Design and analysis of control strategies for pedestrian flows

Transportation - Exploiting the full potential of pedestrian infrastructure is becoming critical in many environments which cannot be easily expanded to cope with the increasing pedestrian demand....     

A comment on W. Wei and M. Hansen’s benefit estimation in “An aggregate demand model for air passenger traffic in the hub-and-spoke network”

This comment analyzes the demand model and method used by W. Wei and M. Hansen for computing the benefits of an airport capacity extension. The log-linear specification and coefficients of the demand function imply that the airport extension’s positive effect on demand decreases with the volume of traffic and associated congestion. If this unlikely result is accepted, the surplus method used by Wei and Hansen underestimates the users’ investment benefit. The note argues that the marginal willingness to pay for a capacity extension should rather increase with congestion. If this is the case, the method used by Wei and Hansen could actually overestimates the benefit.A better specification would rather allow for a function concave to the origin in order to account for capacity constraints, and also set a maximum finite price. Above all, a fair evaluation of the users’ benefit should be based on a function which explicitly includes a variable, or function of variables, that permits an estimation of the users’ cost of congestion.     

An adaptive time gap car-following model

We intend to define a continuous car-following model exclusively based on the time gap. A model of the interaction between a vehicle and its predecessor is produced by adjusting the time gap to a targeted safety time that is a function of speed. The model is defined by a differential system, to which a consistent numerical scheme is associated. The parameters of the model are statistically estimated by maximum likelihood. In order to reproduce a heterogeneous traffic flow, vehicles are differentiated by type, and to recreate asymmetric longitudinal behavior, acceleration phases are distinguished from deceleration phases. Introducing a reaction time, inducing a delay in the perception and processing of information about vehicles in interaction, can alter the stability of the flux through appearance of kinematic waves. By simulation, the types and domains of parameters which are asymptotically unstable are identified. The results reveal that, in the model, the statistically estimated parameters form is strongly factor of instability.     

An empirical comparison of travel choice models that capture preferences for compromise alternatives

Compromise alternatives have an intermediate performance on each or most attributes rather than having a poor performance on some attributes and a strong performance on others. The relative popularity of compromise alternatives among decision-makers has been convincingly established in a wide range of decision contexts, while being largely ignored in travel behavior research. We discuss three (travel) choice models that capture a potential preference for compromise alternatives. One approach, which is introduced in this paper, involves the construction of a so-called compromise variable which indicates to what extent (i.e., on how many attributes) a given alternative is a compromise alternative in its choice set. Another approach consists of the recently introduced random regret-model form, where the popularity of compromise alternatives emerges endogenously from the regret minimization-based decision rule. A third approach consists of the contextual concavity model, which is known for favoring compromise alternatives by means of a locally concave utility function. Estimation results on a stated route choice dataset show that, in terms of model fit and predictive ability, the contextual concavity and random regret models appear to perform better than the model that contains an added compromise variable.     

KERFIX, a time-series station in the Southern Ocean: a presentation

Between January 1990 and March 1995, the research project KERFIX undertook the first regular noncoastal multiyear acquisition of parameters related to the carbon cycle in the Southern Ocean at a time series station located at 50°40′ S–68°25′ E, 60 miles southwest of the Kerguelen Islands. The objectives of KERFIX are (1) to monitor the ocean/atmosphere CO₂ and O₂ exchanges and to understand which processes govern these exchanges (2) to observe and interpret the seasonal and interannual variability of the production, flux, decomposition and dissolution of carbon and associated elements at this location. In addition, micropaleontological studies describe the present and past flux dynamics in this oceanic area, to improve the knowledge of the transfer functions of some oceanographic proxies. This paper presents a survey of the KERFIX program: scientific objectives, organization of the field operations and some main results obtained since the beginning of KERFIX program, as well as the results of the temporal evolution of hydrological, chemical and biological parameters.     

Use of SeaWiFS data for light availability and parameter estimation of a phytoplankton production model of the Bay of Biscay

Processing SeaWiFS (Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor) data provides useful information for the observation and modelling of the phytoplankton production of the Bay of Biscay. Empirical algorithms allow the retrieval of chlorophyll a and non-living Suspended Particulate Matter (SPM) concentrations. These data are used to constrain a coupled 3D physical–biogeochemical model of the Bay of Biscay continental shelf. Two issues are investigated, depending on the variable used, to constrain the winter to spring phytoplankton production for the year 2001. First, SPM data is used as forcing data to correct the corresponding state variable of our model. This allows the realistic simulation of the light limited bloom at the end of February 2001, as observed with SeaWiFS chlorophyll a images and from the NUTRIGAS field cruise. Second, chlorophyll a data is used for parameter estimation of the biogeochemical model. The ability of assimilating these data is tested to improve the simulation of strong blooms observed in late May 2001 in the Loire and Gironde plumes. A global optimization method (Evolutive Strategies) is adapted to the complete 3-D coupled model, in order to find the best set of parameters. The hydrological conditions during the bloom can be validated with data from the PEL01 field cruise. After selection of the most sensitive parameters, the method is tested with twin experiments. Then, the use of real SeaWiFS data reduces the model/data misfit by a factor of two, improving the simulation of bloom intensities and extensions. The sets of parameters retrieved in each plume are discussed.     

Experimental and numerical investigations of the flow around an oar blade

This article aims at verifying the capabilities of a Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes Equations (RANSE) solver (ISIS-CFD, developed at the Fluid Mechanics Laboratory of Ecole Centrale de Nantes [LMF]) to accurately compute the flow around an oar blade and to deduce the forces on it and other quantities such as efficiency. This solver is structurally capable of computing the flow around any blade shape for any movement in six degrees of freedom, both when the blade pierces the free surface of the water and when it does not. To attempt a first validation, a computation was performed for a simplified case chosen among those for which experimental results are available at LMF. If results prove satisfactory for a simplified blade shape and for a movement that respects the main characteristics of blade kinematics, then the solver could be used for real oars and more realistic kinematics. First, the experimental setup is considered, and the objectives, methodologies, and procedures are elucidated. The choice of the test case for numerical validation is explained, i.e., a plane rectangular blade with a constant immersion and a specified movement deduced from analogy with tests on propellers. Next, the numerical framework is presented and the Navier-Stokes solver and methods for handling multifluid flows and moving bodies are described. Lastly, numerical results are compared with experimental data, highlighting an encouraging agreement and proving the relevance and the complementarity of both approaches.     

H-adaptive Navier–Stokes simulations of free-surface flows around moving bodies

This article deals with Navier–Stokes simulations of multiphase flows around moving bodies coupled with an adaptive mesh refinement strategy. The numerical framework is considered first: the Navier–Stokes solver, the methodologies for handling multiphase flows and moving bodies, the remeshing techniques, and the adaptive procedure are explained and detailed. Then an application involving hydrodynamic impacts is presented in detail and studied to highlight the relevance of the whole global approach. Of particular interest is the accurate computation of pressure peaks arising during impacts.     

Global ship risk profiles: Safety and the marine environment

This article uses visualization techniques to investigate global ship risk profiles and their changes over time. With a unique data set of 49,151 observations, the authors link changes in risk profiles to legislative developments and industry actions, as well as identify areas prone to general safety, loss of life, and pollution risks. Improved risk profiles over time have resulted from legislative measures, including the International Safety Management Code, the Oil Pollution Act, amendments to the International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships, and the introduction of port state controls and industry vetting inspections.