大口径埋地塑料管道沟槽回填压实度试验研究

大口径埋地塑料排水管道作为柔性管道.具有管土共同作用的结构受力特征。施工中沟槽回填压实度对管道的承载能力影响很大。结合大口径塑料管道砂箱试验的相关研究成果,探讨沟槽回填压实度这一关键因素对大口径埋地塑料排水管道施工质量的影响=结果表明,提高大口径埋地塑料管道管侧沟槽回填土压实度对提高土的变形模量起到重要作用,进而减小管道变形。     

DZ029转向器支架铸造工艺改进

本文通过对DZ029转向器支架铸造工艺的改进,最终节约了生产成本及提高了生产效率,并使得该转向器支架铸件废品率大幅降低.     

骨膦治疗骨转移癌25例疗效分析

对１９９３～１９９６年住院治疗的２５例骨转移癌患者采用单用骨膦治疗的方法，观察其对骨转移癌患者的止痛效果、骨病灶变化和不良反应。结果∶疼痛完全缓解５例（２０％），部分缓解１１例（４４％），无效９例（３６％），总有效率为６４％；骨病灶控制率为１２％（３／２５）；不良反应仅有轻微恶心。提示∶骨膦是治疗骨转移癌较理想的药物。     

剪切速率对粉质粘土抗剪强度的影响

通过对宁波粉质粘土固结快剪试验结果的分析可以看出,剪切速率对宁波粉质粘土固结快剪的摩擦角影响很大,剪切速率较大时,摩擦角较小;剪切速率相对较小时,摩擦角相对较大。对剪切速率比较敏感的粉质粘土在做固结快剪试验时,应采用较大的剪切速率。     

对人民币汇率未来走势的预测

一个国家在金融和外汇汇率方面的动荡，将会给国家宏观和微观经济、国家的发展、人民的生活乃至国家的政治安全带来很大的影响。文中从国际收支及国内经济形势分析两方面预测了人民币汇率未来的走势情况。     

Failure rates and data driven policies for vehicle safety inspections in Pennsylvania

Rail, truck, commercial bus, and aircraft have federally mandated safety inspection programs in the United States, while inspections of personal vehicles, which make up the majority of passenger miles, are optionally imposed at the state level. In recent years, some states have chosen to eliminate the vehicle safety inspection program because of budget constraints and concerns about program effectiveness. Currently, 26 states have a schedule for conducting safety inspections, but Pennsylvania is one of thirteen states that currently require all personal light duty vehicles to be inspected every year. The remaining states have completely eliminated safety inspection programs. However, as automobiles become safer, Pennsylvania legislators are now pushing to phase out the inspection program to reduce the costs of owning a vehicle. This study combines Pennsylvania vehicle registration data with two large samples of results from state safety inspections. We find that the state safety inspection fail rate for light-duty vehicles is 12–18%, well above the often-cited rate of 2%. Vehicles that are older than three years old or have more than about 30,000 miles can have much higher rates. When analyzing new vehicles, less than or equal to one year old, it is found that even these vehicles have a failure rate greater than zero. Furthermore, while the vehicle fleet appears to be getting safer over the past few years by improvements in technology or other external circumstances, the inspection failure rate does not appear to be trending toward zero in the near future. We also show that accurate inspection data is limited and often incorrectly analyzed. Lastly, the importance of vehicle maintenance over a vehicle’s lifetime is proven to be evident, since regular usage causes vehicles to deteriorate. We conclude that vehicle safety inspections should continue to be implemented in order to keep driving conditions safe.     

物流无人机对地风险评估方法研究

随着智能交通运输体系的完善和无人机应用场景的拓展，物流无人机应运而生。物流无人机被认为是解决快递配送“最后一公里”问题的有效运输方式，但由空中碰撞、系统失效等原因导致的无人机坠落有可能对地面人员造成伤害并产生经济损失。因此本文聚焦无人机物流运输场景，研究物流无人机坠地后造成的死亡人数和经济损失，并利用风险矩阵综合评估风险。主要内容包括：分析物流无人机空中碰撞后产生机货分离的情况，建立由物流无人机和货物坠地造成 的地面死亡人数计算模型；对无人机和货物进行分类，建立经济损失计算模型，包括由无人机和货物价值损失构成的直接经济损失，以及由社会服务机构费用消耗构成的间接经济损失；综合物 流无人机和货物坠地造成的地面死亡人数和经济损失建立风险评估矩阵。算例证明，利用本文方法得到的地面死亡人数为每飞行小时3.74×10-12~1.87×10-7人，符合等效安全水平；每次事故经济损失为6734.8~33619.0元，也在合理区间内。本文提供的方法可以对物流无人机地面风险评估和管控提供一定借鉴和指导意义。     

Platoons of connected vehicles can double throughput in urban roads

Intersections are the bottlenecks of the urban road system because an intersection’s capacity is only a fraction of the maximum flows that the roads connecting to the intersection can carry. This capacity can be increased if vehicles cross the intersections in platoons rather than one by one as they do today. Platoon formation is enabled by connected vehicle technology. This paper assesses the potential mobility benefits of platooning. It argues that saturation flow rates, and hence intersection capacity, can be doubled or tripled by platooning. The argument is supported by the analysis of three queuing models and by the simulation of a road network with 16 intersections and 73 links. The queuing analysis and the simulations reveal that a signalized network with fixed time control will support an increase in demand by a factor of (say) two or three if all saturation flows are increased by the same factor, with no change in the control. Furthermore, despite the increased demand vehicles will experience the same delay and travel time. The same scaling improvement is achieved when the fixed time control is replaced by the max pressure adaptive control. Part of the capacity increase can alternatively be used to reduce queue lengths and the associated queuing delay by decreasing the cycle time. Impediments to the control of connected vehicles to achieve platooning at intersections appear to be small.     

Second-order models and traffic data from mobile sensors

Mobile sensing enabled by GPS or smart phones has become an increasingly important source of traffic data. For sufficient coverage of the traffic stream, it is important to maintain a reasonable penetration rate of probe vehicles. From the standpoint of capturing higher-order traffic quantities such as acceleration/deceleration, emission and fuel consumption rates, it is desirable to examine the impact on the estimation accuracy of sampling frequency on vehicle position. Of the two issues raised above, the latter is rarely studied in the literature. This paper addresses the impact of both sampling frequency and penetration rate on mobile sensing of highway traffic. To capture inhomogeneous driving conditions and deviation of traffic from the equilibrium state, we employ the second-order phase transition model (PTM). Several data fusion schemes that incorporate vehicle trajectory data into the PTM are proposed. And, a case study of the NGSIM dataset is presented which shows the estimation results of various Eulerian and Lagrangian traffic quantities. The findings show that while first-order traffic quantities can be accurately estimated even with a low sampling frequency, higher-order traffic quantities, such as acceleration, deviation, and emission rate, tend to be misinterpreted due to insufficiently sampled vehicle locations. We also show that a correction factor approach has the potential to reduce the sensing error arising from low sampling frequency and penetration rate, making the estimation of higher-order quantities more robust against insufficient data coverage of the highway traffic.     

大直径盾构隧道穿越建筑物群变形分析与控制措施北大核心CSCD

大直径盾构隧道掘进施工对土体造成扰动,导致地表产生沉降或隆起,继而严重威胁上部建筑物群的结构安全。文章依托某大直径盾构隧道穿越老旧小区密集建筑物群工程,首先利用二维有限元软件计算关键断面房屋的沉降变形,再对比三维有限元软件的计算结果,分析两种计算方法的适用范围;然后基于三维模型探究了不同初期荷载释放率对盾构穿越引起的地表和房屋变形的影响,最后利用Peck公式计算的理论地表沉降数据,梳理初期荷载释放率、地表沉降、地层损失率三者的内部联系并提出了控制变形的相关措施。研究结果表明,初期荷载释放率越小,地表及房屋沉降也越小,对应的地层损失也越小;对于控制地表变形,减小荷载释放率等同于减小地层损失率;初期荷载释放率、地表沉降、地层损失率这三者减小的量值呈线性关系。