Time-dependent drivers’ merging behavior model in work zone merging areas

This study investigates the drivers’ merging behavior in work zone merging areas during the entire merging implementation period from the time of starting a merging maneuver to that of completing the maneuver. With the actual work zone merging traffic data, we propose a time-dependent logistic regression model considering the possible time-varying effects of influencing factors, and a standard logistic regression model for the purpose of model comparison. Model comparison results show that the time-dependent model performs better than the standard model because the former can provide higher prediction accuracy. The time-dependent model results show that seven factors exhibit time-varying effects on the drivers’ merging behavior, including merging vehicle speed, through lane lead vehicle speed and through lane lag vehicle speed, longitudinal gap between the merging and lead vehicles, longitudinal gap between the merging and through lane lead vehicles, types of through lane lead and through lane lag vehicles. Interestingly, both the through lane lead vehicle speed and the through lane lag vehicle speed are found to exhibit heterogeneous effects at different times of the merging implementation period. One important finding from this study is that the merging vehicle has a decreasing willingness to take the choice of “complete a merging maneuver” as the elapsed time increases if the through lane lead vehicle is a heavy vehicle.     

“多元智能”理论在高数教学中的运用策略初探

自主招生学生的学习有其独有的特点。本文就是针对自主招生学生数学学习的特点,运用多元智能理论进行数学教学,以提高发展学生的弱势智能,加强优势智能,帮助学生寻找更好的学习方法,从而走出学习数学的困境。     

提升思想政治理论课教学吸引力策略研究

思想政治理论课是我国高校对学生进行思想政治教育的主渠道和主阵地。如何提升思想政治理论课教学的吸引力,是思想政治理论课教师在实践中亟需解决的问题,也是学界经常探讨的话题。笔者希图从教师队伍建设、课程教学体系建设、教学方法改革三个方面,研究提升思想政治理论课教学吸引力的策略,用以实现改善课程教学、增强教学实效性的目标。     

利用语境理论进行英语阅读教学的探索

针对认知语言学研究领域中的语境理论在英语阅读理解中的作用,本文介绍了语境理论,着重分析了语境和阅读理解,探讨了语境理论在英语阅读教学中的实际应用。     

渔船吊装下水强度有限元分析

就某渔船的吊装下水进行了方案设计和有限元强度计算.通过吊耳处受力分析确定了三级吊绳吊装方案,并采用最优化理论计算了三级吊绳中间吊点位置,同时考虑到船体和吊绳的变形对中间吊点位置的影响,采用了最优化求解与有限元分析进行迭代的计算方法.计算结果表明本文采用的中间吊点位置计算方法具有很高的精度,所设计渔船结构的吊装方案满足强度和刚度要求.     

An improved cellular automata model for heterogeneous work zone traffic

This paper aims to develop an improved cellular automata (ICA) model for simulating heterogeneous traffic in work zone. The proposed ICA model includes the forwarding rules to update longitudinal speeds and positions of work zone vehicles. The randomization probability parameter used by the ICA is formulated as a function of the activity length, the transition length and the volumes of different types of vehicles traveling across work zone. Compared to the existing cellular automata models, the ICA model possesses a novel and realistic lateral speed and position updating rule so that the simulation of vehicle’s lateral movement in work zone is close to the reality. The ICA model is calibrated and validated microscopically and macroscopically by using the real work zone data. Comparisons of field data and ICA for trajectories, speed and speed–flow relationship in work zone show very close agreement. Finally, the proposed ICA model is applied to estimate traffic delay occurred in work zone.     

铁路调度工作质量评价及辅助决策系统设计研究

目前铁路调度工作质量评价及辅助决策手段自动化、智能化程度相对滞后,日班计划兑现率较低,制约了调度指挥效益的进一步提升。为提升调度工作质量,提高日班计划、阶段计划一体化编制水平,在阐述铁路调度工作质量评价及辅助决策系统目标的基础上,从表示层、业务逻辑层、数据层3个方面对系统进行总体架构,分析铁路调度工作质量评价及辅助决策系统功能,即:以实现基于全局视野的安全过程卡控,基于大数据架构的调度工作质量评价,跨区段、面向岗位的列车运行图辅助盯控及预测,施工组织可视化管控,面向生产决策的一体化数据统计分析,以提升调度整体工作质量与管理水平。     

城市轨道交通网络规划理论方法研究进展

在详细分析、总结国内外城市轨道交通规划领域的研究成果和存在问题的基础上,总结归纳了网络规划指导思想、规划原则、规划的要点、网络规模、网络优化、轨道项目的建设排序、客流预测理论和方法,指出我国城市轨道交通规划工作已经取得较大的进步和发展,对规划的特征和规律有深层认识,加强了定性定量的分析论证,使城市轨道交通网络规划的合理性日趋提高,但也存在许多有待进一步发展和完善之处。对我国城市轨道交通网络规划理论方法的发展提出了新建议。     

GT在全国海船船员动力装置操作评估中的应用研究

运用概化理论(GT),采用5个单侧面交叉设计(OnefacetCrossedDesign),即:p×r,对全国海船船员动力装置操作评估5个评分要素测评精度进行了探讨。结果表明:该评估现行方案,即:固定5个评分要素,随机选用2名评分员,不能保障较好的评估精度(Φ=0.58)。建议将原评估方案中的评分员水平数增加至3名。进一步细化评分规范、加强对评分员的培训是控制评分误差的关键。