倒运海水道整治工程斗朗—川槎大桥段实船适航试验

为验证倒运海水道整治工程是否达到整治标准的通航要求,选取斗朗—川槎大桥段作为实船试验河段,采用该航段设计船型500吨级满载船作为试航船,进行实船适航试验。测量试验河段的水深地形、表面流速流向、航标配布和水位,试验船舶沿设计航线进行上下水航行,实时测量试航船舶航行轨迹、对岸航速、舵角、漂角、船舶与河岸之间的安全距离等航行指标及航行状态,并结合通航规范及标准,对整治后航道技术参数的合理性、航标配布的合理性等进行分析评价。结果表明,本试验航段的整治效果达到了整治标准的通航要求。研究成果可为类似工程提供参考。     

三角闸门门缝输水运行工况研究

门缝输水是三角闸门的一种重要特性。基于三角闸门门缝输水,低水头船闸可以不设置阀门以降低工程建设成本,但具体适用工况尚难把握。依托未设置阀门的大柳巷船闸,采用理论计算与现场实测相结合的方法,分析了门缝输水时水力及启闭力。研究表明:口门越大三角闸门能承受门缝输水的水头越小;目前门缝输水有关计算公式尚需结合三角闸门的结构特点确定流量系数;三角闸门启闭力除按规范公式计算外还应考虑门体缝隙流和惯性阻力矩的影响。     

基于南方CASS软件的土方量计算方法

威海内海吹填工程主要施工内容是采用吹砂挤淤方式进行吹填,吹填区吹填完成后采用机械压实。在施工过程中须多次对吹填区进行进度测量,涉及土方量的计算频率较高。为保证工程土方量的计算准确,将南方CASS软件的不同土方量计算方法进行对比,并结合工程实际情况分析选择合理的计算方法,从而为工程质量和进度控制提供依据。结果表明,选择合适的计算方法不仅能够准确地计算土方量,还能形象地反映现场的实际情况。     

张紧器的结构参数对顶张式立管动力响应的影响研究

本文针对带液压气动式张紧器的顶张式立管,综合考虑浮式平台-张紧器-立管之间的运动关系、液压气柱的张力-冲程非线性关系、立管的真实截面布置以及采油树的作用,建立更加符合工程实际的三维有限元分析模型,并通过与实验结果对比验证了该模型的正确性。基于该有限元模型,研究了张紧器的结构参数对顶张式立管动力响应的影响。结果表明:活塞和活塞杆的直径以及高压气体的初始压强对立管的动力响应影响最大;低压气体的初始压强以及液压气柱和立管之间的夹角对立管的动力响应也有重要影响;在相同的环境条件下,高压气体和低压气体的初始体积对立管的动力响应的影响较小。     

Determinants of full and partial household evacuation decision making in hurricane matthew

This paper adds partial household evacuation to the traditional binary evacuate/stay decision. Based on data from a survey of Jacksonville, FL residents after Hurricane Matthew, multinomial (MNL) and random parameter MNL models were developed to determine the influential factors and whether some variables’ effects are more nuanced than prior literature suggests. The random parameter model was preferred to the fixed parameters model. Variables significant in this model included injury concern, certainty about hurricane impact location, age, marital status, family cohesion, and living in mobile or detached homes. Greater injury concern results in lower likelihood of none of the household evacuating and greater likelihood of partial evacuation, but lower likelihood of full household evacuation. Similarly, greater certainty about hurricane impact increased the probability of partial household evacuation but decreased the probability of full evacuation. Respondent age had heterogenous effects; for 85.54% of respondents, additional years of age increased the likelihood of the household staying. Married households had a higher likelihood of staying or evacuating together. Similarly, greater family cohesion was associated with the household remaining together. Living in mobile homes decreased the likelihood that all of the household stays or evacuates and increased the probability of partial household evacuation. Living in a single-family detached home was associated with lower likelihood of all of the household staying or evacuating and a greater likelihood of a partial household evacuation. These findings can inform strategies that influence full or partial household evacuations, material requirements based on these decisions, and ways to reduce family risk.     

基于岩体指标和掘进参数的TBM净掘进速率预测模型

净掘进速率是TBM施工速度的主要评价指标,与围岩物理力学性质、TBM掘进参数之间存在一定相关性。文章以兰州水源地建设工程输水隧洞双护盾TBM施工为背景,基于现场实测数据,选择岩石单轴抗压强度、抗拉强度、变形模量、泊松比、岩石耐磨性CAI值等岩体指标,以及刀盘推力和刀盘转速等掘进参数,进行TBM净掘进速率与有关影响参数之间的单因素相关性分析,得到相应拟合公式;基于TBM净掘进速率与岩体指标、掘进参数之间的相关性,利用多元非线性回归方法建立了TBM净掘进速率预测模型。通过将兰州水源地建设工程输水隧洞实测TBM净掘进速率和预测结果进行对比,验证了TBM净掘进速率预测模型的合理性。研究结果表明:(1)在复杂的多种地质条件下,TBM净掘进速率与岩石单轴抗压强度、抗拉强度、变形模量、岩石耐磨性CAI值、刀盘推力以及刀盘转速呈负相关关系,与泊松比呈正相关关系;(2)干湿状态对岩石耐磨性CAI值有一定影响,饱和状态下岩石耐磨性CAI值与TBM净掘进速率之间的相关性更显著;(3)建立的多元非线性回归预测模型,预测精度较高,可为相似地质条件下TBM净掘进速率估算提供参考。     

单肋式梁拱组合体系桥梁结构设计

马涌大桥主桥采用一跨100 m单肋式梁拱组合式结构,桥宽40 m,考虑双向四车道通行并预留双向有轨电车车道。现以该桥的初步设计和施工图设计为基础,介绍单肋式梁拱组合式结构的桥型方案研究、主桥结构设计、结构计算分析等内容,并分析该桥的一些技术特点。该桥的河涌交汇口主桥设计方法、梁拱组合式结构的设计思想、结构受力要点、独特拱肋造型的设计方法等,可供类似桥梁设计时参考。     

市政给中水管道设计优化分析

市政给排水管道结构设计是一项关乎管道安全的重要设计,设计人员往往根据以往经验和常规做法进行管道设计,忽略了管道安全计算,这将直接影响城市市政道路给排水管道工程的质量。结合实际项目,对给水、中水管道的常规管材球墨铸铁管进行结构计算分析,并根据计算结果选择相应的措施,进一步完善市政管道设计,在满足设计规划、规范和要求的基础上,提高设计质量,确保城市道路市政给排水管道正常、高效地运行。     

VMT, energy consumption, and GHG emissions forecasting for passenger transportation

Globalization, greenhouse gas emissions and energy concerns, emerging vehicle technologies, and improved statistical modeling capabilities make the present moment an opportune time to revisit aggregate vehicle miles traveled (VMT), energy consumption, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions forecasting for passenger transportation. Using panel data for the 48 continental states during the period 1998-2008, the authors develop simultaneous equation models for predicting VMT on different road functional classes and examine how different technological solutions and changes in fuel prices can affect passenger VMT. Moreover, a random coefficient panel data model is developed to estimate the influence of various factors (such as demographics, socioeconomic variables, fuel tax, and capacity) on the total amount of passenger VMT in the United States. To assess the influence of each significant factor on VMT, elasticities are estimated. Further, the authors investigate the effect of different policies governing fuel tax and population density on future energy consumption and GHG emissions. The presented methodology and estimation results can assist transportation planners and policy-makers in determining future energy and transportation infrastructure investment needs.     

偏压连拱隧道施工方法研究

文章采川三维有限元数值模拟研究了偏压连拱隧道不同施工顺序下拱顶下沉、中墙稳定性及初期支护受力特征.研究结果表明,先开挖浅埋侧时,拱顶沉降较小,中墙在施工中的稳定安全系数较大、弯矩较小,初期支护受力较大;对于浅埋偏压连拱隧道,围岩变形及中墙在施工中的稳定性控制更为重要.所以,从有利于围岩变形、中墙稳定性控制以及中墙受力的角度出发,宜采用先开挖浅埋侧的施工方法.