基于最大Lyapunov指数改进算法的交通流混沌判别

提出了一种快速判别交通流混沌的最大Lyapunov指数改进算法．该算法首先用关联积分法（C-C方法）和Cao方法确定重构相空间的两个重要参数：嵌入维数m和延迟时间，再用小数据量方法计算时间序列的最大Lyapunov指数．这种算法不仅能够很好地重构原始时间序列的特性，并且能够避免Wolf方法的局限性．应用最大Lyapunov指数改进算法对仿真交通流和实测交通流的时间序列进行了混沌判别，结果表明，基于跟驰模型的仿真交通流和实际交通流中存在混沌现象，最大Lyapunov指数改进算法是准确判定时间序列是否具有混沌特性的一种有效方法．     

用面元法预报船舶的兴波阻力及波型

采用基于开尔文源的面元法求解航行于均匀流场中的船舶兴波问题．在船体湿表面上布置开尔文源，使其严格满足船体表面条件．数值计算中，首先采用分部积分对被积函数进行简化处理，然后采用高斯积分实现面元和线元上的积分，避免了被积函数为高频振荡函数所带来的数值计算的复杂性和不确定性．计算结果表明，其波型及兴波阻力系数与试验结果和其他数值方法相比均吻合较好．     

An Adaptive Joint Source/Channel Coding Using Error Correcting Arithmetic Codes

An approximately optimal adaptive arithmetic coding (AC) system using a forbidden symbol (FS) over noisy channels was proposed which allows one to jointly and adaptively design the source decoding and channel correcting in a single process, with superior performance compared with traditional separated techniques. The concept of adaptiveness is applied not only to the source model but also to the amount of coding redundancy. In addition, an improved branch metric computing algorithm and a faster sequential searching algorithm compared with the system proposed by Grangetto were proposed. The proposed system is tested in the case of image transmission over the AWGN channel, and compared with traditional separated system in terms of packet error rate and complexity. Both hard and soft decoding were taken into account.     

Regularization Method to the Parameter Identification of Interfacial Heat Transfer Coefficient and Properties during Casting Solidification

The accurate material physical properties, initial and boundary conditions are indispensable to the numerical simulation in the casting process, and they are related to the simulation accuracy directly. The inverse heat conduction method can be used to identify the mentioned above parameters based on the temperature measurement data. This paper presented a new inverse method according to Tikhonov regularization theory. A regularization functional was established and the regularization parameter was deduced, the Newton-Raphson iteration method was used to solve the equations. One detailed case was solved to identify the thermal conductivity and specific heat of sand mold and interfacial heat transfer coefficient (IHTC) at the meantime. This indicates that the regularization method is very efficient in decreasing the sensitivity to the temperature measurement data, overcoming the ill-posedness of the inverse heat conduction problem (IHCP) and improving the stability and accuracy of the results. As a general inverse method, it can be used to identify not only the material physical properties but also the initial and boundary conditions' parameters.     

On-line detecting of transformer winding deformation based on parameter identification of leakage inductance

Transformers are required to demonstrate the ability to withstand short circuit currents. Over currents caused by short circuit can give rise to windings deformation. In this paper, a novel method is proposed to monitor the state of transformer windings, which is achieved through on-line detecting the leakage inductance of the windings. Specifically, the mathematical model is established for on-line identifying the leakage inductance of the windings by applying least square algorithm （LSA） to the equivalent circuit equations. The effect of measurement and model inaccuracy on the identification error is analyzed, and the corrected model is also given to decrease these adverse effect on the results. Finally, dynamic test is carried out to verify our method. The test results clearly show that our method is very accurate even under the fluctuation of load or power factor. Therefore, our method can be effectively used to on-line detect the windings deformation.     

基于灰色理论的雪山梁隧道施工过程渗漏水水源识别研究

为了解决黄龙景区雪山梁隧道开挖过程中的涌水水源识别问题,结合黄龙景区雪山梁隧道的相关施工资料,依据已有的地质资料和涌突水预测,通过水分析化学实验,采用灰色理论计算方法研究不同水系之间的关联度;而后针对单一水源和混合水源分别进行试验和分析,得出雪山梁隧道出口段内渗漏水来源最可能为大气降水,关联度较高的还有淘金沟上游水系和隧道出口处水系;最后进行比对,得出隧道渗漏水主要来源是大气降水和淘金沟上游水体的结论,并依据现场资料及实地踏勘,验证了灰色理论分析结果的可靠性。     

基于时空聚类算法的轨迹停驻点识别研究

利用手机等智能移动终端获取个体出行GPS轨迹数据,提出了一种新的时空聚类算法AT-DBSCAN识别轨迹中的停驻点.该方法以固定长度的滑窗搜索核心点,以时空邻近条件定义簇间距离,以簇密度大小规定合并次序.提出了出行次数一致性、出行起止时刻误差、停驻点时长误差、停驻点中心偏移距离4个算法验证指标,弥补了传统查全率、查准率等忽略停驻点时空信息准确性的不足.结果表明,识别的停驻点有98%的位置误差在30m以内,100%的时长误差在5min以内,98%的出行起止时刻误差在5min以内.此外,算法对于室内活动、定位飘移、路径重合程度高等复杂轨迹具有较好的泛化能力.     

基于多维数据的高速公路服务水平实时判别方法

随着高速公路的不断发展,交通信息逐渐呈现多元化,而将这些信息进行整合并对高速公路服务水平进行实时判别,对于后期的交通控制管理及实时高效提供道路信息至关重要.本文考虑了时间、天气、出行日期等多因素的影响,选用车速、密度作为高速公路服务水平评价指标,结合最小二乘支持向量机与聚类分析相关算法,提出了一种基于多维数据的高速公路服务水平实时判别模型,以实现对高速公路服务水平的参数预测及实时判别.选用河北省237 360组训练样本数据和6 048组预测样本数据验证了该模型的有效性.结果显示,该模型获得了较高的判别精度和较好的预测效果,是一种有效的高速公路服务水平实时判别方法.     

基于朴素贝叶斯算法的船舶异常行为监测

随着海事事故与海上违法行为的不断增多,智能的监控方法成为降低海事事故,打击海上违法行为的有效手段.同时,船舶自动识别系统(Automatic Identification System,AIS)的普及及船舶交通管理系统(Vessel Traffic Service,VTS)的扩建,又为智能监控提供了数据支持.鉴于此,利用船舶自动识别系统提供的数据,分析通航水域船舶信息的分布情况,根据其概率分布采用朴素贝叶斯算法,从船舶航速、航向及距航道边界距离3个方面,构建船舶异常行为检测模型.最后,以成山角通航水域为例,检验模型的有效性.实验结果表明,构建的模型能够有效地完成异常行为监测,减少海事监管人员的工作强度,同时根据实验结果分析了成山角水域船舶航行的特点,并对成山角定线制提出合理化建议.     

焊接顺序对高速列车侧墙焊接残余应力的影响

按实际加工工艺,基于有限元软件SYSWELD,采用有限元热弹塑性分析方法和Fortran语言对焊接热源进行二次开发,获得了所需要的热源,并通过实验验证了热源模型的准确性.在此基础之上,通过分析高速列车CRH380B侧墙焊接残余应力分布规律和焊接顺序对于侧墙焊接残余应力的影响,得到了侧墙焊接最优方案,为企业实际生产中的降低焊接残余应力方案选择提供了依据.