上海市防汛能力建设调查及评价

上海位于长江入海口,低洼的地势使得上海遭受台风、暴雨、高潮、洪水(俗称“四碰头”)的袭击后易成灾,多年来上海已建设抵御灾害的防汛体系,且发挥了积极的作用。在对上海防汛能力建设体系开展调查的基础上,分析存在问题和不足。同时,结合科学的层次分析法理论构建评价指标体系,为后续防汛能力建设的进一步优化提供依据。     

异形钢桥面铺装受力特征研究

为研究异形钢桥面铺装受力特征,选取典型异形钢桥并采用不同建模方法进行分析,与现场加载试验对比后发现,曲桥模型更为精确。采用曲桥模型分析后发现异形钢桥面铺装的受力特征与常规钢桥面铺装存在较大区别,其受力特征为:随着铺装层弹性模量的增加,最大拉应变处的层顶拉应变值不断减小,层底拉应变不断增大,层底最大剪应力则先增大后减小,之后再增大。     

进气道滚流比对发动机充气模型精度影响的试验研究

进气道结构是决定发动机缸内气体滚流强度的主要因素。针对一款直列四缸1.2 L增压直喷、DVVT汽油机,通过试验的方法,研究了发动机不同转速、负荷工况下,进气道滚流比参数对发动机进气状态和燃烧过程的影响,并对比了不同滚流比情况下的汽油机充气模型精度。研究结果表明,进气道滚流比对发动机的进气状态有显著影响。针对相同的ECU标定数据,滚流比的改变会造成充气模型精度较为明显的偏差。     

考虑健康损失的路阻模型的构建

运用高斯烟羽模型计算机动车尾气排放量,然后利用支付意愿法定量分析健康损失,同时考虑延误和健康损失构建考虑健康损失的路阻模型。根据实例,分别使用Transcad和新的路阻模型计算出2个路阻,并进行交通分配。结果显示2次交通分配的路网流量不同,表明考虑健康损失的路阻模型影响了人们的出行选择,可有效解决主干路拥挤,增加次干路车流量,协调整个路网车流量均衡,提高路网交通效率。     

基于岩体指标和掘进参数的TBM净掘进速率预测模型

净掘进速率是TBM施工速度的主要评价指标,与围岩物理力学性质、TBM掘进参数之间存在一定相关性。文章以兰州水源地建设工程输水隧洞双护盾TBM施工为背景,基于现场实测数据,选择岩石单轴抗压强度、抗拉强度、变形模量、泊松比、岩石耐磨性CAI值等岩体指标,以及刀盘推力和刀盘转速等掘进参数,进行TBM净掘进速率与有关影响参数之间的单因素相关性分析,得到相应拟合公式;基于TBM净掘进速率与岩体指标、掘进参数之间的相关性,利用多元非线性回归方法建立了TBM净掘进速率预测模型。通过将兰州水源地建设工程输水隧洞实测TBM净掘进速率和预测结果进行对比,验证了TBM净掘进速率预测模型的合理性。研究结果表明:(1)在复杂的多种地质条件下,TBM净掘进速率与岩石单轴抗压强度、抗拉强度、变形模量、岩石耐磨性CAI值、刀盘推力以及刀盘转速呈负相关关系,与泊松比呈正相关关系;(2)干湿状态对岩石耐磨性CAI值有一定影响,饱和状态下岩石耐磨性CAI值与TBM净掘进速率之间的相关性更显著;(3)建立的多元非线性回归预测模型,预测精度较高,可为相似地质条件下TBM净掘进速率估算提供参考。     

快速公交系统站台停靠时间模型研究

快速公交系统停靠站台停车延误是影响快速公交运行车速的关键因素之一,因此构建快速公交系统站台停靠时间模型是提升快速公交服务水平的基础理论研究。本文选取盐城BRT-1号线的起始站、中途站、客流离散站等三类站点为研究对象,综合运用数理统计法与数据挖掘法,构建快速公交系统站台停靠时间模型,并对该模型的合理性进行了检验。研究表明:盐城市BRT-1号线三类站台的快速公交车辆停靠时间与上下车乘客人数呈线性关系,即快速公交车辆停靠时间与上下车乘客人数的检验参数R2均大于0.8。     

Benefit of speed reduction for ships in different weather conditions

Currently, the shipping industry is facing a great challenge of reducing emissions. Reducing ship speeds will reduce the emissions in the immediate future with no additional infrastructure. However, a detailed investigation is required to verify the claim that a 10% speed reduction would lead to 19% fuel savings (Faber et al., 2012).This paper investigates fuel savings due to speed reduction using detailed modeling of ship performance. Three container ships, two bulk carriers, and one tanker, representative of the shipping fleet, have been designed. Voyages have been simulated by modeling calm water resistance, wave resistance, propulsion efficiency, and engine limits. Six ships have been simulated in various weather conditions at different speeds. Potential fuel savings have been estimated for a range of speed reductions in realistic weather.It is concluded that the common assumption of cubic speed-power relation can cause a significant error in the estimation of bunker consumption. Simulations in different seasons have revealed that fuel savings due to speed reduction are highly weather dependent. Therefore, a simple way to include the effect of weather in shipping transport models has been proposed.Speed reduction can lead to an increase in the number of ships to fulfill the transport demand. Therefore, the emission reduction potential of speed reduction strategy, after accounting for the additional ships, has been studied. Surprisingly, when the speed is reduced by 30%, fuel savings vary from 2% to 45% depending on ship type, size and weather conditions. Fuel savings further reduce when the auxiliary engines are considered.     

Using GPS-data to determine optimum electric vehicle ranges: A Michigan case study

Fuel-switching personal transportation from gasoline to electricity offers many advantages, including lower noise, zero local air pollution, and petroleum-independence. But alleviations of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are more nuanced, due to many factors, including the car’s battery range. We use GPS-based trip data to determine use type-specific, GHG-optimized ranges. The dataset comprises 412 cars and 384,869 individual trips in Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA. We use previously developed algorithms to determine driver types, such as using the car to commute or not. Calibrating an existing life cycle GHG model to a forecast, low-carbon grid for Ann Arbor, we find that the optimum range varies not only with the drive train architecture (plugin-hybrid versus battery-only) and charging technology (fast versus slow) but also with the driver type. Across the 108 scenarios we investigated, the range that yields lowest GHG varies from 65 km (55+ year old drivers, ultrafast charging, plugin-hybrid) to 158 km (16–34 year old drivers, overnight charging, battery-only). The optimum GHG reduction that electric cars offer – here conservatively measured versus gasoline-only hybrid cars – is fairly stable, between 29% (16–34 year old drivers, overnight charging, battery-only) and 46% (commuters, ultrafast charging, plugin-hybrid). The electrification of total distances is between 66% and 86%. However, if cars do not have the optimum range, these metrics drop substantially. We conclude that matching the range to drivers’ typical trip distances, charging technology, and drivetrain is a crucial pre-requisite for electric vehicles to achieve their highest potential to reduce GHG emissions in personal transportation.     

基于Bodner-Partom模型的水泥乳化沥青混合料黏弹塑压实特性

为揭示水泥乳化沥青混合料压实过程中的黏弹塑性变形特性及其变形机理,结合现场路面压路机的施工工艺参数,采用万能试验机压缩试验模拟该混合料的压实过程。针对试验循环荷载力学响应曲线变形特征,引入有效平均应力构建混合料压实变形的Bodner-Partom本构模型。通过对应变-时间的非线性拟合识别出该混合料的B-P模型参数值,进而揭示压实过程中混合料的黏弹塑性动态流变特性及变形机理。试验结果表明：压缩试验可充分反映混合料压实过程中的力学响应变形特性;随着循环荷载次数的增加,混合料塑性和黏塑性变形减小而弹性和黏弹性变形增大。据混合料复压阶段的黏塑性变形规律导出试样空隙率的计算式,进而获得有效平均应力随试样空隙率的变化规律。B-P本构模型分析结果表明：黏性参数η随荷载作用次数的增加而逐渐增大,说明混合料在压实过程中黏性增强;应变率敏感系数n₁基本保持不变,表明压实过程中混合料温度相对稳定;参数值Z,D₀随荷载作用次数的增加分别呈递增、递减的规律,前者显示随着混合料被进一步压实其非弹性变形抵抗力增大,进而导致塑性和黏塑性应变逐渐减小,后者显示塑性应变率减小,表明单次循环荷载下塑性变形占总变形量的比例逐渐减小。B-P模型参数值可准确表征水泥乳化沥青混合料与时间和荷载相关的黏弹塑性流变特性,重构后的B-P本构模型可有效揭示混合料压实过程中的黏弹塑性变形机理,可为深入研究其压实流变性能和路面压实工艺奠定基础。     

拼宽空心板桥荷载横向分布计算方法

为研究拼宽空心板桥荷载横向分布系数的计算方法,首先分别开展采用8,22 cm铺装层的空心板桥足尺模型荷载横向分布试验,接着开展采用刚性拼接结构的拼宽空心板桥足尺模型荷载横向分布试验,并将试验结果与既有铰接板法和刚接板法荷载横向分布系数的计算结果进行对比分析;最后讨论既有铰接板法和刚接板法的适用范围,进而提出了一种新的荷载横向分布系数计算方法,并探讨拼宽空心板桥的拼接结构刚度取值的合理范围。研究结果表明：既有铰接板法和刚接板法分别适用于计算铺装层厚度较小和较大的空心板桥荷载横向分布系数,但二者均无法考虑不同铺装层厚度对荷载横向分布的影响,为此提出了考虑铺装层厚度影响的荷载横向分布系数计算方法,相应的计算结果与试验结果的偏差仅为2.7%;对于采用刚性拼接结构的拼宽空心板桥,铰接板法或者刚接板法均无法正确地反映拼宽空心板桥的荷载横向分布规律,为此提出了考虑拼接结构刚度的拼宽空心板桥荷载横向分布系数计算方法,其中新旧桥板高错位布置的拼宽空心板桥拼接结构刚度为不考虑新桥铺装层厚度的刚度,该方法求得的荷载横向分布规律与试验结果的变化趋势一致,相应的计算结果与试验结果的最大偏差仅为5.4%。