民航发动机车间维修能力近似平均值分析方法

为了评估民航发动机维修车间在当前维修能力下可保持的机队规模,提出了车间维修能力近似平均值分析方法。采用扩展随机Petri网建立了发动机在维修车间的转移模型,利用单维修等级下系统的性能指标对多维修等级性能指标进行了修正,采用平方变差系数方法实现服务时间从指数分布向正态分布的逼近,并评价了多等级与服务时间为正态分布的车间维修能力,分析了近似平均分析法与仿真方法的计算结果。比较结果表明:各维修中心等待队长最大相对误差为9.14%,此时零件检查、手工修理及机械加工为限制维修车间能力的瓶颈,因此,近似平均值分析方法是有效的。     

基于物元贝叶斯网络的舰船战损评估模型研究

分析了舰船战场损伤评估过程,从而得到舰船战场损伤评估的基本流程。分析了过去关于舰船战场损伤评估研究的缺陷和不足。在物元理论和贝叶斯网络理论分析的基础上,建立了节点物元模型和物元贝叶斯网络模型,进而提出了物元贝叶斯网络理论。根据舰船战场损伤评估的特点,分析了建立舰船战场损伤评估模型的步骤及相关工作,并以某舰艇操船系统为例,建立了操船系统损伤评估的物元贝叶斯网络模型。应用示例表明了所提理论的可行性、适用性和可操性。     

Load effects on vessel-shaped fish cage steel structures,nets and connectors considering the effects of diffraction and radiation waves under irregular waves

Vessel-shaped fish cages are mainly composed of a large floating body, aquaculture nets and a number of steel frames. Due to the large scale of vessel-shaped fish cages, the velocity field induced by the diffraction waves and radiation waves cannot be ignored in the calculation of the loads on the net and steel frames. In turn, the loads can affect the wave-induced response of the floating body and hence the radiation waves as well as the sectional forces. In this paper, a novel method is proposed to consider the coupling effect. First, considering the irregular waves in short-term periods, the global response of the floating body is calculated in the time domain by the state-space method based on potential flow theory. Meanwhile, the velocity field considering the influence of the floating body is built according to the velocity transfer function. Then, the Morison formula is used to calculate the loads on the nets and the steel frames. Finally, the coupling achieved through numerical iterations is considered in the calculation of the twine tension, load effect of connector and the global cross-section under irregular waves. It is found that the diffraction and radiation waves make a significant difference in the twine tension and connector load effect.     

Towards a holistic digital twin solution for real-time monitoring of aquaculture net cage systems

Digital twins and relevant concepts are being applied in a wide variety of ways, and they are of most use when an actual real-world physical system or process (a physical twin) is changing over time and when measurement data correlated with this change can be captured. In this work, a digital twin model was implemented for real-time monitoring of aquaculture net cage systems, which is notoriously challenging because of several difficult-to-measure properties, such as forces on and deformation of the flexible netting structures, waves and flow field alterations around the cage and complex stiffness behaviour of the mooring elements made by fibre ropes. These properties were set to be adaptable according to the resultant outputs, such as cage responses and mooring loads that were continuously compared with the measurement data obtained from remote monitoring sensors. In this way, real-time sensor data were assimilated into the numerical simulation model for representing the actual net cage system. No dedicated sensors were used for fish monitoring, but the fish behavioural responses to current, wave and cage deformation were modelled according to relevant field observational data. A wireless sensor network has also been tested for the digital twin implementation, which was found to be suitable for practical uses in fish farms.