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熵最大化方法被广泛应用于交通规划，为交通需求预测模型提供了理论依据.本文使用信息论中的熵概念描述居民出行分布，并根据最大信息熵理论提出了基于原点矩典型特征量约束条件下的出行分布模型，详细阐述了模型中各个参数的实际含义，该模型是一个普适性模型，其具体形式决定于最高阶原点矩阶数的取值，此值对模型精度及参数标定难易程度有重要影响.为确定模型参数，提出了实用的参数标定方法.由于模型中原点矩的最高阶数对模型精度有较大影响，为找到两者之间的关系，利用长春市出行调查数据研究了四种出行方式分别时应于五种原点矩最高阶数的模型拟合情况.因文中所建立的模型是一系列模型，为比较其描述问题的优劣差异，按照最大信息熵原理给出了确定系统分布的熵方法，并运用该方法对前述模型进行了比较.调查数据的验证结果表明，出行分布的信息熵模型可以正确地描述出行分布规律，熵方法可以简单有效地评价不同模型对同一问题描述的优劣差异.本文提出的熵模型和熵方法对城市交通规划具有指导意义.     

肋拱桥关键截面箱型转换加固技术试验研究

以重庆丰都庙包大桥为原型,制作了2片钢筋混凝土肋拱模型,首先采用"肋拱桥关键截面箱型转换加固技术"对其中1片进行加固处治,然后对加固前、后肋拱模型实施全过程破坏试验。通过对比分析加固前、后肋拱模型的应变、挠度、横向分布比率、裂缝及破坏模式等指标,得到以下结论:肋拱桥关键截面箱型转换加固后,新增设的钢筋混凝土箱型封闭层能与原肋拱协调变形、共同承担活载。     

横向变刚度复合地基在高速公路软基处理中的应用

依托某高速公路桥头段工程,建立变刚度复合地基有限元模型,在验证模型正确性的基础上,针对变桩距方案进行横向沉降、水平位移、剪应力计算和分析;对变桩长、变模量与变桩距方案进行综合比选,建议采用变桩距方案来实现复合地基调平设计,该方案可有效控制路堤横向差异沉降,同时文章对横向变刚度复合地基在拓宽工程中的应用问题进行了探讨.     

交际策略的理论研究及其教学方法

本从理论和实践两个方面对交际策略进行了较为全面的论述。首先阐述了交际能力和策略能力的关系，比较了交际策略和学习策略的区别。然后介绍了交际策略的十种定义，并指出是如何从不同的角度加以定义的。接着评析了交际策略的三种较有代表性的模式和各种模式的优缺点。最后在此基础上，从宏观和微观两方面对交际策略的教授提出了相应的建议。     

铁路枢纽作业轮廓计划优化模型及算法

本文给出铁路枢纽日常运输组织工作轮廓计划多商品时空网络流模型及算法，对次日枢纽内大小车流、机车应用配合我纽内各站装、卸、排空计划作出合理安排。揭示枢纽内各站次日工作的重点与关键。为进一步编制日班计划及阶段计划提供指导及辅助决策基础。     

HOV车道在上海城市交通管理中的应用探讨

介绍HOV(高承载率车辆)车道的概念及在洛杉矶的发展过程;针对上海目前公交专用道利用率不高的现象,提出利用公交专用道的富余设置HOV车道的设想;从必要性及可行性两方面运用数据对上海市延安东路隧道和四平路—中山东路的道路状况分析说明。     

美国海军业务化海洋预报系统综述

美国海军海洋预报系统最早始于苏联时期,自此之后,美国海军制定了一系列计划,构建海洋观测网络,开发海洋数值模式,发展军事海洋学,旨在建成一套完整、精确的全球海洋预报系统并实现业务化应用。美国海军海洋学一直走在世界前沿,本文将对美国海军海洋预报系统的发展历程、成果及其现状进行阐述,这对于我国军事海洋学以及海洋预报系统的发展具有重要借鉴作用。     

Motorway crash duration and its determinants: do durations vary across motorways?

Traffic congestion has been a growing issue in many metropolitan areas during recent years, which necessitates the identification of its key contributors and development of sustainable strategies to help decrease its adverse impacts on traffic networks. Road incidents generally and crashes specifically have been acknowledged as the cause of a large proportion of travel delays in urban areas and account for 25% to 60% of traffic congestion on motorways. Identifying the critical determinants of travel delays has been of significant importance to the incident management systems, which constantly collect and store the incident duration data. This study investigates the individual and simultaneous differential effects of the relevant determinants on motorway crash duration probabilities. In particular, it applies parametric Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) hazard‐based models to develop in‐depth insights into how the crash‐specific characteristic and the associated temporal and infrastructural determinants impact the duration. AFT models with both fixed and random parameters have been calibrated on one year of traffic crash records from two major Australian motorways in South East Queensland, and the differential effects of determinants on crash survival functions have been studied on these two motorways individually. A comprehensive spectrum of commonly used parametric fixed parameter AFT models, including generalized gamma and generalized F families, has been compared with random parameter AFT structures in terms of goodness of fit to the duration data, and as a result, the random parameter Weibull AFT model has been selected as the most appropriate model. Significant determinants of motorway crash duration included traffic diversion requirement, crash injury type, number and type of vehicles involved in a crash, day of week and time of day, towing support requirement and damage to the infrastructure. A major finding of this research is that the motorways under study are significantly different in terms of crash durations; such that motorway 1 exhibits durations that are on average 19% shorter compared with the durations on motorway 2. The differential effects of explanatory variables on crash durations are also different on the two motorways. The detailed presented analysis confirms that looking at the motorway network as a whole, neglecting the individual differences between roads, can lead to erroneous interpretations of duration and inefficient strategies for mitigating travel delays along a particular motorway.     

A new shared control for lane keeping and road departure prevention

In recent years, the driver's active assistances have become important features in commercialised vehicles. In this paper, we present one of these features which consists of an advanced driver assistance system for lane keeping. A thorough analysis of its performance and stability with respect to variations in driver behaviour will be given. Firstly, the lateral control model based on visual preview is established and the kinematics model based on visual preview, including speed and other factors, is used to calculate the lateral error and direction error. Secondly, and according to the characteristics of the lateral control, an efficient strategy of intelligent electric vehicle lateral mode is proposed. The integration of the vehicle current lateral error and direction error is chosen as the parameter of the sliding mode switching function to design the sliding surface. The control variables are adjusted according to the fuzzy control rules to ensure that they meet the existence and reaching condition. A new fuzzy logic-based switching strategy with an efficient control law is also proposed to ensure a level of continuous and variable sharing according to the state of the driver and the vehicle positioning on the roadway. The proposed control law acts either at the centre of the lane, as a lane keeping assistance system to reduce the driver's workload for long trips, or as a lane departure avoidance system that intervenes for unintended lane departures. Simulation results are included in this paper to explain this concept.     

FEMUR SHAPE RECOVERY FROM VOLUMETRIC IMAGES USING 3-D DEFORMABLE MODELS

IntroductionThe rupture of the anterior cruciate ligament( ACL) has become the most common knee in-juries.In operation of ACL reconstruction,thesurgeons have to find the optimal attachmentpoints resulting in a low anisometry of the graft,while preventing impingement between the graftand the femoral notch.Markus Fleute andStéphane lavallée[1] proposed a real- time systemfor computer- assisted ACL surgery.A recentadvance in surgery is minimally invasive tech-nique that can avoid the large…