哈尔滨局集团公司货运智能决策支持系统研究

为加强哈尔滨局集团公司各系统间货运数据资源整合,提升营销精准度,在众多物流企业中占据竞争优势,阐述哈尔滨局集团公司铁路货运营销管理现状,针对现有信息系统缺少对市场行情、经济形势的采集和分析等问题,结合商业智能相关技术,分析当前货运营销管理决策的特点及需求,提出构建哈尔滨局集团公司货运智能决策支持系统的目标及架构,设计智能人机交互、智能搜索引擎、市场营销管理、客户行为感知、市场行情监测、自定义报表查询等功能,为哈尔滨局集团公司货运营销管理提供了重要支持。     

我国筑路机械行业迎接“入关”浅议

本文分析了我国重返关贸总协定(简称“入关”)后筑路机械行业的市场供求现状,提出了筑路机械工业为迎接“入关”挑战在经济规模、产业结构、技术质量、管理营销、售后服务等方面的看法。     

海洋运输运价保值市场的研究和创新

国际上创设的多种运费衍生市场，理论上能够起到运费保值的作用，但因市场交易清淡，保值范围非常有限。针对国际集装箱运输市场的特点，本文提出了运费保值市场的架构：创设以做市商为中心的、零售性质的远期运费合同市场，以利于中小型外贸公司规避运价的不确定性，并建立集装箱远期运费协议市场，以便做市商、大货主和大船运公司在衍生市场进行运费保值。     

Deriving macroscopic fundamental diagrams from probe data: Issues and proposed solutions

Well-defined relationships between flow and density averaged spatially across urban traffic networks, more commonly known as Macroscopic Fundamental Diagrams (MFDs), have been recently verified to exist in reality. Researchers have proposed using MFDs to monitor the status of urban traffic networks and to inform the design of network-wide traffic control strategies. However, it is also well known that empirical MFDs are not easy to estimate in practice due to difficulties in obtaining the requisite data needed to construct them. Recent works have devised ways to estimate a network’s MFD using limited trajectory data that can be obtained from GPS-equipped mobile probe vehicles. These methods assume that the market penetration level of mobile probe vehicles is uniform across the entire set of OD pairs in the network; however, in reality the probe vehicle market penetration rate varies regionally within a network. When this variation is combined with the imbalance of probe trip lengths and travel times, the compound effects will further complicate the estimation of the MFD.To overcome this deficit, we propose a method to estimate a network’s MFD using mobile probe data when the market penetration rates are not necessarily the same across an entire network. This method relies on the determination of appropriate average probe penetration rates, which are weighted harmonic means using individual probe vehicle travel times and distances as the weights. The accuracy of this method is tested using synthetic data generated in the INTEGRATION micro-simulation environment by comparing the estimated MFDs to the ground truth MFD obtained using a 100% market penetration of probe vehicles. The results show that the weighted harmonic mean probe penetration rates outperform simple (arithmetic) average probe penetration rates, as expected. This especially holds true as the imbalance of demand and penetration level increases. Furthermore, as the probe penetration rates are generally not known, an algorithm to estimate the probe penetration rates of regional OD pairs is proposed. This algorithm links count data from sporadic fixed detectors in the network to information from probe vehicles that pass the detectors. The simulation results indicate that the proposed algorithm is very effective. Since the data needed to apply this algorithm are readily available and easy to collect, the proposed algorithm is practically feasible and offers a better approach for the estimation of the MFD using mobile probe data, which are becoming increasingly available in urban environments.     

遵小铁路运输宽城砂石骨料市场竞争力探讨

按照国家及地方推进运输结构调整要求,砂石骨料作为建材市场的大宗货物,基于遵小铁路续扩建工程,宽城的砂石骨料积极推进其供给侧改革及运输"公转铁",加快实现公路运输方式向铁路运输方式的转变。在阐述砂石骨料市场、遵小铁路运输市场、遵小铁路运输径路的基础上,通过构建砂石骨料市场竞争力模型,对京津冀区域砂石骨料市场竞争力进行分析。结果表明,宽城砂石骨料经遵小铁路外运至京津冀区域具备市场竞争力。最后从提高砂石骨料生产品质、加强砂石骨料运输组织、铁路实施差异化运价等方面对提高遵小铁路运输宽城砂石骨料市场竞争力进行探讨,为资源型城市发展砂石骨料绿色生产及运输提供借鉴。     

Preparing a nation for autonomous vehicles: opportunities,barriers and policy recommendations

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) represent a potentially disruptive yet beneficial change to our transportation system. This new technology has the potential to impact vehicle safety, congestion, and travel behavior. All told, major social AV impacts in the form of crash savings, travel time reduction, fuel efficiency and parking benefits are estimated to approach $2000 to per year per AV, and may eventually approach nearly $4000 when comprehensive crash costs are accounted for. Yet barriers to implementation and mass-market penetration remain. Initial costs will likely be unaffordable. Licensing and testing standards in the U.S. are being developed at the state level, rather than nationally, which may lead to inconsistencies across states. Liability details remain undefined, security concerns linger, and without new privacy standards, a default lack of privacy for personal travel may become the norm. The impacts and interactions with other components of the transportation system, as well as implementation details, remain uncertain. To address these concerns, the federal government should expand research in these areas and create a nationally recognized licensing framework for AVs, determining appropriate standards for liability, security, and data privacy.     

近年摩托车产品技术性贸易措施通报情况及应对措施

自我国加入WTO以来,外贸出口需严格按照世贸规则,遵守世贸各国的技术性贸易措施的规定。客观看待各国的TBT通报,是要警惕发达国家在通报中所设置的技术性贸易壁垒给我国产品出口造成的人为门槛,同时也要了解它＂双刃剑＂的特性,它不仅是各国所设置的市场准入障碍,更是国际最新技术发展方向的风向标。     

模块化、平台化战略在摩托车产品开发中的应用（1）

从现代模块化、平台化战略的基本概念和理论入手,结合产品市场战略决策方法以及产品模块化平台化工具和手段,提出针对摩托车企业实施模块化、平台化产品开发的流程和解决方案。     

2010年1—9月我国汽油机市场分析及2011年展望（续1）

文章对2010年1—9月份中国国内汽油机市场总体发展情况进行了分析,同时分析了大、中、小排量汽油机机型市场占有率及发展趋势,对于排名位居前10位的生产企业分别进行了分析与介绍。文章对2010年1—9月份中国汽油机市场发展特点,存在的问题进行分析与阐述,同时对2011年中国汽油机市场发展趋势、生产量进行了分析与预测。     

广西高速公路养护工程市场管理浅析

高速公路养护工程市场管理规范化是行业监管到位的最终体现。文章基于广西高速公路养护工程市场管理现状,多角度地分析了市场管理中存在的主要问题,并提出了针对性的管理对策及措施。