收购美国海陆公司,马士基跃居全球第一大班轮公司,但即便如此,该公司当时的市场份额也只有6%.     

Contents Volume 31 2004

Volume Contents

Contents Volume 31 2004