Comparing different contour methods with response-based methods for extreme ship response analysis

Environmental contours are often applied in probabilistic structural reliability analysis to identify extreme environmental conditions that may give rise to extreme loads and responses. They facilitate approximate long term analysis of critical structural responses in situations where computationally heavy and time-consuming response calculations makes full long-term analysis infeasible. The environmental contour method identifies extreme environmental conditions that are expected to give rise to extreme structural response of marine structures. The extreme responses can then be estimated by performing response calculations for environmental conditions along the contours.Response-based analysis is an alternative, where extreme value analysis is performed on the actual response rather than on the environmental conditions. For complex structures, this is often not practical due to computationally heavy response calculations. However, by establishing statistical emulators of the response, using machine learning techniques, one may obtain long time-series of the structural response and use this to estimate extreme responses.In this paper, various contour methods will be compared to response-based estimation of extreme vertical bending moment for a tanker. A response emulator based on Gaussian processes regression with adaptive sampling has been established based on response calculations from a hydrodynamic model. Long time-series of sea-state parameters such as significant wave height and wave period are used to construct N-year environmental contours and the extreme N-year response is estimated from numerical calculations for identified sea states. At the same time, the response emulator is applied on the time series to provide long time-series of structural response, in this case vertical bending moment of a tanker. Extreme value analysis is then performed directly on the responses to estimate the N-year extreme response. The results from either method will then be compared, and it is possible to evaluate the accuracy of the environmental contour method in estimating the response. Moreover, different contour methods will be compared.     

The use of self-monitoring solutions amongst cyclists: An online survey and empirical study

Self-monitoring has been shown to be one of the most efficient behaviour change techniques to promote physical activity. However, there has been no research on the exact nature and impact of using various self-monitoring solutions (e.g. cycle computer, cadence monitor, smartphone’ physical activity apps) amongst cyclists. Initially, an online survey was conducted with 227 adults who did or did not use self-monitoring solutions with their cycling. We found that the most important features for cyclists who use self-monitoring are: time it takes to travel, cycling speed, and distance covered. In contrast, cyclists who do not use self-monitoring perceived features related to location (e.g. directions with maps) as the most important ones. In a subsequent study we included self-monitoring solutions as a part of mixed-design, small-scale, longitudinal intervention aimed at changing transportation patterns. We found that self-monitoring is mainly suitable for performance oriented cyclists rather then recreational cyclists. We discuss the implications of those results for designing interventions to promote cycling.     

Optimal placement of omnidirectional sensors in a transportation network for effective emergency response and crash characterization

Rapid motor vehicle crash detection and characterization is possible through the use of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) and sensors are an integral part of any ITS system. The major focus of this paper is on developing optimal placement of accident detecting omnidirectional sensors to maximize incident detection capabilities and provide ample opportunities for data fusion and crash characterization. Both omnidirectional sensors (placed in suitable infrastructure locations) and mobile sensors are part of our analysis. The surrogates used are acoustic sensors (omnidirectional) and Advanced Automated Crash Notification (AACN) sensors (mobile). This data fusion rich placement is achieved through a hybrid optimization model comprising of an explicit–implicit coverage model followed by an evaluation and local search optimization using simulation. The compound explicit–implicit model delivers good initial solutions and improves the detection and data fusion capabilities compared to the explicit model alone. The results of the studies conducted quantify the use of a data fusion capable environment in crash detection scenarios, and the simulation tool developed helps a decision maker evaluate sensor placement strategy.     

交通拥挤收费应用实施的研究

交通拥挤收费不仅能缓解交通拥挤,还能通过收费使交通基础设施获得建设维护的部分资金,其合理性和必要性已经得到充分的论证,然而对于实施的一些基本问题,认识的还很不充分,也就对拥挤收费的实施造成了一些基本障碍。从交通拥挤收费实施的基本原则出发,对收费的基本方式、收费实施的影响因素和实施的策略等方面进行了研究,认识到交通拥挤收费不仅仅是一个技术性的问题,更是一个牵涉到政治、经济、文化和民众心理的问题,因此在实施的过程中必须考虑到收费的公平性、效益性和可持续性。在此基础上,对于目前我国一些城市实施交通拥挤收费的措施提出了一些中肯建议。     

基于大数据技术的铁路电子支付平台双活中心交易日志处理研究与实现

随着铁路电子支付平台业务的发展和客运12306互联网售票系统售票支付量的大幅提升,支付系统在交易日志和快照环节遇到了性能瓶颈.研究运用Spark、Kafka、HBase等关键技术,基于Hadoop平台和Java开发工具设计数据处理架构,满足高性能和基于双活双中心的交易日志处理.经实际应用,大幅提升了系统处理能力,更好地...     

基于移动Agent动态自适应网格资源的管理模型

网格的资源管理在网格计算中有着非常重要的地位,介绍了移动agent技术,以及网格资源管理模型应具备的特征,最后提出基于移动agent的网格资源管理模型来解决网格中资源管理,作业调度,负载平衡的问题.     

中英思维模式差异对英汉学术论文写作的影响

探讨了中英语篇思维模式差异对英汉学术论文写作中论证方法的影响问题.文章通过分析指出,中英思维模式存在着直觉与抽象、本体与客体和螺旋与直线型差异,并因此导致英汉学术论文中论证方法在修辞手段、引经据典、引用权威等方面的使用差异.文章最后指出,只有了解英汉思维模式的差异,分析其文化成因,才能真正实现跨文化写作的成功.     

基于电动出租车数据的充电桩选址聚类方法比较

为有效降低出租车运营企业及经营者的经济成本,通过分析出租车的卫星轨迹数据,比较和选取用于电动出租车充电桩选址规划的聚类方法。以上海市电动出租车充电站的选址规划为研究对象,分别基于孤立森林和聚类算法设计异常值检测方法,对相关时段的出租车卫星数据进行清理以及数据可视化处理;比较层次聚类（Agglomerative Clustering）、高斯混合模型（Gaussian Mixture Model, GMM）、K-means聚类、Mean-Shift聚类以及谱聚类（Spectral Clustering） 5种算法的聚类效果,并选取K-means算法作为充电桩选址规划参考算法。从城市区域划分及企业运营角度确定充电桩选址方案,为未来上海市区电动出租车充电桩的数量和容量配置提供设计依据。     

渤海湾13000t级大型客滚船首部砰击安全性探讨

在对渤海湾13000t级大型客滚船的船型设计特征进行分析的基础上,运用船模砰击压力测试结果,得出砰击发生在首部舷侧区域的结论。最后采用实船统计衡准评估和砰击强度分析评估2种方法对首部砰击的安全性进行了探讨。     

灰空间的建筑生态相关问题的探讨

从建筑生态的全新视角,拓展了灰空间的基本概念,并将注重生态的建筑灰空间分为功能性灰空间、附属性灰空间、技艺性灰空间3种类型,同时提出与之相对应的合院空间、飘浮空间、双层表皮等多种灰空间生态化的创作手法。