基于故障树的动车组常用制动失效风险分析及对策

分析CRH3型动车组制动系统的工作原理、结构、功能及工作流程,根据其关键功能,包括空电复合制动、网络和硬线冗余指令传递、直通式电空制动方式、电气指令和空气指令传输方式等的特点,对常用制动系统结构和功能进行分解,建立常用制动失效故障树,分析基本事件的结构重要度,得出牵引执行系统电机故障、牵引控制单元故障、网压过高是导致常用制动失效发生的最重要因素,提出针对各类基本原因事件的风险控制措施.     

A trial application of FSA methodology to the hatchway watertight integrity of bulk carriers

Formal safety assessment (FSA) is a formal, structured and systematic methodology, aimed at enhancing maritime safety, including protection of life, property and marine environment, by using risk and cost–benefit assessments. For the application of this methodology to the rule-making process, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) presented the Interim Guidelines, which describe procedures of FSA and inputs/outputs of each procedure in detail. This paper basically deals with an application of FSA methodology according to the IMO's Interim Guidelines to the hatchway watertight integrity of bulk carriers, which was carried out as a cooperative research between Korean Register of Shipping and Seoul National University. As results of this application study, 18 hazards are identified and 32 risk control measures are devised to reduce the associated risks. Potential risks, costs and benefits when some Risk Control Options are introduced are evaluated in monetary unit of US $. Finally, some discussions and recommendations based on experiences are also given for both future work and better application of this FSA methodology to the rule-making process.     

国际工程物资采购和管理风险分析与对策

随着改革开放的不断深入和国民经济的快速发展,我国施工企业参加国际工程承包项目的机会越来越多。但在国际工程项目建设中,所需的物资采购和管理是一个关键环节,处理不好可能存在各种风险,给企业造成经济损失。此文根据国际工程物资采购和流转的特点,对物资采购和管理过程中存在的风险进行识别与分析。通过分析,提出防范和控制风险的对策及建议。     

Incorporating human-factors in car-following models: A review of recent developments and research needs

Over the past decades there has been a considerable development in the modeling of car-following (CF) behavior as a result of research undertaken by both traffic engineers and traffic psychologists. While traffic engineers seek to understand the behavior of a traffic stream, traffic psychologists seek to describe the human abilities and errors involved in the driving process. This paper provides a comprehensive review of these two research streams.It is necessary to consider human-factors in CF modeling for a more realistic representation of CF behavior in complex driving situations (for example, in traffic breakdowns, crash-prone situations, and adverse weather conditions) to improve traffic safety and to better understand widely-reported puzzling traffic flow phenomena, such as capacity drop, stop-and-go oscillations, and traffic hysteresis. While there are some excellent reviews of CF models available in the literature, none of these specifically focuses on the human factors in these models.This paper addresses this gap by reviewing the available literature with a specific focus on the latest advances in car-following models from both the engineering and human behavior points of view. In so doing, it analyses the benefits and limitations of various models and highlights future research needs in the area.     

构建铁路数据通信网骨干网的网络安全管理中心

针对当前铁路通信网络面临的安全问题,提出铁路数据通信网骨干网的网络安全管理中心的构建方案,通过被动、主动的防御手段,力争构建一个完整的、动态的网络安全管理中心,将铁路通信网络调整到最安全和风险最低的状态,持续地保证铁路通信各系统的网络安全。     

环氧沥青粘结防水层材料工程性能初探

国产环氧沥青具有非常好的粘结和剪切性能、抗疲劳性能、高温热固性等。然而,不同性能组分配制的环氧沥青粘结层材料性能差别很大。该文对4种不同组分配制的环氧沥青所作的拉伸、剪切、拉拔试验作了分析、研究。     

河北省域城市群共同物流联盟稳定性分析

在对物流联盟含义进行深入剖析的基础上,对省域城市群共同物流联盟进行了定义;并运用生物学中描述生物种群增长规律的Logistic方程,建立了描述河北省域城市群共同物流联盟中城市之间互惠共生的数学模型.通过对该模型平衡条件的求解得出省域城市群共同物流联盟的稳定性特征,其次结合实际算例以及稳定性的分析阐述了河北省域城市群共同...     

河北省域城市群共同物流联盟稳定性分析

在对物流联盟含义进行深入剖析的基础上,对省域城市群共同物流联盟进行了定义;并运用生物学中描述生物种群增长规律的Logistic方程,建立了描述河北省域城市群共同物流联盟中城市之间互惠共生的数学模型。通过对该模型平衡条件的求解得出省域城市群共同物流联盟的稳定性特征,其次结合实际算例以及稳定性的分析阐述了河北省域城市群共同物流联盟所带来的经济意义。     

小净距大跨度公路隧道安全风险管理与施工技术

小净距大跨度隧道风险影响因素复杂、施工期风险较大,需要开展有效的安全风险管理.通过对各类小净距大跨度隧道施工安全事故的分析统计,并结合现场施工实践,建立了安全风险评价指标体系,提出了施工阶段风险管理理念.文章引入ANP方法综合分析风险指标体系各指标间的相互关系,计算出各指标的整体权重,评价出施工中的主要风险源,并针对其制定了有效的施工控制措施.广安翠屏山隧道工程实践证明,实行安全风险管理可提高施工期安全水平,保证工程的顺利推进以至完工.其理论和方法可为同类工程所借鉴.     

BOT方式投资建设高速公路的风险及其规避措施

BOT是＂build-operate-transfer＂的缩写,意为＂建设-经营-转让＂,是私营企业参与基础设施建设,向社会提供公共服务的一种方式。文章阐述了高速公路项目采用BOT投资方式的优势,并应用具体实例分析了高速公路BOT项目的建设期风险、经营期风险和市场风险,探讨了BOT投资方式项目经营者的风险规避措施和方法。