惠州港在珠江三角洲战略定位的思考

珠江三角洲各地港口建设往往只从本地区角度考虑,在一定程度导致各市港口性质相似、功能雷同,并为争夺货源进行恶性竞争。论文分析了惠州港的优势,再用层次分析法对集装箱港口竞争的关键要素进行定性和定量分析,得出珠江三角洲9个港口发展集装箱码头建设的权重。为惠州港的港口资源在珠三角洲港口群中的最优配置提供相关的研究资料。     

舰载作战系统新一代网络技术发展探讨

着重分析了目前舰载作战系统的网络结构，指出了所存在的不足，介绍了目前较流行和成熟的商用网络传输体制，分析了今后新一代作战系统网络技术的发展趋势，提出了利用合适的成熟商用网络传输体制进行二次开发，并在此基础上构建开放式RPR弹性分组环网络，给出了网络拓扑结构。     

基于层次灰色模型的铁路技术创新绩效综合评价

运用技术创新基本理论,结合铁路技术创新实际,从效益(经济、社会)增长、市场状态(市场份额、市场营销)改善和创新主体素质(技术装备水平、管理水平)提高3个方面建立了评价铁路技术创新绩效的多级指标体系。将层次分析法(AHP)和灰色系统理论结合起来建立了层次灰色评价模型(HGM),运用该模型对铁路技术创新绩效分别从整体和分项进行了综合评价,得出:铁路技术创新绩效绩优度为“一般”,其主要原因在于铁路运输市场状态改善中市场份额扩大程度较低。实证分析结果表明:改进层次灰色评价法(层次灰色评价模型)为一种评价铁路技术创新绩效的有效方法。     

船舶操纵仿真中图谱数值化方法的研究

在船舶操纵仿真中涉及大量的图谱转换工作,传统的图谱处理方法在精度和工作量上存在着一对矛盾。本文试图通过应用正弦小波拟合方法来替代传统折线方法,并在某些图谱上得到验证,可望在类似图谱数值化上得到推广和应用,以提高计算精度和减少计算工作量。     

铁路绿色施工节地与土地资源保护措施评价

为了更好地促进绿色铁路建设,进而促进国家实现建设资源节约型环境友好型社会的目标,必须对施工阶段铁路的节地与土地资源保护措施进行评价。通过研究相关技术标准及铁路施工特点,建立一套完善的铁路绿色施工节地与土地资源保护措施评价指标体系。然后,利用三角模糊数层次分析法确定各指标权重,应用灰色聚类法确定评价指标体系的综合绿色等级。最后,结合实例证明三角模糊数层次法与灰色聚类法结合可以对铁路绿色施工节地与土地资源保护措施进行很好的评价,并能找出铁路施工阶段节地与土地资源保护的不足之处并进行改进。     

基于因子分析与AHP的高速列车乘坐舒适度评价模型与实证分析

针对目前舒适度研究偏重于列车运行物理指标层面的现状,结合人机工程学、环境与行为心理学等相关理论,提出了综合满足旅客乘坐需求、生理感受与心理感受的高速列车广义舒适度的概念。在对北京至四方的铁路线运行的CRH2型动车组745位旅客进行问卷调查的基础上,通过因子分析对指标进行降维,利用AHP构建乘坐舒适度评价模型,得出舒适度影响因素的权重,并提出改进建议:1.细化列车振动、噪声与照明舒适度评价指标;2.优化座椅休息、就餐、娱乐等功能设计;3.进一步调控车厢温度、湿度与空气质量。该模型的建立为我国高速列车乘坐舒适度研究提供了理论依据。     

进口汽车零部件监测数据风险分析与模型建立

通过对我国近两年进口汽车零部件现状进行分析,结合汽车零部件召回相关数据,提出进口汽车零部件质量安全风险监测要点。通过层次分析法和失效模式与效应分析法两种方法建立风险评估数据模型,并对比模型结果,对各种进口汽车零部件风险预警等级进行分类,针对分类等级提出相应的风险监管建议,包括风险管理、完善信息平台和及时更新相关技术标准等,探索风险监测管理模式,建立系统的风险识别和评估的触发机制研究,提升我国进口汽车零部件的质量安全风险管理水平。     

基于灰色评价理论的自适应最优路径选择

充分考虑了驾驶员在路径选择中的不同要求,依据层次分析法和灰色评价理论建立了一种根据驾驶员的偏好自适应选择最优路径的方法,并设计了相应的决策支持系统,为智能交通流诱导系统的进一步发展铺平了道路。     

Evaluating the knowledge of experts in the maritime regulatory field

Regulations are introduced by the International Maritime Organization (IMO) into the maritime industry as the result of safety accidents and/or pollution incidents. When there is lack of historical data, then the IMO appoints experts in order to collect information regarding the costs and benefits generated to a stakeholder of the maritime industry once implementing a maritime regulation. Therefore, the role of experts in providing qualitative and quantitative information is crucial with respect to the quality of the maritime regulatory process within the IMO or other regulatory authorities. In this article, a methodology is proposed involving common criteria in determining the expertise of an individual in the maritime regulatory field. As essential part of the research methodology, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is utilized to determine the expertise of an individual based on his/her own judgements. The regulatory authorities and other stakeholders of the maritime industry may use this method when selecting experts for decision-making. In this article, a simulation is carried showing the potentials of the AHP methodology in expertise evaluation followed by a case study.     

Urban single-lane roundabouts: A new analytical approach using multi-criteria and simultaneous multi-objective optimization of geometry design,efficiency and safety

Building safe and effective roundabouts requires optimizing traffic (operational) efficiency (TE) and traffic safety (TS) while taking into account geometric factors, traffic characteristics and local constraints. Most existing simulation-based optimization models do not simultaneously optimize all these factors. To capture the relationship among geometry, efficiency and safety, we put forward a model formulation in this paper. We present a new multi-criteria and simultaneous multi-objective optimization (MOO) model approach to optimize geometry, TE and TS of urban unsignalized single-lane roundabouts. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first model that uses the multi-criteria decision-making method known as analytic hierarchy process to evaluate and rank traffic parameters and geometric elements of urban single-lane roundabouts. The model was built based on comprehensive review of the research literature and existing roundabout simulation software, a field survey of 61 civil and traffic expert engineers in Croatia, and field studies of roundabouts in the Croatian capital city of Zagreb. We started from the basis of Kimber’s capacity model, HCM2010 serviceability model, and Maycock and Hall's accident prediction model, which we extended by adding sensitivity analysis and powerful MOO procedures of the bounded objective function method and interactive optimization. Preliminary validation of the model was achieved by identifying the optimal and most robust of three geometric alternatives (V.1-V.3) for an unsignalized single-lane roundabout in Zagreb, Croatia. The geometric parameters in variant V.1 had significantly higher values than in the existing design V.0, while approaches 1 and 3 in variant V.2 were enlarged as much as possible within allowed spatial limits and Croatian guidelines, reflecting their higher traffic demand. Sensitivity analysis indicated that variant V.2 showed the overall highest TE and TS across the entire range of traffic flow demand and pedestrian crossing flow demand at approaches. At the same time, the number of predicted traffic accidents was similar for all three variants, although it was lowest overall for V.2. The similarity in predicted accident frequency for the three variants suggests that V.2 provides the greatest safety within the predefined constraints and parameter ranges explored in our study. These preliminary results suggest that the proposed model can optimize geometry, TE and TS of urban single-lane roundabouts.