Embedding risk attitude and decision weights in non-linear logit to accommodate time variability in the value of expected travel time savings

In recent years we have seen important extensions of logit models in behavioural research such as incorporation of preference and scale heterogeneity, attribute processing heuristics, and estimation of willingness to pay (WTP) in WTP space. With rare exception, however, a non-linear treatment of the parameter set to allow for behavioural reality, such as embedded risk attitude and perceptual conditioning of occurrence probabilities attached to specific attributes, is absent. This is especially relevant to the recent focus in travel behaviour research on identifying the willingness to pay for reduced travel time variability, which is the source of estimates of the value of trip reliability that has been shown to take on an increasingly important role in project appraisal. This paper incorporates, in a generalised non-linear (in parameters) logit model, alternative functional forms for perceptual conditioning (known as probability weighting) and risk attitude in the utility function to account for travel time variability, and then derives an empirical estimate of the willingness to pay for trip time variability-embedded travel time savings as an alternative to separate estimates of time savings and trip time reliability. We illustrate the richness of the approach using a stated choice data set for commuter choice between unlabelled attribute packages. Statistically significant risk attitude parameters and parameters underlying decision weights are estimated for multinomial logit and mixed multinomial logit models, along with values of expected travel time savings.     

大直径盾构隧道穿越建筑物群变形分析与控制措施北大核心CSCD

大直径盾构隧道掘进施工对土体造成扰动,导致地表产生沉降或隆起,继而严重威胁上部建筑物群的结构安全。文章依托某大直径盾构隧道穿越老旧小区密集建筑物群工程,首先利用二维有限元软件计算关键断面房屋的沉降变形,再对比三维有限元软件的计算结果,分析两种计算方法的适用范围;然后基于三维模型探究了不同初期荷载释放率对盾构穿越引起的地表和房屋变形的影响,最后利用Peck公式计算的理论地表沉降数据,梳理初期荷载释放率、地表沉降、地层损失率三者的内部联系并提出了控制变形的相关措施。研究结果表明,初期荷载释放率越小,地表及房屋沉降也越小,对应的地层损失也越小;对于控制地表变形,减小荷载释放率等同于减小地层损失率;初期荷载释放率、地表沉降、地层损失率这三者减小的量值呈线性关系。     

Experimental research on dynamic responses characteristics and influence laws of gear transmission-propulsion system under gear excitation北大核心CSCD

［Objective］In order to study the dynamic response characteristics and influence laws of a marine gear transmission-propulsion system, a series of bench tests is carried out.［Methods］First, a biaxial gear transmission-propulsion system test bench including a cross connection gear is built. Experiments to test the acceleration response of the gearbox body and propulsion shaft system are then carried out, and the influence of speed, driving mode, axial static thrust, axial dynamic excitation force from the propeller and other factors on the dynamic response characteristics of the system are compared and analyzed. ［Results］The experimental results show that the transmission law of the vibration acceleration response of the gear transmission-propulsion system is mainly at the meshing frequency and its multipliers, as well as peaks in the low frequency band of 30–80 Hz under certain working conditions. ［Conclusion］This study can provide technical support for the vibration and noise reduction design of gear transmission-propulsion systems. © 2022 Journal of Clinical Hepatology. All rights reserved.     

Defect control at nanoscale and flux pinning enhancement in MgB2 superconductor

Defect control at nanoscale of MgB2 by doping various nanoparticles including Ti,C,nano-diamond,and HoB4,and their roles played to enhance flux pinning force in MgB2 arc compared and analyzed.These nan...     

基于GATS算法的城市土地使用规划问题研究

土地使用规划就是确定和选择可能的发展区域以满足使用土地的要求，包括新区域的形成及提供公共服务设施），最优土地发展规划就是从许多可能的发展区域和人口分配方案中选择最好的方案，这一问题能归结为一个单目标0－1规划问题，本文根据遗传算法和禁忌搜索算法自身的优势与不足，提出一种将二者混合使用求解土地使用规划的算法，以使总的费用最少，同时针对此模型中约束函数的特点，提出一种处理约束的新方法，并用实际问题进行了数值实验，这是第一次将遗传算法和禁忌搜索算法应用于实际的土地使用规划问题。     

Stochastic analysis of the variation in injury numbers of automobile frontal crash tests

Although automobile crash test data have a comparatively large variation because of the complexity of the tests, only a limited number of crash tests are usually conducted due to monetary and time limitations. Thus, it is necessary to control input variables that cause the variation in test data to obtain consistent crash test results and to correctly assess the safety performance of an automobile under development. In this study, a MADYMO model was validated deterministically to yield the head, chest, pelvis deceleration pulses of anthropomorphic test devices and the belt load pulses similar to those from actual tests, and it was also validated stochastically to yield means and standard deviations of the head and chest injury numbers, i.e., HIC ₁₅ and 3 msec clip similar to those from actual tests. A stochastic analysis was conducted using the validated MADYMO model to calculate the sensitivity of the standard deviations of the injury numbers to the standard deviations of influential input variables to determine the most influential input variable that makes the largest contribution to the variation in the injury numbers. Moreover, the Taguchi approach was used to determine the optimal values of the influential input variables to improve safety performance.     

雁门关隧道左线糜棱岩构造破碎带特征及防治措施

重点研究了发育在雁门关隧道左线糜棱岩构造破碎带的特征 ,分析了它形成发展的规律 ,着重研究了该断层在不同构造应力场的作用下 ,所产生的不同期次、不同性质构造运动的力学行为 ,并由此推断出该断层对隧道施工可能造成的影响 ,提出了行之有效的治理措施     

Optimization of intake port design for SI engine

It is well known that in-cylinder flow is very important factor for the performance of SI engine. An appropriate in-cylinder flow pattern can enhance the turbulence intensity at spark time, therefore increasing the stability of combustion, reducing emission and improving fuel economy. In this paper, the effect of intake port design on in-cylinder flow is studied. It is found a vortex existed at the upper side of intake port of a production SI engine used in the study, during the intake stroke, which will reduce both tumble ratio and volumetric efficiency. A minor modification on intake port is made to eliminate the vortex and increase tumble ratio while keeping volumetric efficiency at the same level. It is demonstrated that the increase in tumble in the new design results in a 20 per cent increase in the fuel vaporization. In this study, both KIVA and STAR-CD are used to simulate the engine cold flow, as well as ICEM CFD and es-ice used as pre-processor respectively due to the complexity of engine geometry. Simulation results from KIVA and STAR-CD are compared and analyzed.     

Hybrid vehicle power management modeling and refinement

The power management strategy in many hybrid vehicles is based on expert rules and thresholds. These rule-based strategies can result in good efficiency in term of fuel economy and emissions if their thresholds and rules are accurate. However, due to the complexity and the non-linearity of the hybrid powertrain, determining accurate thresholds and rules is neither explicit nor straightforward, and experts in most cases fail to define these thresholds and rules with enough accuracy. Based on this fact, the objective of this paper is to propose a method to improve this rule-based strategy by refining its thresholds and rules. To achieve this, we used an optimization method (dynamic programming) to calculate the optimal power management, determine the optimal control signals, and extract efficient thresholds and rules that can be used in real time. Finally, simulation results for the three strategies (optimal, simple and refined strategy) are shown and discussed.     

硬化混凝土表面气泡的形成机理及解决方法

混凝土表面气泡,影响混凝土外观质量,同时可能涉及到结构的强度以及结构的耐久性。在结合工程实例,全面论述和分析了混凝土表面气泡产生和形成的机理,并提出了减少和抑制混凝土表面气泡的方法。