Integrated models of land use and transportation for the autonomous vehicle revolution

ABSTRACT

The advent of the autonomous vehicle (AV) will affect not only the transportation system, but also future patterns of land development. Integrated land use and transportation models will be critical tools in assessing the path forward with this technology. Key questions with respect to land use impacts of AVs arise from potential changes in sensitivity to travel and reduced demand for parking. It is an open question whether AVs will induce urban sprawl, or whether spatial economies of agglomeration will mitigate any reductions in travel time sensitivity. The deployment of shared fleets of AVs would likely reduce parking demand, producing yet to be explored impacts on property development within existing urban footprints. We perform a critical assessment of currently operational models and their ability to represent the adoption of AVs. We identify the representation of time in such models as a vital component requiring additional development to model this new technology. Existing model applications have focused on the discrete addition of new infrastructure or policy at a fixed point in time, whereas AV adoption will occur incrementally through time. Stated adaptation surveys are recommended as tools to quantify preferences and develop relevant model inputs. It is argued that existing models that assume comparatively static equilibrium have been convenient in the past, but are insufficient to model technology adoption. In contrast, dynamic model frameworks lack sufficient structure to maintain reasonability under large perturbations from base conditions. The ongoing advancement of computing has allowed models to move away from being mechanistic aggregate tools, towards behaviourally rich depictions of individual persons and firms. However, much work remains to move from projections of existing conditions into the future, to the evolution of the spatial economy as it evolves through time in response to new technologies and exogenous stresses. Principles from complex and evolutionary systems theory will be important in the development of models with the capacity to consider such dynamics.     

高速列车横向悬挂主动、半主动控制技术的研究

针对铁路机车车辆横向悬挂系统存在的振动问题,提出了一种基于力和加速度反馈的旨在抑制振动的主动、半主动控制方案。介绍了主动、半主动控制原理,相应的执行机构和控制器的构成,整车试验的试验方法和部分试验结果。试验表明:采用主动、半主动控制技术以后,机车车辆的运行平稳性指标得到了较大的提高,列车的运行品质得到了明显改善。     

无锡地铁1号线列车母线高压电路设计与探讨

基于城轨列车通过断电区对车辆控制和系统安全的风险控制要求,结合目前应用的几种典型列车高压母线电路特点,提出无锡地铁1号线列车高压母线电路设计优化方案,并对受流器的配置提出了新的设计思路。     

轨道交通车辆抗侧滚结构形式的选型分析

介绍了抗侧滚刚度对轨道交通车辆性能的影响。通过对车辆的控制方式、抵抗侧风能力、动力学性能和柔度系数4个方面的分析研究来确定轨道交通车辆的抗侧滚结构形式,为车辆抗侧滚结构形式的选择提供了理论依据。研究表明:当车辆采用两点控制时必须设置抗侧滚扭杆来提高车辆的抗侧滚能力;当车辆采用四点控制时可考虑增大空气弹簧的跨距和设置抗侧滚扭杆来提高车辆的抗侧滚能力。     

基于双参数雨流法的地铁车辆转向架构架寿命评估

采用双参数雨流法对在线实测的地铁车辆转向架构架载荷时间历程进行计数统计,分离出完整的应力循环和半循环,表征了构架服役过程的随机载荷谱块。根据名义应力法理论及miner疲劳损伤累积理论,估算出了地铁车辆转向架构架的疲劳寿命。分析结果表明,测点处的寿命为13.4年左右。     

西安地铁2号线车辆公路运输实施方案

地铁车辆属超长、超大货物,公路运输时需借助长大汽车且通过市区进入车辆段。因此运输组织及运输安全尤为重要。就地铁车辆的公路运输涉及到的几个因素进行了分析,提出了安全可靠的运输方案。通过批量车公路运输的实施和验证,给地铁车辆公路运输方式提供了有益的借鉴。     

城市混合交通控制设计理念与方法

针对我国城市特有的混合交通特性,在分析城市路网特征和交通流运行特征的基础上,确立了混合交通控制系统设计的基本理念。基于混合交通流理论,建立了城市交通控制的方法体系,包括匝道控制、单点控制、干线协调控制、区域协调控制以及公交优先控制。运用此设计理念与方法开发出的混合交通控制系统（HiCON）,在北京、青岛、福州三地的应用表明：车辆平均延误减少10％～20％,平均行程时间降低5%-10％。     

道路交通安全水平预测的统计模型

为了评价和预测不同国家的道路交通安全水平,建立通用的统计模型,作者首先分析道路交通事故死亡率与人口规模、机动车保有量、道路里程以及人均GNP之间的相关关系,根据相关性选择影响道路交通事故的因素,并建立万车死亡率与人均GNP之间的函数关系.模型计算结果与校核数据对比分析表明,所提出的模型能够较好地评价和预测一个国家或地区的道路交通安全水平.模型对交通管理者提高交通安全性的科学决策具有重要指导意义.     

国产轻轨车辆的主要技术参数特点

国产轻轨车辆采用铰接式、短轴距转向架及大截面铝合金车体等先进技术,实现了3、4、5辆车灵活编组及单辆车的双向运行。简要介绍车体、转向架、主电路、辅助电源、制动等主要系统和部件的特点及其技术参数。     

A design methodology for mechatronic vehicles: application of multidisciplinary optimization,multibody dynamics and genetic algorithms

A design methodology for mechatronic vehicles is presented. With multidisciplinary optimization (MDO) methods, strongly coupled mechanical, control and other subsystems are integrated as a synergistic vehicle system. With genetic algorithms (GAs) at the system level, the mechanical, control and other relevant parameters can be optimized simultaneously. To demonstrate the feasibility and efficacy of the proposed design methodology for mechatronic vehicles, it is used to resolve the conflicting requirements for ride comfort, suspension working spaces and unsprung mass dynamic loads in the optimization of half-vehicle models with active suspensions. Both deterministic and random road excitations, both rigid and flexible vehicle bodies and both perfect measurement of full state variables and estimated limited state variables are considered. Numerical results show that the optimized vehicle systems based on the methodology have better overall performance than those using the linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) controller. It is shown that the methodology is suitable for complex design optimization problems where: (1) there is interaction between different disciplines or subsystems; (2) there are multiple design criteria; (3) there are multiple local optima; (4) there is no need for sensitivity analysis for the optimizer at the system level; and (5) there are multiple design variables.