船舶六自由度转台电液伺服系统参数整定方法

针对船舶六自由度转台电液伺服系统的参数整定问题,提出一种基于多目标遗传算法和多属性决策的PID参数设计方法,综合考虑了系统超调量、稳定时间和ITAE指标,采用多目标遗传算法求出Pareto最优解。使用客观赋权的信息熵法对最优解的属性进行权值计算,然后采用逼近理想解的排序方法（TOP—SIS）进行多属性决策（MADM）研究。计算了转台电液伺服控制的数值算例,结果表明本文提出的联合方法通用性好,所设计的PID性能优异,适合工程实际应用。     

基于BP-DS证据理论的航标状态识别模型研究

内河航标标示了可航行水域的边界,是保障内河船舶安全航行的重要前提.面向内河航标不同故障模式,构建一种基于BP-DS证据理论的航标状态识别模型.采用两个BP神经网络分别训练航标基础属性数据与环境因素数据,计算独立的证据值;通过DS证据理论实现航标运行状态识别结果的决策融合.结果表明,基于BP-DS证据理论的航标状态识别模...     

A new composite decision support framework for strategic and sustainable transport appraisals

This paper concerns the development of a new decision support framework for the appraisal of transport infrastructure projects. In such appraisals there will often be a need for including both conventional transport impacts as well as criteria of a more strategic and/or sustainable character. The proposed framework is based on the use of cost-benefit analysis featuring feasibility risk assessment in combination with multi-criteria decision analysis and is supported by the concept of decision conferencing. The framework is applied for a transport related case study dealing with the complex decision problem of determining the most attractive alternative for a new fixed link between Denmark and Sweden – the so-called HH-connection. Applying the framework to the case study made it possible to address the decision problem from an economic, a strategic, and a sustainable point of view simultaneously. The outcome of the case study demonstrates the decision making framework as a valuable decision support system (DSS), and it is concluded that appraisals of transport projects can be effectively supported by the use of the DSS. Finally, perspectives of the future modelling work are given.     

Trade-offs between mobility and equity maximization under environmental capacity constraints: A case study of an integrated multi-objective model

This paper investigates the performance of a policy decision tool proposed for multi-objective decision under different policy interventions. This tool deals with the trade-off between mobility and equity maximization under environmental capacity constraints. Two system objectives, maximization of mobility and equity, are formulated in terms of the sum of total car ownership and number of trips, and the differences in accessibility between zones. Environmental capacities are based on production efficiency theory in which the frontier emission under maximum system efficiency is taken as environmental capacity. To examine the performance of the proposed model, three types of hypothetical policies (network improvement, population increase and urban sprawl) are formulated. Effects are simulated using data pertaining to Dalian City, China. Results show that the proposed model is capable of representing the trade-offs between mobility and equity based on different policy interventions. Compared with two extreme cases with the single objective of mobility maximization or equity maximization, the Pareto-optimal solutions provide more interesting practical options for decision makers. Taking the solution based on the maximum equity as an example, the policy of urban sprawl yields the most significant improvement in both emission and accessibility of the three scenarios.     

集对分析的灰数决策法在交通规划中的应用

用灰数表示决策信息是合理的.通过构造灰数意义上的决策值与比较域,利用集对分析的相对性,在与同一、对立(最优、最劣)目标接近程度意义上构造了决策值与比较域间的集对联系数.引入了集对联系数中同一度和对立度间相互关联的集对势的概念,利用集对势的大小对方案的优劣进行排序.作为集对分析和灰数的结合,建立了基于集对分析的灰数多指标决策模型.最后,以实例验证了该模型的有效性与实用性.     

模糊决策方法定量评价道路安全性的尝试

运用安全系统工程模糊决策方法．分析天津市东丽区驯海路的不安全因素，建立双层多因素集．通过线性代数运算评价，计算出驯海路定量安全性，从而得出道路是否需要整改的结论，并提出改进措施。     

基于改进的模糊决策树ETC系统客户欺诈分析研究

随着我国ETC系统的普及，对其进行管理成了急需解决的问题，因利用电子标签和智能卡进行欺诈的行为将给高速公路管理部门带来了极大的损失。介绍了一种改进的模糊决策二叉树模型。即采用最优分割熵方法确定最优割点来对数据模糊化，引入模糊数学中的不确定性理论，依据分类的不确定性建造树，生成规则，在此基础上利用规则匹配的方法检测任意的样本数据是否为欺诈数据。     

道路交通无序拥挤控制模型的研究

为了解决道路交通无序拥挤控制问题,定义交通序参数、路段交通的有序和无序,建立涨落后无序拥挤控制过程数学规划模型,采用动态分流决策方法求解模型得出无序拥挤控制的最佳方案,并给出相应的算法,最后用一个例子说明算法的实用性。     

交通基础设施建设投资对国民经济拉动作用的定量分析

运用投入产出模型定量分析了公路交通基础设施建设投资对国民经济的拉动作用。拉动作用主要表现为公路建设投资所产生的直接、间接和诱导经济效益,其总和为公路建设投资的乘数效应,可分别用产出乘数、GDP乘数和就业乘数来测算。分析测算了我国近年来公路建设投资对国民经济的拉动作用。估算结果表明,(1)公路建筑业对其他部门的波及影响程度大于各部门的平均影响水平;(2)拉动作用在1998年最为显著,自1999年开始,公路投资拉动经济增长的百分比呈逐年上升的趋势。     

灰色理论在养护决策中的应用研究

选取平整度、车辙、抗滑能力、路面破损作为控制指标,采用灰色聚类法对养护路段进行分类,以达到科学决策的目的,可为类似公路的养护提供参考。