回顾船检刊物发展历程祝愿中国船检前程似锦--贺《中国船检》创刊

在世纪交替的钟声即将敲响之际,迎着人类纪元第三个千禧年的曙光,《中国船检》创刊号出版了.这是由中华人民共和国新闻出版署批准的,具有国内统一刊号和国际标准刊号的,中国船检行业唯一在国内外发行的正式刊物.她的诞生,对中国船检业和整个海事界而言,无疑都是一件值得庆贺的喜事.     

Predicting duration of traffic accidents based on cost-sensitive Bayesian network and weighted K-nearest neighbor

Abstract

With the development of urbanization, road congestion has become increasingly serious, and an important cause is the traffic accidents. In this article, we aim to predict the duration of traffic accidents given a set of historical records and the feature of the new accident, which can be collected from the vehicle sensors, in order to help guide the congestion and restore the road. Existing work on predicting the duration of accidents seldom consider the imbalance of samples, the interaction of attributes, and the cost-sensitive problem sufficiently. Therefore, in this article, we propose a two-level model, which consists of a cost-sensitive Bayesian network and a weighted K-nearest neighbor model, to predict the duration of accidents. After data preprocessing and variance analysis on the traffic accident data of Xiamen City in 2015, the model uses some important discrete attributes for classification, and then utilizes the remaining attributes for K-nearest neighbor regression prediction. The experiment results show that our proposed approach to predicting the duration of accidents achieves higher accuracy compared with classical models.     

大跨度钢管混凝土拱桥成桥状态钢管应力优化研究

为了优化大跨度钢管混凝土拱桥成桥状态主拱受力性能,提出了后拆扣索的新思路:在主拱圈合龙完成后对钢管采取继续保留扣索的措施,混凝土灌注完成达到强度后,再拆除扣索,钢管与混凝土共同承担后续荷载。采用有限元方法按以上思路对贵州大小井特大桥进行了分析研究。结果表明:如果混凝土灌注完成达到强度后再拆除扣索,与原方案相比,在成桥状态下拱肋上下弦钢管与管内混凝土的受力均得到改善,钢管应力值有所降低,管内混凝土应力值略有增加;在管内混凝土灌注前后扣索的索力值变化不大,扣索拉力值在允许范围内。因此通过该方法能够在一定程度上提高大跨度钢管混凝土拱桥拱肋截面的组合效率,改善主拱的受力性能。     

Simulation Research of the TOC-Based Cost Accounting Impacting on Organizational Performance

After introducing a new management philosophy called Theory of Constraints (TOC), Dr Eli Goldratt applied it to the field of accounting, and formed a new set of measures for cost accounting. These measures are Throughput Contribution, Inventory and Operating Expenses. This paper applied the constraint-based cost accounting to three kinds of strategies decisions including contraction, cost and market, and uses the Gedunken experiment to do a contrastive research between the cost accounting based on TOC and the full-absorption cost accounting. The experiment proves that the cost accounting based on TOC outperforms the traditional cost accounting, and greatly improves organizational performance.     

基于CPCI总线的GMSK调制系统研究

介绍一种基于CPCI总线的GMSK调制系统,采用了DSP结合CPLD的方式构建的系统平台,对系统的结构和功能及硬件,软件设计进行了详细的介绍,并对主要器件的一些特点做了简单的描述。     

虚拟仪器技术在某型罗经检测系统中的应用

根据虚拟仪器技术的特点和某型罗经工作原理,利用虚拟仪器技术开发了某型罗经检测系统,该检测系统能够通过外加激励、信号检测、功能检测等方式实现该型罗经的各个主要功能的测试,方便了实际装备的维修保障,可对装备内场调试的全过程进行监控。     

防空兵群指挥员综合素质模糊评价

根据人工神经网络的理论,利用BP神经网络建立了防空兵群指挥员综合素质的模糊评价模型,通过仿真和实例验证模型评价的有效性。     

错层式钛合金球鼻首导流罩结构形式研究

针对有特殊声学要求的球鼻首导流罩,为满足其透声要求,提出错层式钛合金球鼻首导流罩的结构形式。首先提出了基本结构形式,分析了这种结构形式下连接结构的水密性、结构方案的经济性。运用有限元计算方法对结构强度进行了校核,并对声学性能进行了分析。研究表明：这一结构形式能够满足声呐特殊的工作要求,且结构设计可行。     

时间统一系统同步误差测量方法研究

传统的人工时间同步误差的测量方法存在操作复杂和效率低下的缺点。为解决这些问题,提出一种同步误差的测量方法,该方法基于复杂可编程逻辑器件（CPLD）技术,并利用全球定位系统来测量时间统一系统的同步误差。相对于传统的测量方法,该方法显著提高了同步误差测量的智能化程度,减轻了测试人员的工作量。通过实验,验证了本设计方案的可行性及正确性。     

均匀设计法在固定化单宁酶澄清绿茶汤工艺中的应用

以壳聚糖微球固定化单宁酶,制成填充床式反应器连续澄清绿茶汤．通过均匀设计法优化茶汤澄清工艺,检验澄清后的绿茶汤理化性质及固定化单宁酶的稳定性．以茶水比为1：100,反应温度为50℃,茶汤流速为2．5mL/min时澄清度最高,透光率超过99％．与抽滤、离心等常规澄清方法相比较,澄清度高、茶多酚、咖啡因、氨基酸损失率低,茶汤口感好．连续澄清280min后,固定化单宁酶酶活为初始酶活的3．07倍．用该方法处理的绿茶汤澄清度高、品质好,具有工业运用前景．