Suitability of Decision-Theoretic Models to Public Policy Issues Concerning the Provision of Shoreline Stabilization and Hazard Management

This article examines the suitability and potential advances of decision-theoretic models from finance regarding investment decisions in shoreline stabilization projects. A set of scenarios represents the dynamics of the decision-state facing the planner and identifies factors that should be incorporated into the decision-making process. It is shown that decision models from finance can account for the risk and uncertainty inherent in shoreline stabilization projects, potentially suggest improvements and refinements to presently used cost-benefit analysis procedures, and offer new tools that can aid in decisions concerning provision of shoreline stabilization. The outcomes of these scenarios justify better planning and control of existing and future building, and that of poststorm policies. Lastly, these models allow us to explore the range of our understanding of coastal processes and interactions with shoreline stabilization projects and can identify new and useful data needed in coastal management and hazard management decisions.     

汽车车身开发中的并行工程研究

并行工程为汽车产品开发快速适应市场需求与变化,降低产品开发成本提供了行之有效解决方法,文章旨在阐述并行工程在车身开发中的重要意义。文章分析车身开发中并行工程的运行机理,车身开发中并行工程的实施要素以及车身开发并行工程的主要内容,阐述了合理运用并行工程可以加快产品研发速度、缩短开发周期、降低研发和制造成本、提高产品质量。基于并行工程的车身开发已经成为汽车生产企业必行之路。     

汉英格标记对比与翻译策略研究

文章简要介绍了格理论,指出汉语和英语各有一套格标记系统,这也构成了对两种语言的格标记进行对比的基础。文章讨论了汉语格标记的常用手段,并在对汉英语格标记对比的基础上提出了在翻译实践中常可采用的相应的翻译策略。     

基于Hoek理论考虑地震力作用的楔形体稳定性计算分析

Hoek理论是楔形体问题分析及计算的常用理论,它假定各滑面均为平面,以各滑面总抗滑力与楔形体总下滑力的比值来确定安全系数。但传统的Hoek理论未考虑地震力的影响,对需要考虑地震作用的地区其应用受限。基于Hoek理论采用极限平衡法的分析原理,将地震对楔形体的作用力纳入Hoek理论,从而得到一个考虑地震作用下楔形体稳定性的计算方法,并应用在临岳高速公路边坡的稳定性分析上,与实际情况吻合,说明推导的计算方法是正确的。     

Transition to a cyclable city: Latent variables affecting bicycle commuting

An understanding of the key factors influencing bicycle commuting is essential for developing effective policies towards a cyclable city. This paper contributes to this line of research by proposing a methodology for including cycling-related indicators in mobility surveys based on the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB), and applying an exploratory factor analysis (EFA) to evaluate the structure of latent variables associated with bicycle commuting. The EFA identified six cycling latent variables: Lifestyle, Safety and comfort, Awareness, Direct disadvantages, Subjective norm, and Individual capabilities. These were complemented with a latent variable related to habit: Non-commuting cycling habit. Statistical differences and regression analysis were applied with the cycling latent variables. The study also includes the relationship between objective factors and bicycle commuting, which reveals minor associations. This methodology was applied to the “starter cycling city” of Vitoria-Gasteiz (Spain). The results confirm that in this context – in transition to a cyclable city – safety and comfort issues are not the main barriers for all commuters, although more progress needs to be made to normalise cycling. A set of customised policy initiatives is recommended in the light of the research findings, including marketing campaigns to encourage non-commuting cycling trips, bicycle measures to target social groups as opposed to individuals, bicycle-specific programs such as “Bike-to-work Days”, and cycling courses.     

大客流扰动下的北京地铁脆弱性研究

近年来大客流对北京地铁的冲击使车站负荷强度不断增大,车站日常运营存在安全隐患,地铁系统逐渐呈现出脆弱性。地铁脆弱性表现为暴露度、易感度和适应度。鉴于地铁脆弱性体系具有层级性、定性定量结合性、多专家决策性、指标灰性等特点,综合运用层次分析法、灰色理论、模糊综合评价以及多专家决策理论,构建群体灰色层次模糊评价法(GGAHP)。基于指标体系评价法,根据现场考察、专家座谈等方式完成大客流扰动对北京地铁安全运营的影响因素识别,通过模糊德尔菲法建立评价指标体系,通过定量分析与定性评价相结合的方法,对北京地铁客流压力较大的典型车站进行脆弱性评价,并对评价结果进行分析总结。     

Intention and willingness to pay for green freight transportation: An empirical examination

The objective of this paper is to explore what motivates consumer intention and willingness to pay for green transportation. The model is based on the theory of planned behavior and explains the relationship between consumer attitude, perceived behavioral control and peer pressure on intention and willingness to pay for a t-shirt that was transported using energy efficient fuel. Data from a survey of U.S. consumers is analyzed. Results suggest consumer attitude and peer pressure are positively associated with intention which is positively associated with willingness to pay. High levels of consumer attitude, perceived behavioral control and intention suggest a positive outlook for organizations investing in green transportation initiatives. Results also suggest a need for organizations and government to market and educate consumers and citizens about the positive implications of green transportation and using energy efficient fuel.     

预测和确定汽车气动特性的新理论模型

本文以汽车空气动力学的“升力面理论”为出发点，提出一种预测和确定汽车空气动力学特性的新理论模型，并就其在评价空气动力学因素对汽车性能的影响，在研究开发气动阻力最小且同时满足汽车工程各方面要求的近地形体及车身优化设计等方面的应用价值进行了探讨。     

水资源开发事业(项目)费用分配的理论研究

在对传统的费用分配方法分析研究的基础上,探讨了以Gam e理论为基础的费用分配方法及其适用条件,并以水资源开发中的多目的大坝建设为例,分析研究了项目开发费用在不同建设主体间的分配,提出了适用多种条件费用分配的计算方法.     

快速公交系统通行能力计算方法研究

快速公交系统的通行能力是由瓶颈车站决定的.首先分析了车站通行能力的基本原理和主要影响因素,并基于排队论构造了单一停靠位通行能力的计算模型.同时,根据北京、杭州和昆明三地快速公交系统(公交专用道)的实际运营状况对模型参数进行了详细地标定和说明,提出缩短公交车平均停靠时间和改善系统运营稳定性是提升通行能力的重要途径.在此基础上,以北京市南中轴路快速公交为例,说明了模型的应用方法,并定量分析了各种因素对通行能力的影响.最后,对多停靠位车站的周转效率变化规律进行了分析,提出了其通行能力的计算方法.