Asymmetry in transport fuel demand: Evidence from household level data

Models for gasoline demand for transportation activities generally assume that demand is perfectly reversible with respect to gasoline price (and income). The small literature which relaxes the reversibility assumption in gasoline demand argues technological fixation leads to this asymmetry and utilizes aggregate time-series model to find evidence in favour of asymmetry. In this research it is suggested that there could also be behavioural factors behind this asymmetric response, possibly due to the loss aversion nature of human beings as described in the prospect theory. For the first time, household level data was used to understand asymmetry in gasoline demand in response to changes in gasoline price and income. There was statistical evidence that gasoline price and income both can induce asymmetric changes in gasoline demand among households. Specifically, elasticity with respect to rising prices and falling income is larger than the elasticity with respect to falling prices and rising income respectively, which is consistent with loss aversion in gasoline purchase behaviour. There was also some evidence of heterogeneity in the asymmetric responses between urban and rural households. The results have implications for transport-related energy tax policies or subsidies, while the method can be applied directly for non-energy goods as well.     

应用广义拟余能原理研究流固耦合问题(英文)

水动力学与固体力学交叉的流固耦合理论是船舶与海洋工程结构响应分析与直接设计的重要工具.本文应用卷变积方法,按照广义力和广义位移之间的对应关系,将弹性动力学的基本方程卷乘上相应的虚量,然后积分,代数相加,并考虑到体积力和面积力均为伴生力,建立了非保守系统初值问题的两类变量的广义拟余能原理.应用广义拟余能原理研究流固耦合问题,分析了结构的动力响应,给出同时求解力类量和位移类量两类变量的计算方法.     

舰船弹性安装设备抗冲击设计的“谱跌”问题研究

研究在应用冲击谱进行舰艇设备抗冲击性能设计时,由于基础的弹性引起的冲击谱设计谱值的变化规律.利用二自由度模型简化舰艇设备安装模型,通过对二自由度模型基础冲击谱的分析,得出在设备的自身固有频率处,基础的冲击谱存在峰值的突降.在设备自身固有频率和基础固有频率接近,或设备质量大于0.2倍基础质量时,必须考虑"谱跌"因素的影响.多自由度系统中具有相同的"谱跌"现象和规律.     

Effect of Seismic Parameters on the Safety Factor for an Underground Cavern北大核心CSCD

In order to quantitatively evaluate the safety of the surrounding rock of an underground cavern under seis-mic load, a comprehensive evaluation method for the stability of surrounding rock is proposed based on the general safety factor and point safety factor. A calculation method for the general safety factor of a cavern based on the prin-ciple of shear strength reduction of a rock mass is given, the run-through of the plastic zone between the main power-house and main transformer room is presented as a critical criterion for the overall instability of the cavern, and the general safety factor is obtained by searching for the reduction coefficient. A point safety factor calculation method based on the Mohr-Coulomb yield criterion is given. The influence of different seismic input parameters on the general safety factor of the cavern and the point safety factor of key positions are studied based on an underground power-house cavern of a hydropower station in Southwest China. The results show that the quantitative evaluation method for the stability of the surrounding rock based on the safety factor is feasible and can reflect the general safety de-gree and local safety degree of different positions of the cavern for different working conditions. It is found that the general safety factor of the cavern and the point safety factor of key positions decrease with an increase of the ampli-tude and duration of a seismic wave while they increase with an increase of the incident angle; additionally, the low frequency of a seismic wave has a great influence on the cavern while the high frequency has little effect. © 2018, Editorial Office of "Modern Tunnelling Technology". All right reserved.     

液压升降装置机液伺服系统响应特性分析

本文针对大惯量、大功率特性的液压升降装置起动时,存在快速响应和稳定性较难兼顾的突出问题,分析了阀控柱塞缸特性及机液伺服系统原理,建立了机液伺服系统的控制数学模型,运用经典控制理论分析方法,得出系统开环、闭环传递函数,并在时域内开展了阶跃信号输入下的系统响应特性分析,明确了影响系统性能的参数设计原则,为实际工程设计提供理论依据。     

石板尾隧道施工过程的动态仿真数值模拟研究

文章针对石板尾隧道浅埋偏压段台阶分部法施工的特点,采用有限元方法对隧道某一断面动态开挖过程进行数值模拟分析,以配合和指导隧道新奥法施工。通过将数值模拟结果与实测结果进行比较,验证了该数值模拟方法是切实可行的,可供隧道新奥法施工借鉴。     

Comparing different contour methods with response-based methods for extreme ship response analysis

Environmental contours are often applied in probabilistic structural reliability analysis to identify extreme environmental conditions that may give rise to extreme loads and responses. They facilitate approximate long term analysis of critical structural responses in situations where computationally heavy and time-consuming response calculations makes full long-term analysis infeasible. The environmental contour method identifies extreme environmental conditions that are expected to give rise to extreme structural response of marine structures. The extreme responses can then be estimated by performing response calculations for environmental conditions along the contours.Response-based analysis is an alternative, where extreme value analysis is performed on the actual response rather than on the environmental conditions. For complex structures, this is often not practical due to computationally heavy response calculations. However, by establishing statistical emulators of the response, using machine learning techniques, one may obtain long time-series of the structural response and use this to estimate extreme responses.In this paper, various contour methods will be compared to response-based estimation of extreme vertical bending moment for a tanker. A response emulator based on Gaussian processes regression with adaptive sampling has been established based on response calculations from a hydrodynamic model. Long time-series of sea-state parameters such as significant wave height and wave period are used to construct N-year environmental contours and the extreme N-year response is estimated from numerical calculations for identified sea states. At the same time, the response emulator is applied on the time series to provide long time-series of structural response, in this case vertical bending moment of a tanker. Extreme value analysis is then performed directly on the responses to estimate the N-year extreme response. The results from either method will then be compared, and it is possible to evaluate the accuracy of the environmental contour method in estimating the response. Moreover, different contour methods will be compared.     

浅水中浮式栈桥单浮箱系泊系统及运动响应特性

基于三维势流理论,利用水动力分析软件AQWA对浅水中浮式栈桥单浮箱系泊系统及运动响应进行研究。对初步设计的多种系泊系统进行优选,并计算浮箱在最优系泊系统下的运动响应幅值算子RAO。结果表明:聚酯缆材料极易疲劳破坏,浅水中交叉型半张紧式锚链系泊表现出良好的系泊性能。浮箱的振幅响应算子RAO与波浪周期变化及波浪作用方向有不可分割的关系,当波浪入射角为120°~150°时,浮箱的纵荡及纵摇RAO较大。为保证较小的垂荡值,浮箱布置可沿入射波方向。为保证较小的首摇角,浮箱布置应避免与来浪呈120°的入射角。     

沉管隧道地震响应分析

文章采用田村重四郎和冈本舜三提出的沉埋隧道地震响应分析的数学模型,对南京长江越江隧道(沉管段)方案进行了地震响应的纵向受力分析。分析中采用了隧址处100年超越概率为2%的人工合成地震加速度,考虑了不同管段的联结方式和不同的计算参数,对初步设计中沉管段结构的安全性进行了论证,所提供的数据曾为设计单位所采纳[1]。     

Geometric design safety estimation based on tire–road side friction

A closed-loop drive–vehicle–road–environment system (DVRES) model was established using Adams/Car and Matlab/Simulink. Dynamic responses of lateral tire forces based on tire–road side friction and road geometric characteristics are used to investigate vehicle side slip for geometric design safety estimation. The root mean square, the maximum values of lateral tire forces, comfort limit on curves and vehicle trajectories are used to quantify the safety margin of side friction. The simulation results show that the safety margins of lateral tire forces for radius, operating speed and superelevation rate were 18.2%, 19.3% and 17.6%, respectively, to guarantee good vehicle lateral reliability and ride comfort, while lower speeds are optimal in wet and slippery roads. Finally, a case study was conducted to illustrate the analysis of road design safety, and on-site experiment testing further validated the accuracy and reliability of the closed-loop DVRES model.